Casper Ruud vs Aleksandar Vukic Prediction: Ruud’s consistency vs Vukic’s underdog momentum in Tokyo

Casper Ruud vs Aleksandar Vukic Prediction, Odds, and Betting Tips | Japan Open 2025

The Kinoshita Group Japan Open (ATP 500) in Tokyo gets its quarterfinals after Casper Ruud (seeded, world No. 12) faces Aleksandar Vukic (approx. world No. 95) on 28 September 2025. Ruud is coming off a straight sets victory and brings the calmness that characterizes his year; Vukic is a hot qualifier with a track record of upsets (including a previous Shanghai victory against Ruud). This pairing is a blend of high-level experience with live-match unpredictability - perfect for in-play and set-prop betting.

🇳🇴 Casper Ruud

Entering Tokyo, Casper Ruud is one of the tournament's seeds and ninth in the ATP ranking. His 2025 season has been very good overall — Ruud's 2025 singles record (year-to-date) as per ESPN's tracker is 29–12, showing his good form on hard courts and clay. In Tokyo's Round of 16 Ruud defeated Matteo Berrettini 7-6(4), 6-2, a match that showcased Ruud's skill to become more efficient at the crucial points and to convert his baseline consistency into break opportunities. Ruud is a baseliner who plays a high percentage and uses depth, court positioning, and a solid return game to put pressure on his opponents to make mistakes; on faster hard courts, he complements with a cleaner serve and more aggressive court positioning than before. In an ATP 500 quarterfinal, that blend of solidity and enhanced aggression makes Ruud the natural favorite — but his advantage is smaller if the adversary is delivering a big serve and choosing short rallies.

🇦🇺 Aleksandar Vukic

Aleksandar Vukic lands in Tokyo as a qualifier Andy already impressed by dispatching Daniel Altmaier 6-4, 6-2 to get to this quarter-final. He is sitting at around ATP No. 95 (the rankings and the live listings show him in the middle of the 90s), and his 2025 results are a reflection of a mix of success at the Challenger level and sporadic wins on the main tour; ESPN counts his singles W-L for 2025 to be close to 9–23 by their tracking.

Vukic constructs his game around aggressive hitting and solid serving: when his first serve lands he can rush opponents and shorten points, and on faster hard courts that make him dangerous in short, high-tempo exchanges. He is also very well prepared to defeat top players – in particular, he shocked Ruud at Shanghai 2024 – so he comes both with confidence and the underdog’s liberty that quarterfinal pressure is lessened.

👥 Casper Ruud vs Aleksandar Vukic Head-to-Head Statistics

This is their second ATP meeting: Vukic holds the prior win — 6-4, 6-4 at the 2024 Shanghai Masters — so the head-to-head sits Vukic 1–0 Ruud.

🔮Casper Ruud vs Aleksandar Vukic Betting Tips and Odds

• Ruud to win (match winner) — the safest play given ranking and consistency.
• Both players to win a set — Vukic’s aggressive baseline game and previous win over Ruud make at least one set for him plausible.
• Total games — Over 22.5 — best-of-3 markets are typically in the low-20s; expect a tight, tactical start with possible breakpoint exchanges.
• First set over 9.5 games — both players have shown competitive opens in Tokyo.

🔍 Casper Ruud vs Aleksandar Vukic Match Prediction

Casper Ruud is most likely to win the match, however, Vukic is a set-winner with a high chance. Despite Ruud being the favorite due to his regular baseline game and better tour consistency, Vukic’s aggressive, rapid-point style and last Shanghai victory over Ruud are the reasons why he will still try to fight for every point. 

Bet suggestions:

🎾Casper Ruud win & over 19.5 games @ 1.78 odds on 1xbet 

🎾Over 21.5 games @ 1.62 odds on Bet365

🎾Both players to win a set @ 2.46 odds on Betway 

⚠️ Disclaimer: Odds change quickly. This content is informational only. Bet legally and responsibly. If you have a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.