Gabriel Diallo vs Zizou Bergs Prediction: Can the Canadian Extend His Perfect Head-to-Head Record?

Gabriel Diallo
Gabriel Diallo
Start
Day
Hours
Minutes
Seconds
Finished
Live
07 Oct 2025 07:30
Zizou Bergs
Zizou Bergs
Tennis ATP 1000 Shanghai China Round of 16 
07 October 2025, 07:30 
Outdoor Hard

Valeriia Shikhova
06 Oct 2025
22:52
All time statistics:
1332
1312
12
50.15%
Statistics
Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
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Odds 1,69
Bet Type H1 (-1.5)
Bonus 100 EUR
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Gabriel Diallo vs Zizou Bergs: Prediction for the Match on October 07, 2025

As part of the Round of 16 at the Shanghai tournament, world No. 35 Gabriel Diallo will face Zizou Bergs, currently ranked 44th in the world. The two have met three times before on the Tour, with Diallo leading the head-to-head 3–0. The bookmakers favor the Canadian in this matchup, believing that the world No. 35 has the better chances of winning the upcoming match. Let’s take a closer look to see whether the bookmakers are right in setting the odds this way.

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After the US Open, Diallo has played four matches: he defeated Zuckerman in straight sets at the Davis Cup, lost to Fritz in Tokyo, and earned two wins in Shanghai over Bonzi and Goffin. The match against Goffin was not completed, as the Belgian retired from both the match and the tournament with the score at 3–0 in favor of Diallo.

Two weeks ago, the Belgian played one match at the tournament in Cheongju, where he lost to China’s Shang in three sets. Last week, Bergs played two matches in Tokyo — he defeated Chilean Alejandro Tabilo in three sets and then lost to Spain’s Carlos Alcaraz in straight sets.

In Shanghai, Bergs earned three victories — over American Sebastian Korda, Norwegian Casper Ruud, and Argentine Francisco Cerúndolo. The match against Cerúndolo lasted two hours and 16 minutes, with the Belgian winning 7–6, 6–3. During the match, Bergs hit six aces and committed two double faults, winning 80% of points on his first serve and 42% on his second. His return stats were 39%/53%, with 23 winners to 17 unforced errors. Overall, he won 64% of points on serve, 45% on return, and 54% of total points.

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Gabriel Diallo and Zizou Bergs have faced each other three times, with the Canadian winning all of their encounters. They met in 2022 on the hard courts of Vancouver, and in 2025 on the clay courts of Madrid and the grass courts of ’s-Hertogenbosch.

A 3–0 head-to-head record in favor of Diallo is quite telling. While there isn’t a huge difference in class between the two players, it’s clear that Bergs is a comfortable opponent for the Canadian. Notably, Diallo defeated the Belgian twice in 2025, and all three of his wins came on different surfaces — meaning he doesn’t seem to care what court he faces Bergs on.

Based on this head-to-head history, the logical bet would be on a Diallo victory. As for the total, both of Diallo’s wins over Bergs in 2025 came in straight sets, so it wouldn’t be surprising if that trend continues in their upcoming match.

Our main prediction: H1 (-1.5) for a coefficient 1.69 in the 1xbet bookmaker.

Our betting tip for the match: TU 23.5 for a coefficient of 1.73 in the betway bookmaker.

Our final betting tip for the match: CS 2:0 for a coefficient 2.50 in the bet365 bookmaker.

Odds
Bet Type
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Odds 1,69
Bet Type H1 (-1.5)
Bonus 100 EUR
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Odds 1,73
Bet Type TU 23.5
Bonus 250 USD
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Odds 2,50
Bet Type CS 2:0
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