Iga Swiatek vs Yue Yuan Prediction: Can Yuan shock Swiatek on Beijing hard court?

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27 Sep 2025 07:10
China
China
Tennis WTA 1000 Beijing China Round of 64
Date: 27 September 2025
Time: 07:10
Venue: National Tennis Center (Beijing)
Raphael George
26 Sep 2025
13:59
All time statistics:
1929
1167
96
60.43%
Statistics
Odds
Bet Type
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Odds 1,6
Bet Type Swiatek Win & under 19.5 games
Bonus 100 EUR
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Iga Swiatek vs Yue Yuan: Prediction for the Match on September 27, 2025

The WTA 1000 China Open in Beijing is the Chinese leg of the high-stakes Asian swing and on 27 Sept 2025 it will be Iga Swiatek vs. Yuan Yue, the Round of 64. Swiatek Składa comes out of the Korea Open with a trophy and will be full of confidence and good hard-court form. However, Yuan, who has defeated Zheng Qinwen recently and who is very familiar with the courts, is no pushover. There is a huge difference between the two in terms of rankings and experience, so it seems that the match will be one way - however, wildcards can always surprise you. Bettors would do well to balance low-risk bets on match winners with higher-value prop bets.

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Iga Swiatek (WTA No.2, Beijing #1 seed) has energized her season with a great late surge and successfully got the Korea Open title on 21 Sept 2025, her third tournament of 2025 after Cincinnati and Wimbledon, confirming her great hard-court form and closing ability. Her seasonal win/loss and tour stats tell that she returns the ball with great efficiency and is ready to fight in the minute moments; she changes speed and court location intra-match, thus making her rivals’ rhythm be disrupted. In Beijing, she is the natural favorite who will command the game with her powerful, deep forehand/slice transitions and top-class agility. After Sabalenka’s pull-out ruffling the seeds, Swiatek’s way requires concentration but she looks like the one who will walk through it on paper comfortably.

Yuan Yue (approximately WTA #110, based on current trackers) is going to play as a wildcard in front of her home fans. Yue used to be a top 40 player during her career (historically) and has also recorded several big wins on the tour; among these, her most important victory was against Yulia Putintseva in Beijing on 25 Sept 2025, when she not only won but also showed that she is capable of delivering high-intensity, low-error tennis on home hard courts. Her strong points are the depth she achieves on her flat drives and the two-handed backhand with which she is always confident; she is also quite good in terms of movement for her size and can rattle off break chances in no time.

The main reasons for her defeat against top players are that she loses her consistency under pressure and there are not many tactical variations driven by the experience of the opponent when they mix spin and depth as top-10 players do. So, Yuan definitely to be one to take full advantage of the crowd energy, try to be as aggressive as possible on the returns and get quick holds at the start of the game but she may not be able to keep it up for the whole match if there are several back-to-back sets.

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No prior meetings on the WTA tour — this is a first-time matchup. 

  • Swiatek — Match Winner (Moneyline): dominant on hard courts vs lower-ranked foes; lowest variance play.
  • Swiatek to win in straight sets (2-0): common outcome when a top seed meets a wildcard; look for set-price value.
  • First set: Swiatek to win: she often starts fast against lower seeds — lower volatility than full-match props.

Iga Swiatek is most likely to win. Her latest championship, outstanding tour-level experience, and aggressive return game are the reasons why she is the favorite to end the match in just two sets. Moreover, Yuan’s victory in front of the home crowd against Putintseva gives her the potential to cause some trouble for a set or two, however, the more probable, lower-risk bets are on Swiatek.

My bet recommendations:-

🎾Swiatek Win & under 19.5 games @ 1.6 odds on 1xbet 

🎾Swiatek -6.5 games handicap @ 1.78 odds on Bet365

🎾Under 18.5 games @ 1.66 odds on Betway

⚠️ Disclaimer: Odds change quickly. This content is informational only. Bet legally and responsibly. If you have a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
Claim Bonus!
Odds 1,6
Bet Type Swiatek Win & under 19.5 games
Bonus 100 EUR
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Odds 1,78
Bet Type Swiatek -6.5 games handicap
Bet Now!
Odds 1,66
Bet Type Under 18.5 games
Bonus 250 USD
Bet Now!

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