Kamilla Rakhimova vs Coco Gauff Predictions: Can Rakhimova upset Gauff's hard-court dominance?

Kamilla Rakhimova vs Coco Gauff: Prediction, Betting Tips & Odds for the Tennis match - 26.09.2025

At the WTA 1000 China Open at the Beijing National Tennis Center, the Round of 64 will witness a face-off between the No. 89 Kamilla Rakhimova and No. 3 Coco Gauff on September 26, 2025 (06:00 start). This is an outdoor hard-court event with a total prize money of $8.96 million and very important WTA Finals points on offer. Rakhimova (25-28 YTD) is on a high with qualifier momentum after a Beijing opener win, while Gauff (38-13) is looking forward to her US Open quarters and a Beijing title defense. Their first H2H is in favour of Gauff's power, but Rakhimova's returns could ignite the dispute. Bettors: heavy favorite lines face upset potential in this pacey matchup.

🇷🇺 Kamila Rakhimova

K. Rakhimova, No. 89, got on the tour last year with a 25-28 record, a season of her WTA Tour's somewhat inconsistent individual highlights. She up to the Guadalajara 125 quarters and also got to the US Open second round (d. Dart 6-4, 7-5; l. to Pegula 6-3, 6-2). In addition, a Cincinnati first round loss to Sakkari (6-4, 7-6(4)); Wimbledon third round (d. Paolini 2-6, 6-3, 6-2 before a fourth-round exit); French Open third round (d. Cocciaretto, l. to Zheng). In Beijing, she was successful in the qualifying rounds and then won against Bronzetti 6-4, 6-1 in the R64 opener. "I'm building confidence match by match," she said post-US Open.

Rakhimova's straight groundstrokes and quick defense are compatible with hard courts (48% YTD win rate), where she has a tactical advantage with counterpunching against deep balls. Standing at 5'7", her return game (31.6% games won) is definitely challenging for the servers, however, serve points (59.9%) continue to be broken by the elite returners. After reaching a career-high No. 60 in 2024, she is currently looking for a comeback in the top 80; Beijing's DecoTurf seems to be helping her even more with the aggression, thus, she can be seen as a fighter if she manages to prolong the rallies.

🇺🇸 Coco Gauff

The third-ranked player in the world, Coco Gauff, has a fantastic record of 38-13, crowned by the singles title at Roland Garros and gold at Beijing 2024. Her recent highlights: US Open quarters (d. Tomljanovic 4-6, 6-3, 6-2 R1; d. Vekic 7-6(7-5), 6-2 R2; l. to Sabalenka in QF thriller); Cincinnati semis (d. Ostapenko, l. to Swiatek); Toronto quarters (l. to Pegula).

Her defeat to Yastremska at Wimbledon (6-2, 6-4) was stinging, but she still has her BJK Cup performances to be proud of. After her walkover in Beijing, she is scheduled to play her first round match. "Hard courts feel like home—I'm ready to defend," said Gauff after her US Open exit.

The 21-year-old's all-court game is highlighted by a blistering forehand, athletic returns (top-5 break points converted, 42%/match), and an improving serve (70% first in, 4 aces/match). Her hard-court dominance has earned her a 75% winning rate year-to-date; her tactical versatility—net rushes and baseline grind—confuses qualifiers.

Gauff's mental strength, which she has developed through majors, is extremely apparent in tough moments; She will also be present at the WTA Finals as the Olympic doubles gold medalist. She is hard to beat because of her Gauff's speed against flat hitters like Rakhimova as she is a top favorite on DecoTurf which she knows well.

👥 Kamilla Rakhimova vs Coco Gauff Head-to-Head Statistics

First meeting (0-0). No prior clashes; Beijing hard courts tilt toward Gauff's athleticism over Rakhimova's counters.

🎾 Kamilla Rakhimova vs Coco Gauff Betting Tips and Odds

• Gauff to Win (1.10): 85% success vs. sub-top-80 on hard; Rakhimova's 20% top-10 record.
• Gauff 2-0 (1.40): Straight-sets in 70% 2025 hard wins; Rakhimova drops first set in 60% losses.
• Under 20.5 Games (1.75): Gauff averages 18 games in routs; Beijing pace favors quick points.
• Gauff -5.5 Games (1.85): Covers in 75% top-50 hard victories; exploits Rakhimova's 59.9% hold rate.
• Over 4.5 Aces for Gauff (1.70): 4/match average holds on fast courts vs. returners.

🥎 Kamilla Rakhimova vs Coco Gauff Match Prediction

Gauff's superior athleticism and hard-court mastery overwhelmed Rakhimova in a dominating straight-sets win to move the American on to another deep run in Beijing. Returns will likely be the main factor in the match, with the qualifier offering very little resistance.

Top bet recommendations:- 

🏅Gauff to win and under 20.5 games @ 1.6 odds on 1xbet 

🏅Under 19.5 games @ 1.615 odds on Betway

🏅Gauff -5.5 Games Handicap @ 1.6 odds on Bet365

⚠️ Disclaimer: Betting odds and lines are subject to change. Please check with your bookmaker for the latest prices before placing any wagers.