Lorenzo Musetti vs Alexander Zverev Prediction: Musetti Aims for Hat-Trick Over Zverev on Home Clay

Lorenzo Musetti
Lorenzo Musetti
Start
Day
Hours
Minutes
Seconds
Finished
Live
14 May 2025 21:30
Alexander Zverev
Alexander Zverev
Tennis, ATP 1000, Rome, Italy, Quarterfinals
14 May 2025, 21:30
Campo Centrale, Rome, Italy
Red Clay Terrain 
Raphael George
14 May 2025
03:00
All time statistics:
1929
1167
96
60.43%
Statistics
Odds
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Odds 2,179
Bet Type Lorenzo Musetti to win
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Lorenzo Musetti vs Alexander Zverev: Prediction for the Match on May 14, 2025

Prediction for the Tennis match which will take place on May 14. Who will turn out to be stronger? Check the players conditions! Several betting options are available.

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Having won three matches consecutively, Lorenzo Musetti enters the Rome quarterfinals with very strong recent form. On Clay courts he boasts, 27 aces served, 80% of service games won, 27% of return games won, and 68% of first serve winner rate (www.atptours.com)

Musetti beat Medvedev in straight sets in the last meeting (7-5, 6-4), serving 4 aces and saving 66% of break points. Against the odds, Musetti, at only 58% on first serves, managed to convert 3 breakpoints on his own, thus giving him a strong belief under pressure (www.sofascore.com). This match was Musetti's third in a row, with his six consecutive sets won.

Musetti has been relying on his elegant one-handed backhand coupled with tactical prowess in his recent victorious streak. His ability to adapt and challenge top-tier players positions him as a formidable contender in the Rome quarterfinals.

The German player is in an excellent groove with a streak of three wins. On clay in 2025, he achieved 78 aces, held serve 83% of the time, broke return 24% of the time, and got 73% of his points on the first serve (www.atptours.com).

Zverev recently beat Arthur Fils in straight sets (6-7, 1-6), punching down 8 aces, saving 71% of break points, hitting first serve 73%, returning first serve 37%, breaking five times, and basically pounding yards off the ground with his breathtaking furious forehand and serve. This one goes in his three-match winning streak, which also includes six straight sets (www.sofascore.com). 

Athleticism and strategic play have been key for Zverev in his recent encounters. His ability to compete and hold his own against elite competition will make him a strong contender in the Rome quarterfinals.

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Lorenzo Musetti and Alexander Zverev have met thrice, with Musetti leading their head-to-head by 2-1. Their last meeting was in October 2024 at the ATP 500 Vienna, where Musetti won by scores of 2-6, 7-6(5), 6-4. Of utmost importance, Musetti had also bested Zverev in the 2024 Paris Olympics quarterfinals in straight sets, 7-5, 7-5 (www.sofascore.com).. Zverev had his sole win at the Madrid Masters in 2022, where Musetti retired because of an injury (www.atptour.com). These results speak for Musetti's dominance in recent times in their meetings 

  • Musetti has won the last two encounters against Zverev, indicating a psychological advantage (www.matchstats.com).
  • Zverev's 83% service games won on clay surpass Musetti's 80%, highlighting his serving prowess.
  • Musetti's 27% return games won on clay slightly edge out Zverev's 24%, suggesting a potential to break Zverev's serve.
  • Zverev's 73% first serve win percentage on clay is higher than Musetti's 68%, indicating a potential advantage in service games.

This Rome quarterfinal featuring Lorenzo Musetti against Alexander Zverev stands for great drama and high-quality tennis. Musetti goes into this encounter brimming with confidence, having recently won three matches in straight sets and holding an edge of 2-1 in their narrative, including wins in Vienna and at the 2024 Olympics. The Italian will now surely feel another surge of momentum, playing for his home crowd.

However, Zverev brings power in serving, some steadiness at the baseline, and more experience in Masters 1000 events. Statistically, in 2025 Zverev has managed to hold 83% of his service games on clay compared to Musetti's 80%, and he also has the edge on first serve efficiency.

This one should be fairly close, considering that both players are fit and comfortable on clay. If Musetti manages to neutralize Zverev's serve and keeps pressing with his backhand, he will be in a good position to go through.

Below are my betting tips for the match:-

🏅My prediction for the match is Lorenzo Musetti to win with a coefficient of 2.179 odds on 1xbet 

🏅 My betting tip for the match is Over 22.5 total games with a coefficient of 1.76 odds on Betway 

🏅 My main betting tip for the match is Musetti to win 2-1 with a coefficient of 4.50 odds on Bet365

Odds
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Odds 2,179
Bet Type Lorenzo Musetti to win
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Odds 1,76
Bet Type Over 22.5 total games
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Odds 4,50
Bet Type Musetti to win 2-1
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