Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs Emma Navarro Prediction: Can Maneiro Shock Navarro in R128?

Spain
Spain
Start
Day
Hours
Minutes
Seconds
Finished
Live
26 May 2025 12:00
USA
USA
Tennis, Grand Slam, French Open, Paris, France, R128
26 May 2025, 12:00
Paris, France
Red Clay Surface 
Raphael George
25 May 2025
17:03
All time statistics:
1929
1167
96
60.43%
Statistics
Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
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Odds 3,60
Bet Type Navarro in 3 sets
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Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs Emma Navarro French Open 2025 R128 match on clay

The French Open 2025 continues on May 26 with a very interesting Round of 128 affair at Roland Garros, where Spain’s Bouzas Maneiro, WTA 71, will be facing the USA’s Navarro, WTA 9. Navarro's last five results went 5-5, including a run to the Strasbourg QF, and is a clear favorite at the price of 1.19. 

Conversely, Maneiro was 6-4 against some decent competition in Morocco, and the bookmaker valued her at 4.33, because of her good recent form. They have never played before, so this opening duel on clay brings plenty of unpredictability. 

Maneiro's clay resilience versus Navarro's steady climb—will experience or ranking finally prevail? We have brought all our analysis of stats, trends, and expert insight, forming some really good betting picks for this opening round clash—go ahead, get in there!

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Jessica Bouzas Maneiro strides on the Rolando Garros clay courts like a fiery matador, gathering all the flamboyance and tenacity with bold strokes to dazzle. Maneiro stands at 71st in WTA, currently holding a 6-4 record and 4-7 on clay in 2025. Her recent loss of 1-6, 3-6 to Ajla Tomljanovic in the QFs at Rabat saw no aces, 2 double faults, a 60% first serve percentage, with just 33% of those points won, 1 out of 8 break points saved, and 3 break points converted. 

For clay in 2025, her stats were 70.2% first serve, 58.5% first serve points won, 80.2% second serve, 1.0 aces per match, 4.6 double faults per match, 41% break points saved, 45% break points converted, and 33% tiebreak win rate. Following a QF finish at the Morocco Open and some good runs in Rouen and Madrid, Maneiro's clay game should be getting sharper, but her 4.6 double faults per match might be costly against Navarro's solid consistency.

Like an architect with plenty of poise, Emma Navarro steps into Roland Garros' clay and builds her game with careful precision and power. 

The WTA no. 9 seed entered with an overall split 5-5 form and a positive 6-5 record on clay for 2025. An interesting statistical set was thrown into the mix during her last 3-6, 7-6, 6-2 defeat against Beatriz Haddad Maia in Strasbourg QF: 0 aces, 9 double faults, 62 percent first serves in, 58 percent first serve points won, 6 out of 12 break points saved, and 5 break points converted. 

She has stats for clay for 2025 of 64.7 percent on the first serve, 63.5 percent on first serve points won, 83.0 percent on second serve, 1.7 aces per match, 4.5 double faults per match, 59 percent break points saved, 40 percent break points converted, and 0 percent tiebreaks won. With her excellent practice at the Italian Open and her rising ranking, it is sure that Navarro's serve and serve would be tested against Maneiro's aggressive play.

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It is a fresh encounter. This means our first meeting in the R128 rounds will be between Jessica Bouzas Maneiro and Emma Navarro without any H2H streaks for reference.

A tight affair develops with Maneiro's 4-7 clay-court record and a 45% break-point conversion ratio contrasting against Navarro's 6-5 record and 40% conversion rate. Maneiro boasts a slightly better performance in close sets, winning 33% of her tiebreaks, while Navarro shines on the defense with 59% of break points saved. 

On clay courts, Navarro holds the upper hand with her higher ranking (WTA 9 versus Maneiro's 71) and recent strong showings going into the semis (Strasbourg and Rome), but Maneiro's recent form at the Morocco Open sets up a perfect storyline for this maiden clash.

  • Navarro’s 6-5 clay record and 59% break point saves make her a solid pick at 1.19 odds
  • Her 33% tiebreak win rate offers value for over 1.5 tiebreaks at 1.85 odds.
  • Both players’ recent sets (e.g., Navarro’s 3-6, 7-6, 6-2) suggest under 20.5 games (1.80 odds).
  • Navarro's 6-5 clay form supports the -4.5 games handicap at 1.71 odds.
  • Maneiro's 45% break point conversion makes +4.5 games a viable bet at 2.09 odds

Emma Navarro sees herself favored due to a clay record of 6-5, 63.5% win rate on first serve points, and a higher WTA 9 ranking when compared with lower-ranked Jessica Bouzas Maneiro (4.33). Maneiro's worrying 4-7 clay record, coupled with her 4.6 double faults per match, is not what you want to see; however, a break-point conversion rate of 45% and tiebreak win rate of 33% do suggest that she will put up a fight. 

Navarro overachieved with a Strasbourg semifinal appearance and 59% break-point saves, while Maneiro struggled at Rabat; the latter, though, has 9 double faults that might invite added pressure. I expect Navarro to win in three sets with her consistency. 

Below are the top betting tips for this clash: 

Match Prediction: Navarro in 3 sets @ 3.60 odds on Bet365

Bet Tip: Navarro -4.5 games @ 1.71 odds on Betway

Main Bet Tip: Under 20.5 games @ 1.80 odds on 1xbet

Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
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Odds 3,60
Bet Type Navarro in 3 sets
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Odds 1,71
Bet Type Navarro -4.5 games
Bonus 250 USD
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Odds 1,80
Bet Type Under 20.5 games
Bonus 100 EUR
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