Daniil Medvedev vs Alexander Zverev: Prediction for the Match on June 21, 2025
The ATP 500 Terra Wortmann Open in Halle, Germany, has been heating up these days with the semifinal between Daniil Medvedev and Alexander Zverev set to promise a great show on the 21st of June 2025. These two titans have locked horns in 19 duels, with Medvedev holding a 12-7 lead; however, considering how well Zverev plays on grass with the crowd at his back, this showdown is simply not to be missed. Played on the immaculate grass of Centre Court at OWL Arena, the match is the crucial last stepping stone to the final and key Wimbledon warm-up. With both players in top form and mutual animosity providing additional fuel, let's break down the stats, recent performance, and betting insights for your ultimate guide to this epic battle.
Claim Welcome Bonus🇷🇺 Daniil Medvedev
Daniil Medvedev, the 29-year-old Russian, currently ranked No. 11, has been a former World No. 1 and a 2021 US Open champion with a relentless baseline perspective and tactical brilliance. The 6’6” Medvedev and the unorthodox style have been a nightmare for his opponents even on grass, where in 2023 and 2024 he reached the Wimbledon semifinals. In 2025, with a 21-12 overall record, Medvedev is 5-1 on grass courts this season and has amassed a 9-4 career record on the soil of Halle-Germany.A victory in the quarters against Alex Michelsen by 6-4, 6-3 on June 20, 2025, marked his 401st win of his career and saw him never facing a break point, converting 2 of 5 break points, and winning 82 percent from the first serve along with 6 aces in only 72 minutes. Medvedev's grass stats speak of 7.5 aces a match but 19 double faults in his previous six grass encounters, presenting an area of potential weakness. After wins against Quentin Halys (6-2, 7-5) and Daniel Altmaier (6-3, 6-3) at Halle, Medvedev is now hitting form. "I’m feeling good on grass," Medvedev said to ATPTour.com after the Halys win, and his X post, "Grass season vibes 💪 #Halle," shows his confidence. He does have a hip niggle earlier in 2025, but now it's all systems go as he gets ready to face Zverev.
🇩🇪 Alexander Zverev
Zverev stands here, the German No. 3 of 28 years, and a hometown favorite in Halle with a 19-8 win-loss career tally at the tournament. Zverev won Olympic Gold in 2020 and is a two-time Stuttgart titlist (2016, 2017). His serve and fearless positioning on the base lines provide a fright for any grass-court player. Zverev has logged 32-11 for 2025, including a 5-1 record on grass. It was 3-6, 6-7 against Taylor Fritz in the Stuttgart finals. On June 20, 2025, Zverev dumped Flavio Cobolli in the quarterfinals 6-4, 7-6(6), firing down 10 aces and winning 82% of his first-serve points. He survived a couple tiebreaks and bouts of sickness... His grass stats read: 65.7% first-serve points won, 0.31 aces per service game. The tiredness factor from the clay season does raise concerns. In the initial rounds, Zverev routed Marcos Giron 6-2, 6-1 and overcame Lorenzo Sonego, 3-6, 6-4, 7-6, serving 23 aces combined in those last two matches. "I started well, felt good, then suddenly felt sick," Zverev told Sky Sport after the Cobolli win. "I went to throw up and 20 minutes later felt better." Fans on X such as @TennisUpdates25 comment on his play and stamina: "Zverev's looked sharp, but clay took a toll.”
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Daniil Medvedev vs Alexander Zverev Head-to-Head Statistics
Medvedev is leading Zverev 12-7 through 19 meetings in their career, casting for the 20th meeting, and the first one on grass. The last-ever meeting of these two greats was a five-set thriller for the 2024 Australian Open semifinal, with Medvedev winning after fighting back from two sets down with the scoreline of 5-7, 3-6, 7-6, 7-6, 6-3, marking their sixth victory for Medvedev out of seven matches. Medvedev has been on a roll lately, bagging eight out of the last 10 since 2019; while Zverev's last victory came in Cincinnati in 2023, 6-4, 5-7, 6-4, finally snapping a three-match losing streak. Their matches often go long, averaging 28.4 games in the last five meetings, with three going to three sets and four featuring tiebreaks. User @vanshv2k stated, “Medvedev has an edge with the stronger clutch mental game in big moments,” going on to talk about the superior return by Medvedev and the struggles of Zverev on the second serve, with breaks in 10 of their last 12 matches happening largely because of this.
Daniil Medvedev vs Alexander Zverev Betting Tips and Odds
- Medvedev’s 7-3 grass record since 2023, including a 9-4 Halle mark, shows his reliability. His 80%+ first-serve win rate supports bets on tight sets.
- Zverev’s 23 aces in his last two Halle matches and 82% first-serve win rate make him a strong candidate for first-set winner bets
- Their last five matches averaged 28.4 games, with three going three sets, favoring over 23.5 total games bets.
- Medvedev has broken Zverev’s serve in 10 of their last 12 matches, making +1.5 game handicap bets for Medvedev appealing
- Four of their last seven matches had at least one tiebreak, driven by Zverev’s second-serve issues and both players’ strong serving on grass.
Daniil Medvedev vs Alexander Zverev Match Prediction
This semifinal pits giants together. Medvedev's defensive mastery and head-to-head edge (12-7) face off with Zverev's home-court advantage and adidas firepower. With a recent grass record of 5-1 and the ability to outlast Zverev in the rallies, Medvedev has a slight edge, while the support of the crowd and Zverev's potency with 10 serves per match keep it close. One can expect a barrage of long rallies and at least one tiebreak, with three sets likely being chosen. The clinching attitude of Daniil Medvedev is the deciding factor, as remarked by @vanshv2k.
First Set Total Games Over 9.5 ~ 1.6 odds (1xbet)
Medvedev +1.5 Game Handicap ~ 1.89 odds (Betway)
Match to Have a Tiebreak ~ 1.6 odds (Bet365)
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