Jasmine Paolini vs Anastasija Sevastova: Prediction, Betting Tips & Odds for the Tennis match - 26.09.2025
WTA 1000 China Open at Beijing National Tennis Center is a Round of 64 event, where No. 5 Jasmine Paolini and No. 221 Anastasija Sevastova will battle on September 26, 2025, starting at 06:00. The outdoor hard courts are giving away $8.96 million in prizes, as well as crucial WTA Finals points. Paolini (36-14 YTD) is a force to be reckoned with after winning in Dubai and taking Olympic doubles gold; Sevastova (9-10) is progressing from Austin QF with a Beijing wildcard. Paolini has won H2H 2-0. Bettors: put your money on the favorite to get a good return of your investment.
Claim Welcome Bonus🇮🇹 Jasmine Paolini
Paolini, who is ranked fifth in the world, has a 36-14 record for 2025, which is her best career record, where she has also won the singles title in Dubai and the doubles gold at the Olympics (w/Errani). Some of the recent successes are: US Open R16 (lost to Vondrousova 4-6, 6-4, 6-3); Cincinnati QF (lost to Ostapenko 6-4, 6-3); Toronto SF (lost to Pegula 6-2, 6-3); Wimbledon SF (defeated Vekic in epic, lost to Krejcikova); French Open F (lost to Swiatek 6-2, 6-1); Rome F (lost to Swiatek 6-2, 6-1).
After winning at BJK Cup against Pegula (6-2, 6-1), she is looking forward to a deep run in Beijing as the No. 6 seed with a bye. "I am really doing well on all surfaces - hard courts next," she said after Rome.
Paolini's all-court game is really impressive at 5'4": she has quick defensive plays, a sharp forehand, and the serve has been improved (67.8% first in, 1.42 aces/match). The hard-court win rate is 70% YTD; she has the tactical edge with variety that confuses veterans.
🇱🇻 Anastasija Sevastova
Anastasija Sevastova, No. 221, is back in the game after her maternity leave and is set to make her comeback using her protected ranking. She has been on a good run lately, reaching the Austin and Cluj-Napoca quarterfinals and Transylvania Round of 16. In Beijing, she went on to the next round with a wildcard: she defeated Birrell 6-3, 7-6 (1) in R64. "Step by step- it feels good to compete again," was her reaction after a match in Austin.
Sevastova's unorthodox tactics: cutting backhand and mixing the pace, aggressive returns (top-30 break points won, 3.8/match), and decent footwork. She achieved 50% of her career wins on hard courts, however, her serving (68% first serve in, 2 aces/match) is quite weak if the opponent is a power player. At 35, experience is her weapon for causing upsets but lack of endurance is against her when playing elites like Paolini. Although the wildcard gives her a confidence boost, her winning record against the top 10 (15%) denotes that she is an underdog.
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👥 Jasmine Paolini vs Anastasija Sevastova Head-to-Head Statistics
Paolini leads 2-0: 2021 Rabat (6-3,6-4), 2021 Palermo QF (ret. for Sevastova). All clay; Beijing hard favors Paolini's pace.
🎾 Jasmine Paolini vs Anastasija Sevastova Betting Tips and Odds
- Paolini to Win (1.18): 90% vs. sub-top-200 on hard; Sevastova's 15% top-10 success.
- Paolini 2-0 (1.40): Straight-sets in both H2H; 65% 2025 wins vs. lower ranks.
- Under 20.5 Games (1.75): Paolini averages 18 games in routs; Beijing speed quickens.
- Paolini -5.5 Games (1.85): Covers in 70% top-50 hard wins; exploits Sevastova's returns.
- Over 7.5 Aces for Paolini (1.80): 1.42/match average rises on fast courts vs. weak serves.
🥎 Jasmine Paolini vs Anastasija Sevastova Match Prediction
Paolini's form and H2H dominance deliver a straight-sets masterclass, overpowering Sevastova's variety for Beijing quarters push. Quick breaks, minimal drama.
Best bet recommendations:-
🏅Paolini to Win & Under 21.5 games @ 1.68 odds on 1xbet
🏅Under 20.5 games @ 1.63 odds on Betway
🏅Paolini to win 2-0 @ 1.6 odds on Bet365
⚠️ Disclaimer: Betting odds and lines are subject to change. Please check with your bookmaker for the latest prices before placing any wagers.
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