Lorenzo Musetti vs Alexander Shevchenko: Prediction, Betting Tips & Odds for the Tennis match - 22.09.2025
In the ATP 250 Chengdu Open, the first seed Lorenzo Musetti will face Alexander Shevchenko on Monday, 22 September 2025 in the semifinals — the meeting is expected to start at around 19:00 local time (Chengdu, UTC+8), which is 14:00 MSK (UTC+3). Musetti (ATP No. 9) aiming his debut trophy of the season, kicks off with a very good record in 2025; Shevchenko (ATP No. 96) is the surprise of the tournament’s semifinalists after winning three encounters with great fighting spirit. This face-off features Musetti’s top-seed steadiness against Shevchenko’s fight-back toughness — perfect conditions for bettors looking for set markets and totals.
Claim Welcome Bonus🇮🇹 Lorenzo Musetti
Lorenzo Musetti is coming to Chengdu as the number one seed of the tournament and one of the main favorites. Currently, he is the ninth-ranked player on the ATP Tour, and according to the ATP's Win/Loss Index, he has a very good record of 20-25 - he has been very consistent throughout the season and is still looking for his first title of the year.
So far, Musetti hasn't shown any mercy: he barely escaped a difficult second round against Dino Prižmić (7-5, 3-6, 6-2) and then he managed a calm quarterfinal to defeat Nikoloz Basilashvili 6-3, 6-3 hence helping him to qualify for his third consecutive Chengdu semi-final.
The one-handed backhand of Musetti, his ability to change the tempo and the spins, and his generally improving return game provide him with tactical advantages on hard court when he is on his flow; in addition, he is also holding the top-seed status as well as the experience entering this semi-final.
🇰🇿 Alexander Shevchenko
It is the week that Alexander Shevchenko demonstrated his ability to bounce back the most in Chengdu. The 24-year-old Kazakh who is ranked at No. 96 has gone through a difficult draw - in fact, he got a walkover from Gaël Monfils (Monfils retired) in round two, narrowly won against Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard in R16 (6-7, 7-6, 6-4), and finally defeated Taro Daniel 7-6(2), 3-6, 6-2 to move to the semis.
Those outcomes indicate Shevchenko’s comfort at closing moments under pressure (several tiebreaks) and his proficiency at deciding sets. He will have on hand a lot of confidence, his typically strong hard-court service, and the "nothing-to-lose" attitude against a top-10 adversary; his problem, however, will be the keeping of his vigor throughout the match against a player of better ball-striking quality like Musetti.
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👥 Lorenzo Musetti vs Alexander Shevchenko Head-to-Head Statistics
Lorenzo Musetti leads Alexander Shevchenko 1–0 — their only prior meeting was at Roland-Garros (31 May 2023), a straight-sets win for Musetti (6-1, 6-1, 6-2).
🥎 Lorenzo Musetti vs Alexander Shevchenko Betting Tips and Odds
- Both players to win a set — Shevchenko has been through the deciding sets this week; Musetti might have a slow start.
- Over 22.5 total games — their recent encounters are few, but both players’ Chengdu matches (three-set outcomes and tiebreaks) indicate a long match.
- Musetti to win (match winner) — his higher ranking, being seeded and a recent clean QF win give him the advantage.
- Tiebreak played — Shevchenko has been in several tiebreaks this week; the first set could be close.
- First set over 10.5 games — both players have had several tight opening sets in this tournament.
🥎 Lorenzo Musetti vs Alexander Shevchenko Match Prediction
Musetti’s ATP pedigree (top seed, more robust 2025 record) and his easy quarterfinal match turn him into the favorite; nevertheless, Shevchenko’s Chengdu week reveals that he is able to keep games tight and tiebreaks. Predict Musetti to have command over the crucial moments but not to be released - most probably, a 3 set match victory.
Top 3 bet recommendations:-
Musetti to win & over 18.5 games @ 1.74 odds on 1xbet
Both players to win a set @ 2.69 odds on Betway
Over 21.5 games @ 1.978 odds on Bet365
⚠️⚠️ Disclaimer: Betting odds and lines are subject to change. Please check with your bookmaker for the latest prices before placing any wagers.
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