Carlos Alcaraz vs Francisco Cerundolo Prediction: Can world No.1 Alcaraz shrug off a surprise loss and stop Cerúndolo’s Laver Cup momentum?

Carlos Alcaraz
Carlos Alcaraz
Start
Day
Hours
Minutes
Seconds
Finished
Live
22 Sep 2025 00:10
Francisco Cerúndolo
Francisco Cerúndolo
Tennis Exhibition Laver Cup
Date: 22:09:2025
Kickoff: 00:20
Venue: Chase Centre San Francisco CA USA 
Raphael George
21 Sep 2025
18:52
All time statistics:
1929
1167
96
60.43%
Statistics
Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
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Odds 1,72
Bet Type Alcaraz to win & over 17.5 games
Bonus 100 EUR
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Carlos Alcaraz vs Francisco Cerundolo: Prediction for the Match on September 22, 2025

The Laver Cup 2025 encounter (Match 11, Day 3) between World No. 1 Carlos Alcaraz and Francisco Cerúndolo is set to take place at the Chase Center in San Francisco on Sunday, Sept 21. Alcaraz will be leading as the best player in the world after he regained the No.1 spot by winning the US Open; Cerúndolo will be coming with good vibes following a solid Day 2 victory. This is a high-stakes team match with a 3-point reward — you can expect the players to go on the offensive, the excitement to be at the peak and the betting lovers to find their odds of getting better value.

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Carlos Alcaraz - World No. 1 - has been an absolute powerhouse in 2025, his highlight being the US Open victory and a series of excellent results across all surfaces. The Spanish player's calendar for 2025, so far, is approximately 61-6, with multiple Masters and Slam deep runs being the main reasons for his strong form and self-assurance. He started the Laver Cup week with a very good doubles performance (Alcaraz/Mensik) but, on day 2, he was shockingly defeated in straight sets by Taylor Fritz - a scoreline that indicates a somewhat exposed side when adversaries hurrying the net and firing quick returns.

Alcaraz's game primarily revolves around a blazing forehand, top-tier footwork, and a serve that has been steadily getting better; his aggressive return of serve and volleying abilities are the reasons he can be feared in quick rallies and tiebreaks. After the defeat to Fritz, he will definitely want to restart in singles; the betting community needs to balance his normal overpowering play against the fact that he has already had several high-profile matches this time of the season.

Francisco Cerúndolo (around ATP No.21, 2025 YTD ≈ 33–19) has been a pretty consistent player throughout the year. The Argentine's season has been quite impressive with deep runs at the Masters as well as good results on both clay and hard courts; he went to the finals at home events and took down several top-10 players which helped him to get a better seeding and make him more confident. Cerúndolo didn't change his game at Laver Cup Day 2 as he managed to defeat Holger Rune in a very calm manner. He really showed his power with the forehand and his consistency on the return under pressure. He is really good in baseline rallies, he combines depth with angles and he is quite comfortable when prolonging the points to force the opponent to make mistakes. If we compare him to Alcaraz, Cerundolo is the one in the losing position according to the statistics, but his last performance (and the team atmosphere) makes him really capable to extend the games and make Alcaraz change his tactics.

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Alcaraz leads Cerúndolo 3–0: Queen’s Club 2024 (Alcaraz 6-1, 7-5), Indian Wells 14 Mar 2025 (Alcaraz 6-3, 7-6(4)), and Monte-Carlo 9 Apr 2025 (Alcaraz 3-6, 6-0, 6-1). 

  • Alcaraz to win (match) — he is still the favorite considering his recent form and the head-to-head; a main-stake pick.
  • Match Over 20.5 Games — their three previous encounters averaged ~21 games; a tight two-set match or a three-setter is feasible.
  • Both players to win a set — Cerúndolo has taken sets off Alcaraz before (Monte-Carlo) and is in good shape.
  • 10.5+ Aces for Alcaraz — Alcaraz’s season ace rate is approximately ~6 aces/match, so markets setting double-digit aces for him look too optimistic.
  • Cerúndolo +1.5 sets (handicap) — better when he is serving aggressively and Alcaraz shows signs of rust.

Carlos Alcaraz has the advantage, but it will be a close and tactical battle. His better ranking, excellent form at the big stages, and past head-to-head victories imply that he is the likely winner; nevertheless, Cerúndolo’s confidence from the previous match and the team spirit suggest that the encounter will probably be a lengthy one.

Top bet recommendations:-

🏅Alcaraz to win & over 17.5 games @ 1.72 odds on 1xbet

🏅Match Over 18.5 Games @ 1.83 odds on Bet365

🏅Both players to win a set @ 3.4 odds on Betway 

⚠️ Disclaimer: Betting odds and lines are subject to change. Please check with your bookmaker for the latest prices before placing any wagers.

Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
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Odds 1,72
Bet Type Alcaraz to win & over 17.5 games
Bonus 100 EUR
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Odds 1,83
Bet Type Match Over 18.5 Games
Bet Now!
Odds 3,4
Bet Type Both players to win a set
Bonus 250 USD
Bet Now!

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