Jannik Sinner vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Prediction & Betting Tips | Cincinnati Open 2025 Quarterfinal
At the ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati Open, defending champion Jannik Sinner is looking to pursue his hard-court dominance further. Auger-Aliassime has never lost against the Italian—even a walkover has never been granted. In this quarterfinal clash, FAA's mental edge confronts Sinner's recent-form. The clash becomes a must-watch as Auger-Aliassime's perfect record in the rivalry meets the world No. 1's immaculate 2025 run on hard courts.
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Claim Welcome Bonus🇮🇹 Jannik Sinner
Jannik Sinner World No. 1 enters the quarterfinal of Cincinnati as the reigning champion and the player to be beaten on hard courts, having amassed 24 consecutive wins on the surface this season. That win streak started with a 6-1, 6-1 mauling of Daniel Elahi Galán; his quickest win this year-so far, with a rain-interrupted triumph over Gabriel Diallo. He then earned a hard-fought 6-4, 7-6(4) win over Adrian Mannarino to mark his second straight quarterfinal appearance at Cincinnati.
Sinner's preparation is diligent; after his last match, he was spotted practicing his serve late at night. He has reached at least the quarterfinals in nine straight Masters 1000 events. He enters this contest as the favorite for his pinpoint shots, explosive power welding, and consistency.
🇨🇦 Felix Auger-Aliassime
Seeded 23rd, Félix Auger-Aliassime stands out as the sole undefeated competitor in Sinner's path. He won through the quarters by dispatching Benjamin Bonzi 6-4, 6-3, striking nine aces and converting on 89% of his first serves. Previously, he took down Tomas Martín Etcheverry 6-2, 7-6(3) and advanced after Arthur Rinderknech retired.
Currently ranked 28th, FAA is a two-time 2025 titlist as he picked up the trophies in Adelaide and Montpellier, after finishing runner-up in Dubai. The analysts have often credited his enhanced skinny serving and calm decision-making in crunch moments. He enjoys being the underdog, then seeing this match as another platform to keep his impeccable record intact against Sinner.
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Jannik Sinner vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Head-to-Head Statistics
Auger-Aliassime leads their head-to-head 2–0 in completed matches, including a 2-6, 7-6(1), 6-1 win in Cincinnati 2022. With the 2024 Madrid walkover, the record unofficially stands at 3–0.
Jannik Sinner vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Betting Tips and Odds
- Sinner to Win (1X2) – On a 24-match hard-court streak in 2025, with straight-set wins in all three matches so far in Cincinnati.
- Under 21.5 Games – Sinner’s last 6 hard-court wins have averaged 19.6 games; FAA’s last 4 hard-court losses averaged 19.2 games.
- Sinner to Win First Set – He has taken the opening set in 91% of hard-court matches this year; FAA’s rare wins over top-5 players have come after losing the first set.
- FAA Over 7.5 Aces – Hit nine aces vs. Bonzi; averaging 8.3 per match on hard courts in 2025.
- No Tie-Break in Match – None of Sinner’s last 9 wins or FAA’s last 3 hard-court losses featured a tie-break.
Jannik Sinner vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Match Prediction
Sinner is favored to break his losing streak against Auger-Aliassime. Below are top 3 picks:
Sinner -4 Games Handicap (1.671 odds) – He covered -3.5 line in 8 of his last 10 hard-court wins. (Rating: ⭐⭐⭐)
Under 21.5 (1.885 odds) – FAA’s serve-focused game and Sinner’s sharp execution point to shorter sets. (Rating: ⭐⭐⭐⭐)
FAA to Win a Set – No (1.6 odds) – Sinner has swept straight sets in 12 of his last 14 ATP wins on hard courts. (Rating: ⭐⭐⭐)
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