Casper Ruud vs Daniil Medvedev: Prediction for the Match on May 01, 2025

Casper Ruud
Casper Ruud
Start
Day
Hours
Minutes
Seconds
Finished
Live
01 May 2025 14:00
Daniil Medvedev
Daniil Medvedev
Tennis, ATP 1000, Madrid, Spain, Quarterfinals 
1st May 2025, 14:00
Manolo Santana Madrid Spain 
Red Clay Surface 


Raphael George
30 Apr 2025
21:53
All time statistics:
1929
1167
96
60.43%
Statistics
Odds
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Odds 1,64
Bet Type Over 22 Total Games
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Casper Ruud vs Daniil Medvedev: Prediction for the Match on May 1, 2025

Prediction for the Tennis match which will take place on May 1. Who will turn out to be stronger? Check the players conditions! Several betting options are available.

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He Continues to reign supreme on clay: Ruud cemented the first semi-final berth at the ongoing Madrid Open in his deceptive run of form. He came off a straight-sets delight of Taylor Fritz (6-3, 6-3), during which the 24-year-old manifested his runway poise by a 67%-time first-serve rate, converting 3 break points, and saving 66% on own service area. That was also Ruud's 150th career victory on clay, rendering him a real champion on dirt. Preceding Madrid, Ruud was in very good form at Barcelona, reaching the quarterfinals after eliminating Galán and Medjedovic, before bowing out to Stefanos Tsitsipas. Earlier in the season, he showed versatility by reaching the Dallas Open final on hard courts, losing to Shapovalov. His 2025 campaign thus continues to reflect both consistency and progress in stressful moments. Currently on a 3-match win streak, Ruud has emerged victorious in six of his last seven sets and arrives at peak condition. Madrid's altitudes are bumpy, but at base, Ruud's rock-steady game on the ground, generous topspin, and instincts on clay will come with an edge. With the wind and surface in his favor, he became the Norwegian ready to take on higher-ranked Medvedev in what might be a defining encounter in Ruud's clay season.

Daniil Medvedev has always been vocal about his displeasure with the clay surface, having indeed demonstrated on several occasions that his tactical mind is more than able to conquer any surface. The Madrid Open saw Medvedev reach the quarterfinals after showing complex grit and adaptation. After the first-round match, which he won handily against Juan Manuel Cerundolo 6-2, 6-2, Medvedev faced Brandon Nakashima. In another tough contest, he showed some resistance and rallied back from a set down, eventually winning 3-6, 6-1, 6-4 in similar style. The numbers registered by the Russian player show both the strengths and weaknesses: 7 aces balanced out by 7 double faults, 62% first-serve rate, and an average break-point save rate of 33%. While he makes unconventional moves on clay, Medvedev manages to slug through tricky encounters with a mix of deep court positioning, mental toughness, and intelligence on the court. The high altitude in Madrid may disrupt his precision, yet his shot tolerance and backhand consistency are still recognized around the world. Although his 3-0 record over Ruud is impressive, this time is a first for their match on the clay surface, which does give a slight edge toward the Norwegian. Nevertheless, Medvedev is a problem solver on the court, and if he finds his rhythm on serve, he has the tools to irritate Ruud and secure a spot in the semifinals.

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Medvedev is ahead of their all-time meetings, 3-0, with the last lost match being in the final of the tournament of ATP 2021, which he lost by 6-4, 6-2, to Medvedev. However, this is the first occasion when they will meet on clay, a surface in which Ruud has shown to demonstrate his major power over the rest.

  • Given Medvedev's tendency for extended rallies and Ruud's clay-court consistency, a longer match is plausible.
  • Ruud's recent form on clay suggests he can challenge Medvedev and potentially win a set.
  • Both players are not known for high ace counts, especially on clay courts.
  • Both players are likely to hold serve early, leading to a longer first set.

This quarter-final is a vibrant encounter that has pitted the surface strengths against the head-to-head victories. Daniil Medvedev has a 3-0 record against Casper Ruud, but all those wins came on hard courts, the surface where Medvedev's flat shots and defensive prowess thrive, while clay favors Ruud's heavy topspin, patience in rally construction, and movement. The altitude in Madrid complicates things even further, with Medvedev's serve benefiting from the elevation, but control is rather tricky. Both arrive in decent shape, so it will come down to who can adapt tactically the best. Expect a trench battle that could go the distance — one for the tennis purists.

Below are my betting tips for this match:

🔥 My prediction for the match is Over 22 Total Games with a coefficient of 1.64 odds on 1xbet 

🔥 My betting tip for the match is Ruud to Win at Least One Set with a coefficient of 1.30 odds on Betway

🔥 My main betting tip for the match is Total Three Sets with a coefficient of 2.10 odds on Bet365

Odds
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Odds 1,64
Bet Type Over 22 Total Games
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Odds 1,30
Bet Type Ruud to Win at Least One Set
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Odds 2,10
Bet Type Total Three Sets
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