Madison Keys vs Maria Saville: Prediction and odds on the Match on 26 May 2025
May 26, 2025, will see the continuation of the French Open as a dramatic Round of 128 match gets underway at Roland Garros between USA's Madison Keys (7 WTA) and Australia's Daria Saville (134 WTA). In the imminence of this serious face-off, Keys, in 6-4 form after her R32 run in Rome, bucks in as a one-point-zero-six-three price while 5-5 Saville retains odds of 8.9 to recapture her win from the 2017 Rome Open that defied all odds.
It's an even record of 1-1 adding more spice to this clay court battle. Keys' power meets Saville's resolve-will the underdog prevail?
Our analysis combines stats, trends, and insights into sharp betting picks for this R128 extravaganza commencing tonight at 09:13 PM WAT-read on!
Claim Welcome Bonus🇺🇸 Madison Keys: form and statistics
Springing onto red clay with the wrath of an American comet and blazing strokes used to illuminate the courts, Madison Keys was there. WTA-ranked 7, Keys holds a 6-4 form and a clay form going 5-3 into 2025.
On her last outing to Rome R32, she lost against Peyton Stearns 6-2, 2-6, 6-7 after having served 6 aces and 6 double faults, first serves at 66%, first serve points won at 63%, break points saved at 9/14, and break points converted at 5.
Present clay stats for her read: first serve at 67.2%, first serve points won at 64.7%, second serve at 92.7%, 3.5 aces/match, 1.8 double faults/match, break points saved at 60%, break points converted at 39%, and tiebreak win at 75%. Certain of a clay person after a 6-ace showing in Rome following a QF run in Madrid 2024 are double faults that can allow Saville in.
🇦🇺 Daria Saville: form and statistics
With Daria Saville making her entrance onto the wapati clay of Roland Garros, the cagey mentality of "anything for a point" seems to come into play. The WTA number 134, Saville arrives with an overall form of 5-5 and 4-2 for 2025 on clay.
The latest to show 3 aces, 1 double fault, 64% first serve, 59% first serve points won, 1 out of 5 break points saved, and 5 break points converted in a 6-2, 2-6, 4-6 loss against Townsend in the French Open qualifiers was her. Her 2025 clay stats read: 66.2% first serve, 57.0% first serve points won, 84.8% second serve, 1.7 aces per match, 3.5 double faults per match, 47% break points saved, and 38% break points converted-100% wins in tiebreaks.
Saville's qualifier run and 2017 Rome win against Keys put her in highlight reels for the big upsets, but her 47% bodacious break point saves will face a stern test.
More Tennis Predictions
Madison Keys vs Daria Saville: Head-to-Head Statistics
Madison Keys and Daria Saville's H2H are tied in matches, with Saville clinching the last meeting 2-1(6-2, 5-7, 7-5) in 2017 Rome R64 on clay.Keys' 5-3 clay record and 64.7% of first serve points won slightly edge over Saville's 4-2 and 57.0%, with Saville being perfect in winning tiebreakers on clay while Keys stands at 75%.
Their 2017 meeting lasted 27 games, clearly suggesting a tight encounter. Keys' higher ranking (WTA 7 vs. 134) and recent form come in her favor, but Saville's more clay experience and previous victory over Keys make this an outright dangerous encounter for the American.
Madison Keys vs Daria Saville Betting Tips and Odds
- Keys’ 5-3 clay record and 60% break point saves make her a lock at 1.063 odds
- Saville's 100% tiebreak win rate offers value for over 1.5 tiebreaks at 1.85 odds.
- Keys’ 3.5 aces/match and Saville’s 47% break point saves suggest under 18.5 games (1.76 odds).
- Keys’ 64.7% first serve points won backs the -6.5 games handicap at 1.88 odds.
- Saville's 38% break point conversion makes +6.5 games a safe bet at 1.88 odds.
Madison Keys vs Daria Saville Match Prediction
With a WTA ranking of 7, Madison Keys (1063) is favored to overcome Daria Saville (8.9) on clay, her record standing 5-3, with 3.5 aces against Saville per match. Saville's 4-2 record on clay, 100% win record on tiebreaks, and the 2017 Rome victory over Keys keep the match competitive-for this moment.
Keys, however, have a slight upper hand when considering 39% of her break point conversion compared to Saville's 47% break point save record. Keys had six double faults in the Rome R32 loss, which may be the source of weakness, albeit the lady with 75% tiebreaks won should push through with a win. A straight-set win should be expected from Keys as a power showcase.
Below are the top betting tips for the match:
Match Prediction: Keys -6.5 games @ 1.90 Odds on Bet365
Bet tip: Keys -6.5 games @ 1.88 Odds on Betway
Main Bet tip: Under 18.5 games @ 1.76 Odds on 1xbet
Other predictions
