Francisco Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Prediction: Clash of Clay Titans in Madrid

Francisco Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud: Prediction and odds on the Match on 02 May 2025

Prediction for the Tennis match which will take place on May 02. Who will turn out to be stronger? Check the players conditions! Several betting options are available.

🇦🇷 Francisco Cerundolo:- ATP No. 21st

Francisco Cerúndolo has been having one of the best seasons of his career. Especially on clay, he has 24 wins and 9 losses in total in 2025, and the 16 wins on clay lead among all players in ATP Tour. The Argentine manages to show balance and serenity, as seen now at 21st place in the world and following semifinal entry at the Mutua Madrid Open after winning a nailbiter of a match against Jakub Mensik 2 sets to 1, with the scores reading 3-6; 7-6; 6-2. Despite having lost the opening set, it was a moment of pure mental strength demonstrated by the athlete, who also recorded 7 aces with an admirable percentage of saving 87% of break points faced. However, 5 double faults and only 2 break points converted indicate that it is still a work in progress in terms of managing pressure moments.

A Masters 1000 semifinal is his second in history, coming more than three years after the last one. It is a big step in his rise. This could be one of the biggest qualifiers for confidence, as Cerúndolo swept top seed Alexander Zverev in straight sets earlier in the tournament. He is currently riding a 4-match winning streak and remains in top rhythm on clay. Movement, baseline play, and an improving serve consistency underline the picture of what Cerúndolo presents as a genuine threat. He comes into this match with momentum and belief against an opponent whom we are familiar with.

🇳🇴 Casper Ruud:- ATP No. 15

This year, Casper Ruud proved that he still is one of the most reliable clay-court players on tour. As the season record goes, 24-6, and with an incredibly strong clay win percentage, the Norwegian is thriving at just the right moment. Ruud roared into the last four of the Mutua Madrid Open, claiming victory over Daniil Medvedev in straight sets (6-3, 7-5) in his first win ever against the Russian. The victory was not just tactical; it helped him get rid of recent mental struggles and reaffirmed him among the clay elite. Ruud saved all break points faced, put in 68% of his first serves, and converted two crucial break points—one to win each set.

This victory also marked Ruud's seventh success in seven ATP Masters 1000 clay quarterfinal appearances, matching Rafael Nadal's record. Currently on a four-match win streak and eight consecutive sets taken, Ruud looks sharp, composed, and dangerous, now in glory. He had recently admitted to battling a confidence problem saying he "felt like a squirrel in a wheel," but probably found some breakthrough with this win at Madrid. Ruud's heavy topspin forehand, precise serve placement, and steely mental resolve make him a formidable opponent on clay. He now faces Cerúndolo in what promises to be a gritty, high-quality battle.

🤝 Francisco Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Head-to-Head Statistics

The two players have faced each other eight times on the ATP tour with Cerundolo leading the head to head 5-3. Their last meet was at the 2024 ATP Masters 1000 in Miami, where the former thrashed his opponent, 6-4, 6-2, on hard courts. On clay, however, the stats show a more balanced picture, with both winning two matches against each other. What flavour goes to the rivalry is provided by the aggressive baseline tennis of Cerundolo and his flexibility, while the victories of Ruud are towards the slow clay. Usually, these encounters translate into quite tactical ones, long rallies with closely contested sets.

📉 Francisco Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Betting Trend

• Ruud averages 10 aces per match, suggesting he is likely to exceed 6.5 aces in this encounter.
• 5 of their last 7 combined matches (including matches outside H2H) have featured more than 22.5 games.
• Tiebreak Played in 4 of Their Last 6 Combined Clay Matches
• Three-Set Matches in 4 of Cerúndolo’s Last 6 Clay Matches
• Ruud Has Won the First Set in 6 of His Last 7 Matches

🎯 Francisco Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Match Prediction

An exciting confrontation lies ahead in the much-anticipated ceremony of Semifinals between Francisco Cerundolo and Casper Ruud. Both players have been in fantastic form while playing on clay: Cerundolo, with his aggressive baseline tennis, and Ruud, with his serves and defenses that are consistent from point to point. Their head-to-head record hints at a great contest, one which would probably spill into three full sets with the burden of tiebreaks. Thus, the betting core in attendance should consider the high likelihood of a considerable number of games and sets won, along with individual performance metrics like aces and set wins.

Below are my betting tips for the match:- 

🔥 My prediction for the match is Over 21.5 Total Games with a coefficient of 1.63 odds on Betway 

🔥 My betting tip for the match is Match to Have a Tiebreak with a coefficient of 2.00 Odds on Bet365

🔥 My main betting tip for the match is Ruud Over 6.5 Aces with a coefficient of 1.98 odds on 1xbet