Casper Ruud vs Jack Draper – Madrid Open Final Preview & Betting Tips

Casper Ruud
Casper Ruud
Start
Day
Hours
Minutes
Seconds
Finished
Live
04 May 2025 19:30
Jack Draper
Jack Draper
Tennis, ATP 1000, Madrid, Spain, Final
04-May-2025, 19:30
Manolo Santana, Madrid, Spain 

Raphael George
03 May 2025
21:00
All time statistics:
1929
1167
96
60.43%
Statistics
Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
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Odds 2,791
Bet Type Casper Ruud to Win
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Casper Ruud vs Jack Draper: Prediction for the Match on May 04, 2025

Casper Ruud and Jack Draper face off in the 2025 Madrid Open final. Discover expert predictions, betting tips, and key stats for this thrilling ATP 1000 showdown.

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He is the greatest tennis star in Norway and goes into the Madrid Open in formidable shape, carrying a good record on clay courts. ATP 15 ranking, Ruud has a five-match winning streak to showcase his clay dominance. He completed a straight-sets semifinal win over Francisco Cerúndolo (6-4, 7-5) with 4 aces and an 83% saving of break points. His first-serve percentage stood at 67%, with a 32% return on first serves and converting 5 break points. 

Ruud is making his final mark, which previously allowed him to reach the Madrid final for the first time and compete in only his third ATP Masters 1000 final. With those numbers, Ruud stands unparalleled in clay solidity, boasting 11 titles on the surface and 124 wins there over the past five years. He suffered a rib injury recently, but has shown great mental fortitude. Ruud has opened compared the mental side of tour life to running in a "hamster wheel," although he rejuvenates in the middle on clay. Much is expected to come from him after concentrating on personal and aspiring challenges for performance in recent weeks.

The fresh UK hopeful, Jack Draper, has completed what can be called a vector through which he hits a final entry into his first ATP clay-court final at the Madrid Open. It should now be noted that Draper, already ranked ATP 6 in the world, is enjoying a brisk five-match win streak. He beat Lorenzo Musetti in the semifinal with straight sets (6-3, 7-6, including 3 aces, 67% first serve percentage, and 66% break points saved), returning 30% first serves and converting 2 break points.

Aggressive baseline playing combined with certain tactical forehands is how he has made the best use of Madrid's high altitude to work in his favor. Madrid will finally see Draper topping the ATP Top 5 for the very first time, having done so at the expense of Djokovic. At the very young age of 23, Draper becomes only the second left-handed player of this entire century to find himself in the Top 5, joining the successful Rafael Nadal. The letter is Victorious at Indian Wells, continued consistency, and all other evidence only add to what is becoming a really rapid rise in the tennis world.

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This is the very first time that Casper Ruud and Jack Draper meet on the ATP Tour for an official final. Admittedly, these two have never met before in main tour matches, but their composite playing styles allude to a dazzling contest that Ruud's clay-court mastery combined with Draper's aggressive play will turn into a truly exciting final.

  • Ruud has won 84.1% of his service games and 25.5% of return games on clay over the past year.
  • Draper has converted 41.74% of his break point opportunities in recent matches.
  • Ruud has won 75% of deciding sets over the last 12 months
  • Ruud has reached three ATP Masters 1000 finals

A classic contest pitting Casper Ruud and Jack Draper against one another is taking place in the Madrid Open final—in which Ruud, with vast clay-court experience and form at face value, becomes a fearful contender. He can deal with pressure, as highlighted by his 75% success rate in deciding sets, which gives him an edge. Draper, on the contrary, is all about the exuberance of youth and a fearless approach. His recent exploits, including a win at Indian Wells, paint a picture of him capable of challenging the hierarchy. Whereas Ruud boasts extensive clay experience, rapid rises appalling the status quo are qualities of Draper's game that could negatively affect Ruud's rhythm. The final is set to be a spectacular encounter because both are keen to come on top with the Madrid title in their hands.

Below are my betting tips for the match:- 

🥎 My prediction for the match is Casper Ruud to Win with a coefficient of 2.791 odds on Bet365 

🥎 My betting tip for the match is Over 22.5 Total Games with a coefficient of 1.82 odds on Betway 

🥎 My main betting tip for the match is Both Players to Win a Set with a coefficient of 2.32 odds on 1xbet 

Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
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Odds 2,791
Bet Type Casper Ruud to Win
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Odds 1,82
Bet Type Over 22.5 Total Games
Bonus 250 USD
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Odds 2,32
Bet Type Both Players to Win a Set
Bonus 100 EUR
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