Iga Swiatek vs Amanda Anisimova Prediction: Swiatek converts 51.5% of break points on hard in 2025

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05 Nov 2025 18:30
USA
USA
Tennis WTA Tour Finals Group B Round 3
05 Nov 2025 | 18:30 MSK 
Center Court Riyadh Saudi Arabia 
Indoor Hard 
Raphael George
04 Nov 2025
10:44
All time statistics:
1929
1167
96
60.43%
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Odds 1,60
Bet Type Iga Swiatek ML
Bonus 100 EUR
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Iga Swiatek vs Amanda Anisimova: Prediction for the Match on November 05, 2025

The vibrant lights of Riyadh set the stage for an electrifying Group B showdown at the WTA Finals, where Iga Swiatek is set to clash with Amanda Anisimova. This match is a must-win for both players as they each carry a record of 1-1 in the group stage.

Swiatek, who famously swept Anisimova with a 6-0, 6-0 victory at Wimbledon 2025, faced a reality check at the US Open, where Anisimova avenged that loss with a solid 6-4, 6-3 win in the quarterfinals. Now, the stakes are even higher: the winner moves on to the semifinals and vies for a shot at the top seed in Turin.

With impressive odds of 1.506, Swiatek is a 65% favorite, bolstered by her 82% serve hold on indoor hard courts this year. However, Anisimova’s powerful game and her ability to defeat past Slam champions showcase her formidable skills. For Swiatek, this match safeguards her world No. 2 ranking, while Anisimova is eager to cement her comeback. Both players have a lot on the line, making this duel a thrilling highlight of the tournament.

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Iga Swiatek has been making waves on the hard courts in 2025, boasting an impressive 61-15 year-to-date record. Currently sitting as World No. 2, she holds a 9-6 record against top-10 players on this surface. However, her recent performance at the Wuhan Open was less than stellar—she fell to Jasmine Paolini in a surprising early round loss, 6-1, 6-2. Before that, she did show her resilience, beating Marie Bouzkova in a tight match, saving 8 of 10 break points along the way.

Looking ahead, Swiatek’s strength on indoor courts is noteworthy, with a recent record of 3 wins and 2 losses in her last five matches. Following the setback in Wuhan, she expressed, "Every point saved builds my confidence," highlighting her determination.

Her tactical play, particularly her skill with drop shots, significantly impacts her game. Against powerful opponents like Aryna Sabalenka, she has a remarkable 70% success rate on second serves. As she prepares for her match against Amanda Anisimova, expect to see her slice backhand effective in slowing down the pace, along with plenty of passing shots. With top stakes, a win will secure her ranking and a seed for the Turin finals.

In 2025, Amanda Anisimova is making waves on the WTA circuit, averaging an impressive 23 winners per match and holding a solid record of 45-16 as she climbs to No. 4 in the rankings. Her recent performance has been nothing short of spectacular, especially showcased in her finals opener against Madison Keys, where she powered through with a score of 4-6, 6-3, 6-2, overcoming a challenging start by saving 5 out of 7 break points.

One of her standout moments came during the Beijing finals, where she sealed the title against Linda Noskova with a dominating score of 6-0, 2-6, 6-2. Reflecting on her journey, Anisimova stated, “Hard work is paying off,” which truly captures her determination this season.

Her impressive indoor performance has seen her win the last five matches, and she boasts a 55% success rate on second-serve returns indoors. With victories in both Doha and Beijing, she is now on the brink of securing the year-end No. 4 rank, marking a significant comeback in her career. 

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The tennis rivalry between Iga Swiatek and Amanda Anisimova brings a thrilling dynamic to the court. In their two encounters, they’ve each claimed a victory, making this matchup even more exciting for fans. At the 2025 US Open quarterfinals, Anisimova triumphed with a solid score of 6-4, 6-3, showcasing her ability to break Swiatek’s serve. Conversely, Swiatek dominated the 2025 Wimbledon final, finishing with a decisive 6-0, 6-0 win. Given their history and the tendency for long rallies, betting on over 21.5 games could be a smart choice, especially reminiscent of their previous clash at the US Open.

  • Iga Swiatek ML @ 1.506 (1xbet) — 51.5% break conversion beats Anisimova’s errors.
  • Iga -3.5 games @ 1.88 — 68% return points win big margins.
  • Under 21.5 games @ 1.935 — Expect quick sets if serve clicks.

Who wins? Iga Swiatek 65%. In this match, both players are in a must-win situation to advance to the semifinals. Iga Swiatek has been impressive indoors, with an 82% success rate. Amanda Anisimova struggled, making 28 errors under pressure. 

In the first set, Swiatek will break Anisimova early, winning it 6-3. 

The second set will likely start with Anisimova in the lead at 3-1, but Swiatek’s clever drop shots will turn the momentum, and she will win the set 7-5 without a third set needed. 

There is a slim chance—about 20%—for Anisimova to win if she can hold 85% of her service games, which is tough to do indoors. 

The final score? 6-3, 7-5, with Swiatek sending a strong message while Anisimova continues to improve. 

Top 3 Recommended Bets:

Iga Swiatek ML @ 1.60 on 1xbet (Rating ⭐ ⭐ ⭐ ⭐)

Iga -3.5 games @ 1.88 on Betway (Rating ⭐ ⭐ ⭐)

Under 21.5 games @ 1.935 on Bet365 (Rating ⭐ ⭐ ⭐)

Odds
Bet Type
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Odds 1,60
Bet Type Iga Swiatek ML
Bonus 100 EUR
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Odds 1,88
Bet Type Iga -3.5 games
Bonus 250 USD
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Odds 1,935
Bet Type Under 21.5 games
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