Flavio Cobolli vs Lorenzo Sonego: Prediction for the Match on November 04, 2025
On November 4, 2025, the Metz Center Court will host an exciting showdown between two Italian tennis stars, Luca Cobolli and Lorenzo Sonego. At 23, Cobolli boasts a powerful backhand, while 30-year-old Sonego is known for his booming one-handed forehand. This match is crucial for both players: a win for Cobolli could secure him a spot in the Next Gen Finals in Milan, while Sonego is working hard to maintain his place in the top 30 before the upcoming tournament in Turin.
Cobolli, with a 56% chance of winning and indoor success, has broken serve 28% of the time during matches this season. Meanwhile, Sonego faces challenges, having lost 40% of his serves in tiebreaks this fall. With both players eager for victory—Cobolli eyeing a top-20 ranking and Sonego seeking revenge—fans can expect a thrilling clash between the young superstar and the seasoned fighter. Who will come out on top?
Claim Welcome Bonus🇮🇹 Flavio Cobolli: Form and Statistics
Luca Cobolli, currently ranked No. 22 in the world, has been making waves on the ATP Tour with two titles already under his belt in 2025. The Italian player has an impressive record, winning an astonishing 85% of his first-serve points indoors, which places him among the top 15 players in that category. His recent success includes a notable victory over the rising star Holger Rune in Hamburg, showcasing his talent on the court.
So far this year, Cobolli has a 33-28 win-loss record, with his performance on clay being particularly strong at 22-12. When it comes to serving, he boasts an impressive 92% success rate against top-50 players, a testament to his skill under pressure. His recent matches in Paris were a mixed bag; he started strong by defeating Tomás Macháč 6-1, 6-4 in the first round, saving 4 out of 5 break points. However, he faced a tough opponent in the second round, losing to Ben Shelton in a close match that ended 7-6(4), 6-3, marred by 22 errors.
In his last five indoor matches, his performance has fluctuated, with a record of three wins and two losses, including a recent victory over Alejandro Davidovich Fokina. Cobolli remains optimistic, stating, “The tiebreak hurt. Metz is a new start.” He’s shown consistency at the net, winning 72% of his points in his first-round match in Vienna and a solid return rate of 68% against right-handed players. With the Metz tournament ahead, he aims to capitalize on opportunities, particularly targeting Lorenzo Sonego’s weaker second serve. Notably, bookmakers are suggesting Cobolli's probabilities, with over 12.5 aces looking promising. As he seeks to improve his ranking and chase his dreams for Turin, stars are aligning for Cobolli.
🇮🇹 Lorenzo Musetti: Form and Statistics
Lorenzo Sonego, currently ranked No. 42 in the world, is making quite a name for himself on the indoor tennis circuit. With four titles under his belt, he proves to be a formidable player, averaging an impressive 11 aces per match. This capability places him among the top 78% of players in the ATP rankings.
As of this year, Sonego’s record stands at 23 wins and 28 losses. His recent performance in Paris showcased his skills, as he defeated Sebastian Korda 6-2, 6-3, confirming his strong serving game despite facing just one break point. He then faced off against Italy’s Jannik Musetti, coming back after losing the first set to win 3-6, 6-3, 6-1. However, Sonego's run ended with a tight match against Daniil Medvedev, where he lost 3-6, 7-6(5), 6-4.
Looking at Sonego’s last five indoor matches, he boasts a record of three wins and two losses, with notable victories over Korda and Musetti. On October 30, he expressed his eagerness for future tournaments, stating, "Medvedev pushed me. Fire for Metz." He opened in Metz with a solid performance, hitting 11 aces and committing no doubles while saving an impressive 55% of break points when behind.
His strategy often includes targeting his opponents' backhands during long rallies, which has earned him success in the past. Keeping his hopes alive for a spot in the Turin Finals, supporters are eyeing prop bets like Sonego +1.5 sets and an average of over 23.5 games in his upcoming matches. With a solid indoor hard court record of 6-5, Sonego is certainly one to watch!
More Tennis Predictions
Flavio Cobolli vs Lorenzo Sonego Head-to-Head Statistics
Cobolli 0–0 Sonego (ATP). First main tour match. No past. Pure fight on indoor hard. Sonego holds 68% vs top-30 indoors (ATP). Cobolli 65%. Cobolli breaks 31%. Prop: over 3.5 breaks @ 1.85 (fast court, 25% convert rate).
- Cobolli ML @ 1.77 (1xbet) — Breaks 28% indoors vs Sonego weak second serve.
- Under 23.5 games @ 1.75 — Cobolli wins fast in straights.
- Cobolli -1.5 sets @ 2.66 — Serve too strong for Sonego three-set style.
Flavio Cobolli vs Lorenzo Sonego Match Prediction
Cobolli secures a strong victory with a 56% success rate, dominating the match from the start. In the first set, his returning skills forces Sonego into errors, ending at 6-4.
The second set showcases Sonego's determination as he fights hard through a tiebreak, but the rising number of errors cost him, concluding at 7-6(5). Interestingly, Cobolli could face an upset if he makes more than 20 backhand errors, a situation that arises infrequently.
The final score? 6-4, 7-6.
Top 3 Bets:
Cobolli ML @ 1.77 odds on 1xbet
Under 23.5 games @ 1.75 odds on Betway
Cobolli -1.5 sets @ 2.66 odds on Bet365
Other predictions
