Lerner Thien vs Daniil Medvedev Prediction: the 18th-ranked player has the best chance of success

Lerner Thien vs Daniil Medvedev: Prediction for the Match on October 8, 2025

Prediction for the ATP Shanghai match which will be held on October 8. Who will be stronger? Check the team conditions! Several betting options are available.

Lerner Thien: form and statistics

The Shanghai tournament was the third on Chinese soil for the American in the autumn of 2025. The week before last, Tien played three matches in Hangzhou, defeating Navone and Zappieri before losing in three sets to Roya. Lerner played five matches in Beijing last week, Tien has four wins in the Chinese capital, over Argentina's Cerundolo, Italy's Cobolli and Musetti, Russia's Medvedev and a loss to Sinner in the final. In Shanghai, the American has three wins over Kecmanovic, Muthe and Norrie. The score of the meeting against Norrie was 7:6, 6:3 in favour of Thien, the match lasted one hour and 48 minutes. During the game Lerner made 4 aces with 4 double faults, won 74% of points on first serve and 46% on second serve, his serve statistics were 29%/81%.

Daniil Medvedev: form and statistics

After grass courts, the Russian played 6 hard court tournaments. In Washington he played three matches, in Toronto two games, in Cincinnati he lost in the first match to Australian Walton in three sets, as well as in New York, where the Russian lost in the first round to Frenchman Bonzi in five sets. In China, the Russian played two matches in Hangzhou, defeating American Basavareddy in two sets and losing to Wu Yibin. In Beijing, Daniil has three wins in two sets, over Briton Norrie, Spaniard Davidovic Fokina and German Zverev and a defeat to Tien. In Shanghai, Daniel defeated Czech Svrčina and Spaniard Davidović Fokina in two sets. The score of the meeting against the Spaniard 6:3, 7:6 in favour of the Russian, the match lasted an hour and 52 minutes. For the game Medvedev made 9 euls with one double fault, won 94% of points on the first serve and 58% on the second serve, 28%/59% receiving stats.

Lerner Thien vs Daniil Medvedev: head to head statistics

Lerner Thien and Daniil Medvedev have played each other twice, both matches formally won by the American in 2025 at the Australian Open and last week in Beijing. It should be noted that Daniil was unable to finish the Beijing meeting and withdrew from the match.

Lerner Thien vs Daniil Medvedev match prediction 8 October 2025

Despite the statistics of head-to-head meetings, we agree with the bookmakers who put the Russian as the favourite to win the match. Daniil is perfectly prepared for the tournament, as shown by both matches in Shanghai. In addition, Daniil is one of the main favourites for the Masters after the withdrawal of a number of top players, including Sinner. We believe that tomorrow Daniel will take revenge on the American for his two defeats this season and we are betting on the favourite. 

Our main prediction: is Correct Score 0:2 for a coefficient of 1.90 in the bet364 bookmaker.

Our betting tip on the match: is Total Under 21.5 for a coefficient 2.01 in the 1xbet bookmaker.

Our final betting tip on the match: is Handicap 2 (+4.5) for a coefficient 2.20 in the betway bookmaker.