Jasmine Paolini vs Marie Bouzkova Prediction: Can Paolini overcome Bouzkova’s resurgence?

Italy
Italy
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30 Sep 2025 05:00
Czech Republic
Czech Republic
Tennis WTA 1000 Beijing China Round of 16
Date: 30 September 2025
Time: 05:00 MSK
Venue: National Tennis Center Beijing 
Raphael George
28 Sep 2025
19:03
All time statistics:
1929
1167
96
60.43%
Statistics
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Odds 1,6
Bet Type Jasmine Paolini to win
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Jasmine Paolini vs Marie Bouzkova: Prediction for the Match on September 30, 2025

2025 China Open is going to have its Round of 16 with Jasmine Paolini vs Marie Bouzkova. Paolini, No. 5 WTA, has had an outstanding season that she crowned with a WTA 1000 title in Rome. Bouzkova, No. 52, after defeating Veronika Kudermetova in a hard-fought match, is looking for her biggest win of the year. There is no past H2H record and quarterfinals are at stake, so bettors can witness a game full of tactical changes and chances in different markets.

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WTA No. 5 in the world, Jasmine Paolini has won 28 matches and lost only 10. Her greatest moment of the season was definitely with the Italian Open trophy in Rome, her second WTA 1000 triumph, which is a real wake-up call for her as one of the most improved players on the tour.

In Beijing, Paolini looked like a different player against Kenin as she won 6–3, 6–0 in the Round of 32 — her first victory against Kenin after three previous defeats. That lopsided score emphasized her trust and uniformity on hard courts.

On the tactical front, Paolini uses counterpunching to mix with aggressive baseline play, opening angles with her forehand and finishing off with neat attacks at the net. She has worked on her serve and is now very reliable and she is most often in long rallies when she is great with her stamina. Paolini is coming to this Round of 16 with form and confidence thus she is the favorite both in terms of statistics and psychology.

Marie Bouzkova, ranked WTA No. 52, has a 26-17 record this season. Her lack of consistency has been evident, but her year also comprises a title at the Livesport Prague Open, which is a perfect example of her being able to grab the advantage when the conditions suit her.

In Beijing, Bouzkova grabbed a crucial 6-3, 7-5 victory against Veronika Kudermetova, displaying her aggressive returning and her readiness to go in against the baseline. Her technique highlights early ball-taking, redirecting pace, and breaking up the opponent's rhythm — these are the skills that can make the more stable players like Paolini uncomfortable.

The problem of the Czech has been to keep her standards for the whole duration of the matches. If she is concentrated, she can shorten rallies and control the tempo; if she is off, she drips with unforced errors. In the match against Paolini, Bouzkova should force the issue from the start, hitting second serves hard and coming to the net to stop Paolini from getting into long rallies.

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This will be their first career meeting.

  • Over 21.5 Total Games – Bouzkova’s offense should extend rallies and potentially force a decider.
  • Both Players to Win a Set – Bouzkova’s firepower and Paolini’s steadiness point to a split early.
  • Paolini to Win the Match – Her higher ranking, form, and recent Rome title make her the favorite.
  • Deciding Set Over 9.5 Games – If it goes the distance, expect a tight, nervy finish.
  • Total Aces Over 7.5 – Both players average solid first-serve numbers, with conditions in Beijing favoring quick points.

I expect a three-set battle. Bouzkova’s aggressive style can take a set, but Paolini’s superior consistency, fitness, and confidence from her Rome triumph give her the edge in a deciding set.

Top bet recommendations:-

🎾 Jasmine Paolini to win @ 1.6 odds on 1xbet 

🎾 Over 20.5 games @ 1.683 odds on Bet365

🎾 Both players to win a set @ 2.39 odds on Betway

⚠️ Disclaimer: Odds change quickly. This content is informational only. Bet legally and responsibly. If you have a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Q1: When is Jasmine Paolini vs Marie Bouzkova being played?

A1: The match takes place on September 30, 2025, at 11:00 AM local time in Beijing (06:00 MSK).

Q2: What format will the match follow?

A2: As a WTA 1000 event, the match will be played in best-of-three sets format with standard tie-break rules.

Q3: Who is the favorite to win?

A3: Jasmine Paolini, ranked WTA No. 5, enters as the favorite based on her form and ranking.

Q4: What are the best betting tips for this match?

A4: Top betting tips include Paolini to win, over 21.5 total games, and both players to win a set.

Q5: Where can I read the full prediction?

A5: The full match preview, analysis, and betting tips are available at telecomasia.net.

Odds
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Odds 1,6
Bet Type Jasmine Paolini to win
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Odds 1,683
Bet Type Over 20.5 games
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Odds 2,39
Bet Type Both players to win a set
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