Lorenzo Musetti vs Nikoloz Basilashvili: Prediction, Betting Tips & Odds for the Tennis match - 21.09.2025
ATP 250 Chengdu Open quarterfinal - Center Court, Chengdu (21 Sep 2025). Number 1 seed Lorenzo Musetti, who is one of the breakthrough players in 2025, will face the Georgian qualifier Nikoloz Basilashvili, who has toppled the top names this year. Musetti preceded at the US Open and is the favorite to win according to the betting market; however, Basilashvili’s powerful hitting, low-variance serving, and recent grass upset over Musetti turn this into a tactical test. The official draw places the match in the Sep 21 quarterfinal session at Center Court.
Claim Welcome Bonus🇮🇹 Lorenzo Musetti
Lorenzo Musetti (ATP No.9) has been very consistent throughout the 2025 season - ESPN records his 2025 singles W-L as 30-13. In fact, he went all the way to the US Open quarter-finals in early September before coming to Chengdu. Musetti is the highest-ranked player and last year’s Chengdu runner-up, and his smooth one-handed backhand, variation and serving have improved to such an extent that he is the only hard court player with a definite chance of winning. He defeated Dino Prižmić 7-5, 3-6, 6-2 to move on (Musetti said he had some early match tension but was able to change his pace in the third set). Musetti's 2025 season is highlighted by his outstanding performances at the clay Masters and French Open semi-finals, demonstrating both his good shape and great potential - however, he can still be very volatile and has had some injury and fitness episodes this season which Basilashvili is aiming to take advantage of.
🇬🇪 Nikoloz Basilashvili
The ATP rankings show Niikoloz Basilashvili is approximately No.114. He has just regained his menace: a player that was in the Top 20 with power and accuracy from the baseline, one-paced but effective serve, and a lot of experience on the circuit. Preparing himself well for the main draw in Chengdu he overcame Mackenzie McDonald 6-2, 7-6(4) to get this quarters clash — that match was as good as a qualifier.
Basilashvili's campaign for 2025 can be called a setback (ESPN has him 4-7 for the year), yet he is a seasoned player who can change his fortunes in a single match — he put Musetti out at Wimbledon 2025 (6-2, 4-6, 7-5, 6-1) replicating the scenario of a top-ten player being pestered by him when serving and timing are good. I am sure on this faster outdoor hard court in Chengdu he will seek to dictate play straight away and not allow Musetti to unlock his groove.
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Lorenzo Musetti vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Head-to-Head Statistics
Basilashvili leads the pair 2–1: Basilashvili won in Stuttgart (June 2022) and at Wimbledon (July 1, 2025); Musetti’s win came in Paris (Nov 2022).
Lorenzo Musetti vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Betting Tips and Odds
- Musetti to win (match) — First of all, Musetti is our favorite player. Also, he will be coming with great training from 2025 and started his Chengdu tournament very well.
- Both players to win a set — the fact that the two players have battled head-to-head and their recent performances show that Basilashvili will only take a set if he manages to keep his serve at the beginning of the match.
- Over 19.5 games — Long Musetti’s rallies and Basilashvili’s fight will probably make the match go on for multiple sets.
- Basilashvili +3.5 games (handicap/value) — a live handicap or spread is a good option if you think the bookmaker has overestimated the qualifier and thus offers value for you.
Lorenzo Musetti vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Match Prediction
I am sure that Musetti will come out as the winner but I expect that it won't be a simple three-set match. As a result of Musetti’s better perform⁶ances this year, higher ranking and more beautiful shots, he will have the upper hand; on the other hand, Basilashvili’s progress in the qualifiers, unexpected victory at Wimbledon, and strong flat game make him a threat to taking some sets and the match becoming longer. Thus, to bet on Musetti's victory is a good option but you should also keep an eye on the first set market.
Top bet recommendations:-
Musetti to win & over 19.5 games @ 1.99 odds on 1xbet
Both players to win a set @ 2.58 odds on Betway
Basilashvili +3.5 handicap games @ 1.93 odds on Bet365
⚠️Disclaimer: Projected odds are speculative; official bookmaker lines may differ once released. Always check live markets before betting.
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