Corentin Moutet vs Alexander Zverev Prediction, Odds, and Betting Tips | China Open (Beijing) 2025
On 28 September 2025, at the China Open 2025 Round of 16, Beijing, Alexander Zverev will be facing Corentin Moutet in a classic battle of power against finesse. The ATP 500 is essentially a hard-court tournament, where the players in good form will have the opportunity to go deeper to a draw that favours hard-court aggressive play. Although Zverev is the top seed and in prime form, Moutet's recent boost and left-handed skills make it a match where turning one point of momentum could turn the entire market.
Claim Welcome Bonus🇫🇷 Corentin Moutet
Moutet (left-handed) had a great 2025 season and he is currently ranked in the top-50 as a result of several stunning performances. He has accumulated a total of 23-18 singles wins this year, showing that he has become more reliable on hard courts. In Beijing, he went to the last 16 with an efficient 6-4, 7-5 victory over Tallon Griekspoor, employing his slices, angles, and change-of-pace to break up the long-rallies.
From a tactical point of view, Moutet's main features are lefty spin and court craft: short angled backhands, perfectly timed drops, and very frequent changes of rhythm, which allow you to make heavy hitters play extra balls. He is very streaky – when he is on, those touches can make short rallies scoring opportunities; on the contrary, when he is off, a large number of unforced errors is at your disposal. The combination of Moutet's tactical maturity (long games, solid return moments) and his determination to use the tempo variation to break the opponent's rhythm is evidenced by his recent match reports and tournament runs 2025.
🇩🇪 Alexander Zverev
Zverev is essentially a top-10 player who plays the No. 3 position in the world. He has a powerful baseline game, a strong big serve and he is very consistent in hard-court tournaments. As a matter of fact, his win-loss record is 45-17 for this season. He started the Beijing tournament with a 6-4, 6-3 win over Lorenzo Sonego. Through his sheer force, accuracy/precision and having been in such situations countless times, he is expected to get through his next match unscathed.
Zverev's serve and strong forehand on hard courts make it difficult for tricky lefties to find time; his strategy against football players is just to simplify the game - hit deep, finish with the forehand and technically force the opponent to play extra balls. However, he is quite capable of occasionally drifting into mini-swings of focus. But his proficiency in closing tiebreaks and tight moments is the reason why he is one of the favourites in longer matches. The reports of his last matches strongly suggest that he is in good shape for Beijing tournament.
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👥Corentin Moutet vs Alexander Zverev Head-to-Head Statistics
Zverev leads the H2H 1–0, having beaten Moutet 6-2, 7-6(7) in Stuttgart (June 12, 2025).
🥎Corentin Moutet vs Alexander Zverev Betting Tips and Odds
- Zverev to win (match) — a safer pick: his superior serve and depth on hard court.
- Moutet to win a set — the lefty’s variety is often enough to snatch a set off even when the opponent still wins the match.
- Total games — Over 21.5 — Over 21.5 is pretty unlikely unless all three sets go to tiebreaks; 33.5 is a more suitable threshold for a competitive three-set encounter.
- Set betting: Zverev 2-1 — Zverev is the favorite but Moutet can make one set a riddle with his tactical changes.
- 1st-set winner: Zverev — he is usually the one to get early breaks when he is aggressive from the baseline; if Moutet wins the opener, the price on Moutet becomes attractive.
🔍Corentin Moutet vs Alexander Zverev Match Prediction
Zverev’s serve depth and solid play on hard courts around the baseline are the factors that get him ahead of his opponent, but Moutet’s left-handed slices and constructing points with his strokes do not make a straight-sets result seem very likely. A close start to the match is likely, one player taking the middle set by a narrow margin of the fight on tactics, and to finish the match Zverev most probably using his power to win the last set.
Top bet recommendations:-
🎾Both players to win a set @ 2.65 odds on Betway
🎾Zverev win + Over 18.5 games @ 1.72 odds on 1xbet
🎾Over 20.5 games @ 1.6 odds on Bet365
⚠️ Disclaimer: Odds change quickly. This content is informational only. Bet legally and responsibly. If you have a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)
Q1: When is Corentin Moutet vs Alexander Zverev being played?
The match takes place on September 28, 2025, at the Beijing National Tennis Center during the ATP 500 China Open Round of 16.
Q2: What is the head-to-head record between Moutet and Zverev?
Zverev leads the head-to-head 1–0, having beaten Moutet earlier in Stuttgart 2025.
Q3: Who is favored to win the match?
Alexander Zverev enters as the strong favorite, given his top-5 ranking, hard-court record, and straight-sets opening win in Beijing.
Q4: Can Corentin Moutet upset Zverev?
Moutet’s left-handed variety and disruptive style give him a chance to steal a set, but consistency makes Zverev the projected winner.
Q5: What are the best betting tips for this match?
Popular markets include:
Zverev to win the match
Both players to win a set
Over 20.5 total games
Zverev to win 2–1 in sets
Other predictions
