Cameron Norrie vs Novak Djokovic Prediction: ATP 250 Geneva Semifinals 2025

Cameron Norrie
Cameron Norrie
Start
Day
Hours
Minutes
Seconds
Finished
Live
23 May 2025 16:30
Novak Djokovic
Novak Djokovic
Tennis, ATP 250, Geneva, Switzerland, Semifinals
May 23 2025, 16:30
Centre Court, Geneva, Switzerland 
Red Clay Surface 
Raphael George
23 May 2025
01:46
All time statistics:
1929
1167
96
60.43%
Statistics
Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
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Odds 1,64
Bet Type Novak Djokovic -4.5 Games
Bonus 250 USD
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Cameron Norrie and Novak Djokovic battle on red clay at Tennis Club de Genève in the ATP 250 Geneva semifinals on May 23, 2025.

Get ready for a clay court showdown! The Cameron Norrie vs Novak Djokovic 2025 ATP 250 Geneva semifinals match on May 23 at Tennis Club de Genève is gonna be a thriller. Norrie, Britain’s ATP 90, rides a 7W-3L form, winning 11 of 16 clay matches with a 68% break points saved rate. His five-win streak faces a tough test after beating Alexei Popyrin. Djokovic, Serbia’s ATP 6, also boasts a 7W-3L record, chasing his 100th ATP title after a birthday win over Matteo Arnaldi. His 71.0% first-serve points won make him dangerous. Their H2H Cameron Norrie vs Novak Djokovic 2025 shows Djokovic leading 4-0, but Norrie’s clay grit could spark an upset. Betting trends love over 21.5 games, with their past matches averaging 22 games. 

Will Norrie shock Djokovic before the French Open, or will the Serbian legend roll on? This ATP 250 Geneva prediction is a betting gem for 2025. Check our tips to win big!

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British left-hander Cameron Norrie comes into the Geneva semifinals on the back of a commendable form of 7 wins and 3 losses in his last 10 matches. His 2023 clay season has been fairly good with 11 wins from 16 matches. Some big numbers from Norrie's stats on clay: 66.8% first serves in, winning 64.5% of those points, while 92.2% of his second serves are unreturnable; he is averaging 2.8 aces per match, 2.1 double faults, saved 68% of break points chances against him, and converted 53%. 

He won his last match against Alexei Popyrin in straight sets (6-7, 4-6), hitting no aces and saving 80% of break points while converting 2. For the French Open, Norrie must now overcome a stiff test in the first round from 11th seed Daniil Medvedev with sights set on a deep run in Roland Garros.

The Serbian maestro, Novak Djokovic, keeps demonstrating his prowess on court. Djokovic won 7 and lost 3 matches on recent-ground; clay courts are not so warm-hearted this year, with 2 wins in 4 matches. If one looks at the clay court numbers this way, the Serbian recorded a first serve percentage of 64.5, winning 71.0% of those points, and on his second serve, Djokovic had an 89.5% success rate. On average, he serves 3.3 aces per match along with 2.0 double faults. He saves 42% of break points and converts 33%. 

In his last match, Djokovic turned 38 on the courts and gained a straight-sets victory over Matteo Arnaldi (6-4, 6-4) at the Gonet Geneva Open. After smashing his racket in frustration and briefly worrying about his knees, the Serb regrouped to win five games in a row to clinch the match. This win keeps the former World No. 1 in view of his 100th ATP title. The defending champion enters Roland Garros ranked No. 6 with hopes of smashing the record for most Grand Slam titles with his 25th.

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Novak Djokovic retains an imposing record of 4-0 over Cameron Norrie. Their recent meeting took place at the Davis Cup 2023, where Djokovic prevailed in straight sets (6-4, 6-4), thus stopping Great Britain's march in the competition. Norrie conceded Djokovic to be the most difficult opponent amongst the 'Big Three' and claim that Djokovic plays at highest level, so he is the hardest challenge to face on a court.

  • Djokovic’s 75% win likelihood, ATP 6 ranking, and 4-0 H2H edge over Norrie make him the safe pick (Djokovic to win ➤ 1.20 Odds).
  • Their Davis Cup match hit 22 games, and Norrie’s 11-16 clay record suggests a close fight (over 22 games ➤ 1.82 Odds).
  • Norrie’s 2.8 and Djokovic’s 3.3 aces per match, plus recent 0 and 2 aces, support this trend (under 4.5 aces ➤ 1.51 Odds).
  • Norrie’s 68% break points saved and past H2H sets indicate he can steal one (Both players to win a set ➤ 2.50 Odds).
  • Djokovic’s 71.0% first-serve points and recent five-game run back a strong margin (Djokovic -4.5 games ➤ 1.64 Odds).

The Cameron Norrie vs Novak Djokovic semifinals clash on May 23, 2025, at Tennis Club de Genève is gonna be epic! Norrie’s 7W-3L form and 53% break point conversion challenge Djokovic’s 7W-3L record and 100th title chase. Their 4-0 H2H favors Djokovic, but Norrie’s clay grit (11-16) could make it tight, especially after his Popyrin win. Djokovic’s birthday rally against Arnaldi shows his fight, boosted by a good French Open draw. Expect a 6-4, 6-3 Djokovic win, with Norrie pushing hard. Here are the top bets for this ATP 250 Geneva thriller!

🏅 Novak Djokovic -4.5 Games ➤ 1.64 Odds on Betway

🏅 Over 21.5 Games ➤ 1.82 Odds on Bet365

🏅 Both Players to Win a Set ➤ 2.50 Odds on 1xbet 

Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
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Odds 1,64
Bet Type Novak Djokovic -4.5 Games
Bonus 250 USD
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Odds 1,82
Bet Type Over 21.5 Games
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Odds 2,50
Bet Type Both Players to Win a Set
Bonus 100 EUR
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