Jack Draper vs Carlos Alcaraz: Prediction and odds on the Match on 14 May 2025
Prediction for the Tennis match which will take place on May 14. Who will turn out to be stronger? Check the players conditions! Several betting options are available.
Claim Welcome Bonus🇬🇧 Jack Draper: ATP Rank 5
Jack Draper, the British left-hander, has now firmly established himself on the ATP tour. Currently at No. 5 in the rankings, Draper has been showing great form recently, with four wins out of his last five matches (WLWWW). His 2025 clay stats have him up with 35 aces, 86% of service games won, and 31% return games won. A solid 75% first serve win percentage. (www.atptours.com)
In his most recent bout, Draper showed resilience upon some slow beginnings to defeat Corentin Moutet 1-6, 6-4, 6-3. He held 2 aces, 2 double faults, and a 63% first serve percentage. Breaking down some numbers offers contrasting stats where he was able to save only 25% of break points, yet seemed to shine in other moments, with a conversion rate of 3 implied breaks (www.sofascore.com)
Draper is riding the momentum on a three-match win spree, and so must sit a little taller in confidence and adaptiveness on clay courts. His left-hand power and crafted shot-making will pose serious problems. Draper, with his recent performances, must be ready to give some headwinds to Alcaraz.
🇪🇸 Carlos Alcaraz - ATP Rank 3
Carlos Alcaraz, the adored Spanish prodigy, is doing it all on the ATP circuit. Alcaraz, ranked fourth, is quite a replica of Draper; both are coming off recent bouts with four wins and one loss each (WLWWW). Serving on clay in 2025, he has 14 aces, an 81% service game win percentage, and a 40% return game win percentage; his first-serve win percentage is, however, on the higher side of 69. (www.atptours.com)
His most recent match was a marathon one, a win against the defending champion Khachanov in three sets, 3-6, 6-3, 7-5. He had 1 ace with 2 double faults, while 66% constituted his efficiency on the first serve. More interestingly, he saved 55% of break points against him while converting 5 break points for himself, laying the foundation of his never-say-die spirit and clutch performance when it counted much. (www.sofascore.com)
Alcaraz is on a three-match winning streak and further underscores his consistency and prowess on clay. His dynamic playstyle coupled with agility and powerful groundstrokes make for either a gritty challenge or a punishing nightmare, depending on whether one is on the opposite side of the net or not. As against Draper, Alcaraz will look to capitalize on his experience and recent victories in hopes of going deeper into the tournament.
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🤝 Jack Draper vs Carlos Alcaraz Head-to-Head Statistics
Going up against one another on the ATP Tour five occasions, Alcaraz leads their head-to-head 3-2. The matches have almost always been tight and have exhibited two of the finest young gifted men in tennis. Their most recent instance was at the Indian Wells ATP 1000 in 2025, when Draper managed to edge Alcaraz in three topsy episodes, 6-1, 0-6, 6-4 (sofascore.com). Draper's win in this clash showed his maturity, which will be a threat across, but Alcaraz's lead in their score and his stronger credentials on clay make this Rome quarterfinal clash an interesting one.
📉 Jack Draper vs Carlos Alcaraz Betting Tips & Odds
- Both players have a strong record when winning the first set. Draper has won 89% of matches after taking the first set, while Alcaraz boasts a 93% conversion rate.
- Alcaraz has a higher success rate in deciding sets, winning 70% compared to Draper's 58%.
- Draper averages 6.71 aces per match, significantly higher than Alcaraz 4.00, indicating a stronger serve.
- Draper has a slightly better break point conversion rate at 44%, compared to Alcaraz's 42%.
- Alcaraz leads in return games won, with 40% on clay in 2025, surpassing Draper's 31%.
🏆 Jack Draper vs Carlos Alcaraz Match Prediction
The Rome quarterfinal represents a match with great promise, pitting two highly talented youngsters against each other. Both players enter the match on a three-game winning streak, having shared very similar form lines up to now (WLWWW). However, the surface and the statistics present glaring contrasts. Draper has been dominant on serve in clay courts, winning 86 percent of his service games this season, while Alcaraz performs best in return games, with a 40 percent success rate. The H2H tilts slightly towards Alcaraz, 3-2, although Draper thwarted the Spanish youngster in their last meeting at Indian Wells.
On clay, Alcaraz has the advantage, showing grace with movement, excellent point construction, and proof of success at Masters 1000 level. Draper, on the other hand, has the clean shots and Mana momentum that can take Alcaraz to the wire. Thus, they can aspire to a good fight that should drift away to distance.
Below are my betting tips for the match:-
🏅 My prediction for the match is Over 22.5 total games with a coefficient of 1.94 odds on Bet365
🏅 My betting tip for the match is Carlos Alcaraz to win with a coefficient of 1.40 odds on 1xbet
🏅 My main betting tip for the match is Alcaraz to win the first set with a coefficient of 1.48 odds on Betway
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