Learner Tien vs Daniil Medvedev: Prediction, Betting Tips & Odds for the Tennis match - 30.09.2025
On 30 September in Beijing at the China Open 2025 (ATP 500) semifinal, left-hander Learner Tien will be going up against ex-world No.1 Daniil Medvedev. Tien is traveling with a lot of confidence following his Australian Open breakthrough and an impressive run to his first tour semifinal in Beijing while Medvedev has found his good form back here, after winning against Alexander Zverev to the last four. This youth vs. experience clash is perfect for set and games markets — and for bettors looking for value.
Claim Welcome Bonus🇺🇸 Learner Tien
Learner Tien (career-best No. 48, 18 Aug 2025) has essentially metamorphosed 2025 into his breakout year. The 19 year old left-handed player got as far as the fourth round at the Australian Open, notably dispatching Daniil Medvedev in a five-set thriller on 16 January — their first meeting, and a marquee scalp that got him noticed on the big stage.
He hasn't won any ATP singles titles yet, but he has racked up several top-10 wins this season and has been trending towards the top 60 in the last few weeks. On hard courts, he combines the aggressive flat left-handed delivery with his calm defense and the quick change of direction, and he has also demonstrated increased physical endurance in extended matches.
Tien made it to his debut ATP semi in Beijing after Lorenzo Musetti retired from their quarterfinal (4-6, 6-3, 3-0 ret.). Those achievements give him confidence, but the test of consistency against veteran shot-makers still remains.
🇷🇺 Daniil Medvedev
Daniil Medvedev former world No.1 — is still one of the tour's scariest hard-court players because of his depth, timing and return game. He made a good start in Beijing, first beating Davidovich Fokina and then causing a big upset by winning against Zverev 6-3, 6-3 to the semi-final.
Medvedev’s year has been a rollercoaster but he still has the instinct of a top player on hard courts: he hits the ball heavily early, moves very well on the court and his return can change the opponent’s rhythm. Fitness and the number of unforced errors are his two variables; when he reduces the unforced errors and returns aggressively he is the favorite.
Taking into account the recent form in Beijing and his huge experience in big matches, Medvedev should be the one to place a bet on if you are looking for the outcome of this match. However, Tien’s upset at AO shows that he is not invincible.
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👥 Learner Tien vs Daniil Medvedev Head-to-Head Statistics
Learner Tien 1–0 Daniil Medvedev — Tien’s five-set Australian Open victory (16 Jan 2025) is the only meeting so far.
🔍 Learner Tien vs Daniil Medvedev Betting Tips and Odds
- Medvedev to win (match) — experience + current Beijing form gives him an edge.
- Match to go 3 sets (Over 2.5 sets) — Tien has already taken a top opponent the distance; expect at least one recovered set.
- Both players to win a set — probable given Tien’s ability to raise his level and Medvedev’s occasional slow starts.
- Over 22.5 total games — realistic if sets hit tiebreaks or split (typical in tight hard-court semis).
- Tien +3.5 games (handicap) — useful if you want exposure to Tien without backing an outright upset.
🥎 Learner Tien vs Daniil Medvedev Match Prediction
I bet on Medvedev to win in three tight sets. He is in better shape and has more experience which has turned him into a marginal favourite but still Tien’s AO victory and his Beijing run make this a surprising win possible. Throughout the match, Medvedev is supposed to dominate ground strokes and start scoring on return chances. Tien is likely to start quickly being on the attack and if Medvedev’s first serve goes down in percentage then a set is there for him to take.
Top 3 bets:-
🎾Medvedev to win + over 18.5 games @ 1.8 odds on 1xbet
🎾Over 2.5 sets @ 2.52 odds on Bet365
🎾Both players to win a set @ 2.55 odds on Betway
Other predictions
