The ATP 250 Open 13 Provence in Marseille presents a semifinal clash between Daniil Medvedev (ATP 8) and Hamad Medjedovic (ATP 96). Medvedev, the 2021 Marseille winner and former World No. 1, faces off against the teenage Serbian sensation who has been dazzling all tournament long. Will Medjedovic continue his dream run, or will the experience and strategic brilliance of Medvedev prove too daunting? Let us examine it.
Claim Welcome BonusDaniil Medvedev
Medvedev in good shape, winning both matches in straight sets:
R16: Defeated. Pierre-Hugues Herbert 6-2, 6-4
QF: Defeated. Jan-Lennard Struff 6-3, 6-2
Key Stats against Struff:
✅ 6 aces, 3 double faults
✅ 63% first serve percentage
✅ 100% saved break points
✅ 42% won first serve return points
✅ 4 break points successfully converted
Medvedev now won four straights sets on the trot in Marseille, and his consistency speaks volumes.
Strengths & Tactical Edge
Defensive Mastery – Medvedev's counterpunching skill and deep court positioning neutralize power hitters like Medjedovic.
Return Game – He excels at breaking rivals, as demonstrated by his excellent first-serve return winning percentage (42%).
Experience & Surface Adaptation – Medvedev is 7-2 in Marseille, including a title win in 2021.
Concerns
Second Serve Vulnerability – Medvedev finds it difficult to perform when his first serve percentage is poor, making him exposed to aggressive returners.
Occasional Lapses – He sometimes becomes distracted in matches, providing underdogs with occasional opportunities.
Hamad Medjedovic
Medjedovic has been on giant-slaying form, claiming three massive wins:
R32: Defeated Raphael Collignon 6-3, 6-4
R16: Defeated Karen Khachanov 6-2, 6-3 (giant kill)
QF: Defeated Daniel Altmaier 7-5, 6-7, 6-4
Key Stats vs. Altmaier:
✅ 8 aces, 2 double faults
✅ 74% first serve percentage
✅ 75% break points saved
✅ 25% first serve return points won
✅ 3 break points converted
Strengths & Tactical Edge
Big First Serve – Medjedovic's 74% first serve rate and 8 aces in his last match suggest that he can dominate service games.
Powerful Groundstrokes – His heavy forehand baseline game can break up Medvedev's rhythm.
Momentum & Confidence – Three straight wins, including over ATP No. 17 Khachanov, suggest that he is playing without fear.
Concerns
Return Game Frustrations – Medjedovic was only able to hold his first serve return points 25% of the time against Altmaier, which will not be enough against the powerful Medvedev serve.
Endurance & Experience – Fighting through a three-set QF match could leave him drained
Expert Betting Tips
Handicap Games – Medvedev -3 Games @ 1.66 Odds (1xbet):
Medvedev has secured this spread convincingly in his last two encounters. Medjedovic was thoroughly tested by Altmaier, who is much inferior to Medvedev's class.
Total Sets – 2 Sets @ 1.60 Odds (Betway):
Medvedev's ability to maintain control on the game and efficient returning will make him most likely to prevail in straight sets.
Medjedovic's inexperience with top-level matches can come to fruition.
Correct Set Score – Medvedev 2-0 @ 2.00 Odds (Bet365):
Medvedev has won four straight sets in Marseille. Medjedovic did not have a top-10 returner like Medvedev this tournament.
Other predictions
