Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Jaume Munar Prediction: Can Munar's Top-10 Slaying Ignite Basel Upset?

Félix Auger-Aliassime
Félix Auger-Aliassime
Start
Day
Hours
Minutes
Seconds
Finished
Live
24 Oct 2025 15:00
Jaume Munar
Jaume Munar
Tennis ATP 500 Basel Switzerland Quarterfinals 
24 October 2025 | 15:00
Center Court Basel Switzerland 
Indoor Hard 
Raphael George
23 Oct 2025
23:02
All time statistics:
1929
1167
96
60.43%
Statistics
Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
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Odds 1,6
Bet Type Jaume Munar +4 games
Bonus 100 EUR
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Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Jaume Munar: Prediction for the Match on October 24, 2025

Quarterfinals at St. Jakobshalle of Felix Auger-Aliassime versus Jaume Munar is going to be an exciting event of the Swiss Indoors Basel 2025. Auger-Aliassime is favored to win with a probability of 73.3% based on the moneyline odds of -272.12 Auger-Aliassime with a 43-22 season record and three titles stands against 42-ranked Munar, who has been a breakthrough player with a 29-25 record and four scalps of Top-10 players. As the indoor viewership rises by 12% (Nielsen 2025), this indoor hard court match, which is a thriller, draws attention to Auger-Aliassime’s Basel heritage – two times champion (2022-23) – against Munar’s daring ascent, which he sealed off by 6-3, 6-4 drubbing of No. 6 Ben Shelton in R2.

@ATP_Tour on X wrote that Munar’s ace-sealing winner was “unplayable.” The only prior meeting between them goes for Auger-Aliassime, but Munar’s 68% break conversion (Tennis Abstract) is a factor that can lead to trouble. Basel 2025 player matchup reveal and 2025 tennis rivalry intel help you understand the indoor fire and place bets wisely!

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Felix Auger-Aliassime, World No. 12, surges into the Basel 2025 quarterfinals with a 43-22 record, mirroring Federer’s 2014 indoor dominance in his Turin redemption arc. Fresh off a Brussels title—edging Jiri Lehecka 7-6(2), 4-6, 7-6(5) in a 2-hour-34-minute epic—his Basel path dazzled: a 6-2, 7-5 grind over compatriot Gabriel Diallo, saving two set points in set two, followed by a 7-6(2), 7-6(2) tiebreak masterclass against Marin Cilic, firing 28 aces with 81% first-serve points won (ATP stats). Auger-Aliassime’s Basel 2025 performance boasts a 72% hold rate and 42% return points captured (Tennis Abstract), his slice backhand echoing Federer’s precision to dismantle baselines. @TennisFanatic23 on X raves, “FAA’s serve is a weapon—untouchable indoors.” He told ATPTour.com post-Cilic, “Basel’s my fortress; peaking now.” His 4.8-shot rally average wears down foes, and 85% deciding-set wins (per ATP) tilt edges on these fast courts. Munar’s clay-honed defense probes his stamina, yet Auger-Aliassime’s transition game shines. 

For bettors, his 28-ace barrage backs over aces props, a staple in Auger-Aliassime match preview 2025. Chasing a third Basel crown and Turin spot, his poise defines this legacy quest.

With a 29-25 record, world number 42, Jaume Munar, took the quarters in Basel by storm. In his 6-3, 6-4 upset over No. 6 Ben Shelton, Munar seemed to channel the toughness of Nadal in his 2010 US Open run which is a legendary saga in the world of tennis. Indeed, the biggest surprise was the hard-court history being rewritten in a breakout fashion. Munar utilized the indoor setting to mark his comeback: a 6-2, 6-4 masterclass over a qualifier Remy Bertola, where he was successful in 3/4 break points (75%) while 80% of first-serve points were won (ATP stats). 

Munar’s 2025 highlights-potential- are a fourth-round US Open run, a third-round Miami Top-10 takedown of Daniil Medvedev. These highlight moments drive his rise to the top, with a 68% break point conversion rate (Tennis Abstract) mainly done on rallies. His heavy topspin forehand is able to break Auger-Aliassime’s flow like a Spanish storm. Munar tweeted post Shelton match, “One more step—still hungry!” He 55% success rate at the net being one of the reasons for volley praises when thinking of Munar match 2025. 

Hard courts are a challenge for his baseline depth, however, Auger-Aliassime’s power is countered by Munar’s 5.2-shot rally stamina. His 68% breaks back +3.5 games value, thus giving more time to extend games in Basel's brisk air. It, therefore, places Jaume Munar’s sturdy rise against the throne of Felix Auger-Aliassime, a fan-driven upset slowly writing history.

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In the Basel 2025 head-to-head, Auger-Aliassime is leading Munar 1-0 which refers to a single match in 2023 Gstaad on clay where Felix won in straight sets (6-4, 6-3) and his 75% wide-serve points won (ATP) was the deciding factor. The only face-off between them went for 22 games with no indoor hard present but it was a surface that favored Auger-Aliassime since he had an 82% hold rate. Munar’s 68% breaks give a upset flavor to the story, however, Felix’s 42% returns lead the points. Different worlds meet at this Basel 2025 head-to-head—don’t be surprised if the next encounter goes to the tiebreak with the odds of each player winning a set being almost equal. From here, you can get the Auger-Aliassime vs. Munar Basel 2025 head-to-head tennis rivalry timeline 2025.

  • Win Chance: Auger-Aliassime 73.3% implied probability from -272 moneyline odds.
  • Game Totals: 22-28 games for best-of-three (4 of 5 recent indoor 500 QFs averaged 25 games, ATP stats).
  • Set Splits: Each player wins a set (occurred in 60% of Munar’s Top-10 matches, Tennis Abstract trends).
  • Best Factor: Auger-Aliassime’s Indoor Streak: His 10-2 indoor hard record in 2025 is very impressive (per ATP), notably two Basel titles.
  • Munar’s Upset Momentum: 68% break conversion is the main reason for +3.5 games value (post-Shelton trends).
  • Tactical Edge: Tie-breaks likely (55% of Auger-Aliassime’s indoor wins involve one, ATP stats).

Auger-Aliassime is leading the charge with a 73.3% winning probability based on the implied probability of -272 odds, as of October 23, 2025. While the crowd in the middle of the court is getting loud for Munar’s Shelton-slaying ace, Felix’s 28-ace assault against Cilic is what the fast indoor court in Basel is all about. 42% of Felix’s returns come up against 68% of Munar’s breaks, however, if Jaume’s serving gets shaky (under 70% firsts in upsets), then Auger-Aliassime is definitely the one to go forward—his 85% deciders are the ones that do it. A 5K-fan X poll (@TennisChannel) shows Felix with 62% of the votes. The rally length is 5.2 shots, and the players could be getting ready for a tiebreak in this Basel 2025 match predictions gem.

Join the X roar for Basel 2025 winner picks! Will Munar’s fire dethrone Felix’s fortress? Comment below 👇 

Below are my top 3 bets for this match:

My main prediction: Jaume Munar +4 games @ 1.6 odds on 1xbet 

My betting tip for the match: Felix Auger-Aliassime win 2-0 @ 1.96 odds on Betway 

My final betting tip for the match: Felix Auger-Aliassime win 2-0 @ 2.0 odds on Bet365

Odds
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Odds 1,6
Bet Type Jaume Munar +4 games
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Odds 1,96
Bet Type Felix Auger-Aliassime win 2-0
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Odds 2,0
Bet Type Felix Auger-Aliassime win 2-0
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