Jasmine Paolini vs Amanda Anisimova Prediction: Top-10 hitters clash for Beijing WTA 1000 glory

Italy
Italy
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02 Oct 2025 13:00
USA
USA
Tennis WTA 1000 Beijing China Quarterfinals
02 October 2025, 13:00
Diamond Court Beijing China
Raphael George
01 Oct 2025
17:42
All time statistics:
1929
1167
96
60.43%
Statistics
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Odds 1,6
Bet Type Amanda Anisimova to win
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Jasmine Paolini vs Amanda Anisimova: Prediction for the Match on October 02, 2025

The China Open quarterfinal between Jasmine Paolini and Amanda Anisimova shapes up to be a hard-court heavyweight test: Paolini (WTA No. 5) has been a breath of fresh air this season with her big-ticket Rome (Italian Open) title and is coming to Beijing with clean early wins; On the other hand, Anisimova (WTA No. 4) has a WTA 1000 title in Doha and a recent Grand-Slam final in her bag. The classic contrast here is Paolini’s controlled, low-error construction vs Anisimova’s aggressive, high-tempo offence, and this should not only determine the flow of the match but also the safest value bets for bettors. We anticipate close service games and numerous break-point situations

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Jasmine Paolini (WTA No. 5) gets to Beijing after winning a major WTA 1000 title in Rome and several good hard-court matches this season; her YTD W/L on the WTA profile is very positive (see WTA for the updated count). In Beijing she has been effective — beating Anastasija Sevastova 6-1, 6-3, then Sofia Kenin 6-3, 6-0 and recently Marie Bouzkova 6-2, 7-5 to the quarterfinal stage — victories that confirm she is progressing through the draw without losing any sets.

Paolini’s tennis is dominated by her typical high quality, heavy groundstrokes, a forehand with a very short take-back that is hard hitting for short balls, and great point construction: she makes her opponents work for every shot rather than giving them easy points. Her serve is good rather than spectacular, and she makes matches long for the opponents who try to overpower her; she has also been successful in the doubles this season, and her net game has improved a lot as well (which is usually good for the singles transition part).

Anyway, she looks to be physically and mentally strong — the Rome trophy was definitely a big motivation for her — and on the Beijing hard courts her return precision and low error rate make her a pretty good threat to a player with a similar game like Anisimova.

Amanda Anisimova (WTA No.4) is one of the season's amazing stories: she grabbed a WTA 1000 title in Doha and went on to have a lot of success in Grand Slam tournaments, with the US Open final being her most recent run. Her WTA profile is loaded with achievements showing not only many victories but also top-10 level results throughout this year.

In Beijing, Anisimova has presented a fighting spirit — after a somewhat shaky start against Karolína Muchová she turned things around to get a 1-6, 6-2, 6-4 victory and advance to the quarterfinal, a performance that was a testament to the ability to recover mentally in the middle of a match and change the tempo of play.

The main features of Anisimova’s game are her smooth, low-bouncing groundstrokes and her knack for producing free points from inside-out forehands and aggressive returns; when she manages to first serve consistently, then she is capable of achieving a high ratio of winners over unforced errors. The downside is volatility — if her serve performance drops or she overextends herself then she can turn the points over to the opponent by double faults or return errors — but her Grand Slam results in recent times indicate better match management and fitness in three-set duels.

On hard courts she has the capability to seize the initiative straight away, imposing her tactics and thus making her opponents, like Paolini, to react faster and take more risks. Considering her recent accomplishments at the highest level (Doha title, slam final), she is going into this match as the favourite by the betting community and a sensible choice to win.

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Anisimova leads the head-to-head 1–0; their only previous meeting was at Parma (Emilia-Romagna Open) in May 2021, where Anisimova won 6-2, 6-1 on clay.

  • Amanda Anisimova to win — She is the favorite and has great recent WTA 1000 and Grand Slam form.
  • More than 21.5 total games — It is very likely that a best-of-three hard-court quarters match will go over 21.5 games when both players hold and trade breaks, and thus this is the most realistic total for 3-set or two tight sets market.
  • Each player to win a set (match to go 3 sets) — Paolini’s steadiness against Anisimova’s offensive game suggests a division of sets; this is less risky than exotic longshots.
  • Paolini to win first set — Paolini is usually very solid at the start and Anisimova can be a bit slow to get her groove on.

I am sure that we will see a very close match, a three-set battle, and Amanda Anisimova will come out on top. Along with her recent impressive performances at the slams and Doha, her raw power surely gives her the edge to win not only the match but also the fight for the fans. Indeed, in Beijing, she demonstrated her fighting spirit when she recovered, and her taking of charge when serving nicely is of a decisive nature. Paolini is nonetheless not a waste of time: her error-free, point-construction style of play and recent big win in Rome show that she will Anisimova make at least a difficult game - that leaves the possibility of a three-set match fluctuation unchanged.

Below are my top 3 bets for this match:

Our main prediction: Amanda Anisimova to win @ 1.6 odds on Bet365 

Our betting tip for the match: Both players to win a set @ 2.34 odds on Betway

Our final betting tip for the match: Over 20 games @ 1.6 odds on 1xbet 

Odds
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Odds 1,6
Bet Type Amanda Anisimova to win
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Odds 2,34
Bet Type Both players to win a set
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Odds 1,6
Bet Type Over 20 games
Bonus 100 EUR
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