Medvedev vs Moutet Prediction | Washington ATP 500 Quarterfinal Betting Preview
Daniil Medvedev (No. 14) faces Corentin Moutet in the quarterfinals of the ATP 500 in Washington on July 25, 2025, during the Mubadala Citi DC Open at the outdoor hard courts of Washington, D.C. Expect a great contest, with Medvedev plowing through his opponents from the baseline, while Moutet goes through his magic. Medvedev is tested and proven on faster courts, while this upset run adds an edge of unpredictability to Moutet. This preview tries to dissect their current form, head-to-head, and betting trends, giving the expert view to tennis aficionados and bettors alike.
Claim Welcome Bonus🇷🇺 Daniil Medvedev
In a dominant performance, Medvedev, 14th in the world and eighth seed in Washington, reached his eighth quarterfinal of 2025 in 6 - 3, 6 - 2 fashion over Yibing Wu. He recorded an astonishing 93% of first-serve points won along with 11 aces This is also the first time he has played at the Citi DC Open since he made it to the final back in 2019. Medvedev's Romans charges down the toilet in Grand Slam form, and the Northern American hard-court fast adaptability remains one of his key strengths, buttressed with experience, precision, and power. He is searching for his first title since Rome 2023. With everything going right, Medvedev looks like a solid favorite going into the quarterfinal.
🇳🇱 Corentin Moutet
Corentin Moutet, ranked around No. 59, has been this Washington surprise story after entering the main draw as a lucky loser following Holger Rune's withdrawal . He blitzed Alexandre Müller 6‑0, 6‑1 before knocking out former champion Dan Evans 6‑2, 7‑6(4) to make his first Washington quarterfinal and his third ATP quarterfinal this season . Moutet hit 27 winners to 24 unforced errors and claimed 79 % of his first-serve points . Known for his inconsistent and artistic play, Moutet accepts his underdog tag, yet his game misses the consistent firepower and serve efficiency to trouble a top-tier player in a best-of-three hardcourt setting. Moutet has little ATP 500 experience, and his previous top-10 wins have mostly come on slower surfaces. Either way, his momentum and fearlessness add a wildcard element to this face-off.
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Daniil Medvedev vs Corentin Moutet Head-to-Head Statistics
Medvedev leads their only previous meeting 1–0, having beaten Moutet 6‑4, 6‑2 at the Mallorca Championships in June 2021.
Daniil Medvedev vs Corentin Moutet Betting Tips and Odds
- Eight ATP quarter-finals in 2025 — only Carlos Alcaraz has more—showing Medvedev's consistency at the tournaments.
- Dominant in Washington: Medvedev never dropped a set against Wu, although technically only five games were lost on his serve. He earned 93% of his first serves and recorded 11 aces.
- Washington Moutet run: As a lucky loser, the Frenchman shelled out commanding wins on some slower courts.
- In the only H2H matchup in Mallorca, Medvedev converted a high percentage of break points and controlled play from the baseline.
- Medvedev usually performs well on fast-hard courts, holding above a 75% win rate on occasions delivering straight-set wins in the shortest possible time. Even under-games are common in such matches.
Daniil Medvedev vs Corentin Moutet Match Prediction
I back Daniil Medvedev to win in straight sets, given his superior hard‑court record, consistency and prior head‑to‑head dominance.
My top 3 Betting Tips:
Medvedev to win in straight sets at 1.71 odds on Bet365.com — He excels versus Moutet’s style on hard courts and enters with dominant recent form. (Rating: ⭐⭐⭐)
Under 22.5 total games at 1.6 odds on Betway.com — Medvedev’s service efficiency and Moutet’s propensity for error suggest a relatively quick two‑set match (Rating: ⭐⭐⭐⭐)
Moutet under 10 games total at 1.727 odds on 1xbet.com– Against elite hard‑court players, Moutet often struggles to break the 10‑game mark (Rating: ⭐⭐⭐)
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