Corentin Moutet vs Tallon Griekspoor Prediction: Mallorca Final Showdown on Grass

Corentin Moutet vs Tallon Griekspoor: Prediction for the Match on June 29, 2025

I am thrilled to analyze the finals of the Corentin Moutet and Tallon Griekspoor at Mallorca ATP 250. This grass-court ATP Final sees Moutet’s flair and recent resurgence square off against Griekspoor’s machinery-like commerce of base-line power and return. Both players have faced strong draws—Moutet thriving when it mattered, and Griekspoor winning dominant straight-set affairs—so let us go through their form, head-to-head history and performance on grass, and betting value as well. Whether you are a tennis fan or an odds shark, this SEO-enhanced blog will provide insight based on analytics, the hottest betting trends, and my three top picks for this much-anticipated final on June 28, 2025, at Centre Court Mallorca.

🇫🇷 Corentin Moutet

With Corentin Moutet storming into his first ATP final since Doha 2020, one wonders if any has been more inspiring. His 2025 win/loss form had been around 20‑15; a gritty effort in Mallorca saw him take out Pedro Martinez (4‑6, 6‑3, 6‑0), Learner Tien (6‑2, 7‑5), and Alex Michelsen (6‑4, 7‑6) on the grass. In the semis, he somehow remained calm through the tension of breaking his opponent's serve not once but five times in the tiebreak-showing that he clutches when it counts. This grass-court run has gone on to create a milestone for him as his first-ever grass semi and final. On Instagram, there was a cool video showing behind-the-scenes practice, hinting at quite intense preparations. In the post-match interviews, he commented on maintaining his composure after that net dispute incident with Tien, signaling his growing maturity under pressure. It is obvious that the lefty has customized the drop shots, lobs, and court craft with Mallorca's grass in mind. As an unseeded player hitting form at just the right time, I am very excited to see how this guy uses that winning momentum in the final.

🇳🇱 Tallon Griekspoor

I've been tracking Tallon Griekspoor, No. 34 in the world. If there was one word to describe his play this week on the Mallorca grass courts, it would definitely be clinical. With a 2025 record hovering near 27‑14, Griekspoor, after straight-sets wins against Gabriel Diallo, and Felix Auger-Aliassime, is placed firmly in the final. Against Auger-Aliassime, he manages a break in each set and holds serve completely without trouble to win 6-4, 6-4. Griekspoor is fine for grass courts-this was his second grass title, the first coming at 's-Hertogenbosch in 2023, and he's level with that again. He returned to Mallorca from a minor abdominal injury sustained at Roland Garros, but seems fit and focused. In his interviews, he spoke about getting his rhythm back and "finishing matches early", which is another sign of the aggressive mindset. Not that much of a show on social media, but the guy is all about his match prep. Considering his previous success on grass and efficient serve and return numbers this week, this seems a great possibility for the ATP 250 title in Mallorca. I can see his rhythm and precision being a big threat to Moutet's style of craft.

Corentin Moutet vs Tallon Griekspoor Head-to-Head Statistics

Their head-to-head record bears little weight for now, with Griekspoor leading 2-0. Both encounters happened to be in Challengers/Qualifying rounds, on indoor hard courts, back in 2018 (6-2, 6-1; 6-4, 6-3).This will therefore be their first meeting of the ATP tour and first on grass. Consequently, the historical data is least likely to be relevant-momentum and surface feel will be the clinching factors for both players.

Corentin Moutet vs Tallon Griekspoor Betting Tips and Odds

• Griekspoor in-form on grass – straight‑sets wins over Diallo and Auger‑Aliassime, holding serve solidly.
• Moutet saved five break points in the semis, showing mental toughness.
• Griekspoor leads the h2h 2‑0, combined 4‑0 sets on hard court, though this is grass.
• Moutet’s slice and drop shots vs Griekspoor’s powerful flat groundstrokes and serve; contrast suggests tight rallies and scoring chances.
• Moutet’s matches often go over 21 games (tie‑breaks/tight sets), Griekspoor’s efficient hold could force shorter sets.

Corentin Moutet vs Tallon Griekspoor Match Prediction

I believe Tallon Griekspoor holds the edge to win the Mallorca ATP 250 final, but Corentin Moutet is primed to push this to the limit. Here are my top 3 betting tips:

Tallon Griekspoor to win & Over 21.5 games @ 2.19 odds on 1xbet — his serve+break consistency and grass title pedigree make him my pick.

Over 23.5 total games @ 2.02 odds on Bet365 — expect Moutet to pressure service games, pushing sets deep.

Moutet to take at least one set (+1.5 sets handicap) @ 1.65 odds on Betway — he's proven clutch in semis; likely to claim a set.