Leandro Riedi vs Alex de Minaur Prediction | US Open 2025
For the US Open’s Round of 16, we have Leandro Riedi taking on Alex de Minaur, an underdog vs seeded hard court matchup. On one hand, Riedi is well known for his qualifier runs and five-set comebacks; on the other hand, de Minaur is known for consistent top-10 finishes and excellent hard court form in 2025. This US Open prediction utilizes up-to-date rankings, verified match results, and accurate head-to-head information to offer sharp betting insights to the New York showdown at the USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center.
Claim Welcome Bonus🇸🇪 Leandro Riedi (form & statistics)
Leandro Riedi, the Swiss player who came through qualifying and is ranked No. 435, has made a notable breakthrough at the 2025 US Open. Using a protected ranking after an injury, Riedi went through three qualifiers to reach the main event and cruised past Pedro Martínez in his opening round, winning in straight sets (6–4, 6–2, 6–3). In the second round, he mounted a commendable fightback from two sets behind to beat 19th seed Francisco Cerúndolo (3–6, 4–6, 6–4, 6–4, 6–2), and then went through to the next round when Kamil Majchrzak retired at 5–3 in their third-round match. Riedi’s career best was world No. 117, achieved back in August 2024, but he entered Flushing Meadows seeded at No. 435, making his run the greatest ranking differential in the tournament. His week has featured greater durability, sharper serve placement and more aggressive striking from the baseline. Those traits, combined with the momentum of back-to-back wins from qualifying all the way to the fourth round, enhance his threat as a longshot on the New York hardcourts.
🇦🇺 Alex de Minaur (form & statistics)
The world No. 8 and Australian eighth seed, Alex de Minaur, arrives in New York having demonstrated steady performance on hard courts and having competed on Grand Slam stages. De Minaur’s first match was a straightforward victory against Christopher O’Connell, with scores of 6–3, 6–4, 6–4. He then dominated his second match against Shintaro Mochizuki, winning 6–2, 6–4, 6–2. He proceeded to the next round due to Daniel Altmaier's retirement, who was trailing with scores of 6–7(9), 6–3, 6–4, and 2–0. De Minaur is one of the most in-form players on the circuit, having won over 25 matches on hard in 2025. His game combines explosive pace, steady deep range, and elite court coverage; border Mark Beach’s de Minaur has qualified for the US Open fourth round, demonstrating his dominance on Grand Slam tournaments. His top-10 status, de Minaur’s return game and defensive agility make a lot of previously close points winnable, so discipline and a lead are important.
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🤝 Leandro Riedi vs Alex de Minaur Head-to-Head Statistics
No prior senior head-to-head matches between Leandro Riedi and Alex de Minaur.
🎯 Leandro Riedi vs Alex de Minaur Betting Tips and Odds
- De Minaur to win: 8th rank in the world, hard-court form in 2025 (25+ hard-court wins), and proven consistency in Grand Slam tournaments, all of which De Minaur boasts.
- De Minaur to win the first set and the match — He kicked off this US Open by winning in straight sets, defeating O’Connell 6-3, 6-4, 6-4 and Mochizuki 6-2, 6-4, 6-2, demonstrating a grasp on early-set fights.
- Riedi to win a set — the qualifier has the energy from qualifying and from two long main-draw wins and showed it by coming back from two sets down to defeat Cerúndolo in five.
- Total games over 34.5 — Riedi’s five-set endurance and the slow-paced contests point toward a run of 25+ games, or a protracted set.
🎯 Leandro Riedi vs Alex de Minaur Match Prediction
I am confident Alex de Minaur will win, but Leandro Riedi’s recent performance makes the match intriguing. Riedi should get at least one set because of his qualifier momentum and his proven ability to bounce back in five-set matches. He certainly will put up a strong fight against De Minaur, but De Minaur is quite favored to win.
My best 3 betting tips:
📌 Alex de Minaur win & over 29.5 @ 1.67 odds on 1xbet
📌 Riedi to win a set @ 2.11 odds on Betway
📌 Total games over 31.5 @ 1.89 odds on Bet365
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