Lorenzo Musetti vs Dino Prizmic Prediction: Can rising Croatian Dino Prizmic upset top seed Musetti, or will Lorenzo’s tour experience close the door in Chengdu?

Lorenzo Musetti
Lorenzo Musetti
Start
Day
Hours
Minutes
Seconds
Finished
Live
20 Sep 2025 09:10
Croatia
Croatia
Tennis ATP 250 Chengdu China Round 16
Date: 20 September 2025
Kickoff: 09:10 MSK
Venue: Centre Court Chengdu China
Raphael George
19 Sep 2025
13:42
All time statistics:
1929
1167
96
60.43%
Statistics
Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
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Odds 2,11
Bet Type Musetti win 2-0
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Lorenzo Musetti vs Dino Prizmic: Prediction for the Match on September 20, 2025

The Round of 16 match at the ATP 250 Chengdu Open (Center Court, Chengdu) will see Italian Lorenzo Musetti face off against Croatian Dino Prižmić on 20 September 2025. Musetti comes as the number one seed of the tournament and a top-10 player of the ATP ranking; while Prižmić is full of energy from the Challenger and is gradually making more ATP-level appearances. For bettors, primary markets of interest are match-winner, both-players-to-win-a-set, and total games.

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Lorenzo Musetti is the number nine player in the world according to the ATP rankings (check the current ATP profile) and never ceases to amaze with his inventiveness. Over this season, he has alternated deep runs in big tournaments with some difficult losses - at the 2025 US Open, he reached the quarterfinals where he lost to Jannik Sinner. In 2024, Musetti was also the finalist in Chengdu, so he must be quite comfortable with the place and conditions. His flashy one-handed backhand, progress (dropping, slicing) and speed change capability provide him with a tactical advantage over aggressive youngsters; on the fast hard court in Chengdu, his footwork and rally building should be sufficient to cancel out their raw power. I am sure Musetti will be able to control the flow of the match and keep his errors at a minimum against a younger player who plays a low percentage game.

Dino Prižmić is a rising Croatian talent whose ATP ranking is around the low-120s (his career-high of No.119 was in early September 2025). He has been very good this season at the Challenger level, winning titles and pushing his ranking into the 120s, which has allowed him more ATP main-draw opportunities this summer. Prižmić defeated Terence Atmane in Chengdu’s first round to be able to play this second-round confrontation with Musetti and to come into the match with confidence. Aggressive baseline hitting and the willingness to hit the ball early are among his strengths; his problem is the struggle to keep the consistency and to have the errors be minimal when there are long rallies against top-10 opponents

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No previous ATP-level meetings — this is their first tour-level head-to-head. 

  • Musetti — Match Winner — top-10 experience and tactical variety give him the slight advantage.
  • Both Players to Get a Set — Prižmić’s attacking play and form make it a set for him realistic.
  • Over 20.5 Total Games — the wager should be on a tight match (e.g., 6-4 / 6-3 range) rather than a one-sided affair.
  • Musetti to Grab First Set — more probable option as he is known for quick starts
  • Under ~11 Aces Total to be Expected — just by looking at the numbers, neither player is an extremely high-ace server.

I really think Musetti will go through but he won’t have it easy. He is the number one favorite to win based on his top-10 ranking, ATP experience and being at ease in Chengdu. However, I believe that Prizmich's Challenger form and fearless baseline game will be enough to take at least one set. So while betting on Musetti’s victory, you should also consider combined markets on sets and games to find more value.

My Best 3 Bets:-

🎾Musetti — Match Winner (2-0) @ 2.11 odds on Bet365 

🎾Both Players to Win a Set @ 2.34 odds on Betway 

🎾Over 20.5 Total Games @ 1.6 odds on 1xbet

⚠️⚠️Disclaimer: Betting odds and lines are subject to change. Please check with your bookmaker for the latest prices before placing any wagers.

Odds
Bet Type
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Odds 2,11
Bet Type Musetti win 2-0
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Odds 2,34
Bet Type Both Players to Win a Set
Bonus 250 USD
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Odds 1,6
Bet Type Over 20.5 Total Games
Bonus 100 EUR
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