Luca Nardi vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction: the Spaniard Will Struggle to Win

Luca Nardi vs Carlos Alcaraz: Prediction for the Match on August 14, 2025

In the 1/8 finals of the Cincinnati tournament, the 98th-ranked player in the world, Luca Nardi, will be playing against Carlos Alcaraz, who is currently ranked 2nd in the world. The two of them had met once before in the Tour, and the Spaniard had won that one 1-0.

Luca Nardi: form and statistics

For the Italian player, the Ohio Masters was the first hard-court tournament in ages. Nardi has beaten Mayo, Bloks, Tirante, Shapovalov and Menshik five times in Cincinnati. The match against Menshik was 6:2, 2:1 to Nardi. The match wasn't played out and lasted 44 minutes. During the game, the Italian made three aces with one double fault, won 75% of the points on the first serve and 73% on the second. Here are the admission statistics: The stats show 33%/71%, 7/6 for the winners and unforced errors.

Carlos Alcaraz: form and statistics

For Alcaraz, the upcoming match will be the third on the hard court after the clay and grass parts of the season. Remember, the Spaniard won Roland Garros and the London tournament in 2025, and made it to the final at Wimbledon, where he lost to Sinner. In Cincinnati, Alcaraz has beaten Jumhur and Medzhezhovich twice. The match against Medjedovic ended 6–4, 6–4 to the Spaniard. It lasted an hour and 35 minutes. During the game, the Spaniard made 12 aces with three double faults, winning 79% of the points on the first serve and 63% on the second. Here are the admission statistics: Just to let you know, the statistics are 36%/50%, 15/18 for the winnera dna the unforced errors.

Luca Nardi vs Carlos Alcaraz: head-to-head statistics

Luca Nardi and Carlos Alcaraz played each other once, in February 2025 in Doha, and the Spaniard won that match in three sets.

Luca Nardi vs Carlos Alcaraz match prediction 14 August 2025

The Spaniard is pretty much guaranteed to win the next game, but it won't be a walk in the park. Nardi did really well on the courts in Cincinnati, losing only one set in five matches at the Masters. On top of that, Nardi won a game against the second-best player in the world at the start of the year. We think it'll be a pretty tough match, but the favourite will probably win.

Our main prediction: TO 18.5 for a coefficient of 1.91 in the 1xbet bookmaker.

Our betting tip on the match: W2 & Total Over 17.5 for a coefficient 1.72 in the bet365 bookmaker.

Our final betting tip on the match: Handicap 1 (5.5) for a coefficient of 2.20 in the betway bookmaker.