Naomi Osaka vs Clara Tauson Prediction: Experience meets momentum in Montreal’s high‑stakes semifinal

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07 Aug 2025 02:10
Denmark
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Tennis WTA 1000 Montreal Canada Semifinals
07 Aug 2025 | 02:10
Court Central Montreal Canada
Outdoor Hard
Raphael George
06 Aug 2025
09:32
All time statistics:
1929
1167
96
60.43%
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Odds 1,6
Bet Type Clara Tauson to win by (+3.5) Handicap
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Naomi Osaka vs Clara Tauson: Prediction for the Match on August 07, 2025

The duel between Naomi Osaka and Clara Tauson in the semifinal of the WTA 1000 Canadian Open on August 7, 2025, is a duel between pedigree and momentum. Osaka, ex-steamroller world No 1 and four-time Grand Slam winner, seems capable of asserting her hard-court game again and is focused at the moment. Meanwhile, Tauson-the young Dane-won here in Montreal with four clean-set victories, including those over Iga Swiatek and Madison Keys. This matchup offers excellent angles for Montreal WTA betting predictions, head-to-head analyses, and player-form breakdowns. Do expect high-intensity as experience clashes with confidence and consistency between Osaka and Tauson.

Keywords: Naomi Osaka, Clara Tauson, Canadian Open, WTA 1000, Montreal semifinal, tennis betting predictions, H2H, tactical analysis

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Naomi Osaka, a four‑time Grand Slam champion and former world No 1, has admitted worth to her top‑50 placement with an aggressive run at Montreal. The Japanese gun blasted his way into the last four, thrashing Anastasija Sevastova 6‑1, 6‑0 and dispatching Elina Svitolina 6‑2, 6‑2 in the quarterfinals. First-ever since Miami 2022, this is a very big comeback on the WTA 1000 scene. After a 15-month layoff and becoming a mother in July 2023, Osaka appears reinvigorated, as seen in her recent interviews, and is ready to put in hard work with her coach Patrick Mouratoglou in the pursuit of another title, with clear minds and an intense desire. Online, her fans have showered her with appreciation for exhibiting so much composure and went completely clinical in her performances throughout the tournament; she was aptly described as "take-again-to-a-clinic" in Montreal. This super power game back to its rusty glory with hardly any history of failure on the stage is certainly worth a look for her.

Currently at No. 19, Clara Tauson remains undefeated in Montreal with four straight-set victories, and not five, as was erroneously reported before. Her run includes the shocking 7-6(1), 6-3 defeat of world No. 3 Iga Swiatek, followed by an almost crushing 6-1, 6-4 win over Madison Keys. Tauson served like she was born to serve against Keys, hitting down aces 5 times, hitting 100-one-hundred percent on breakpoint conversion, and not being broken once. More importantly: It took great resolve. She dedicated the win to her grandfather, who had passed away a day before her match against Swiatek, a deeply human and widely spreading story across social media and from player commentary. The WTA has been paying much attention to her recent form, and many commentators are already seeing her as a force to be reckoned with in the 2025 season. With an air of great confidence, first-strike forcefulness, and big upset wins against three top-10 players, Tauson is definitely making the case of the dark horse favorite in this semifinal.

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In their only previous meeting, Tauson leads the H2H 1‑0 after she prevailed when Osaka retired trailing 4‑6 in the Auckland final earlier this year.

  • Tauson has won 4 consecutive matches in straight sets at Montreal, including upsets over Swiatek (7‑6, 6‑3) and Keys (6‑1, 6‑4).
  • Osaka has lost just 8 games in her last 3 matches, including a 6‑1, 6‑0 win over Sevastova and 6‑2, 6‑2 vs Svitolina.
  • Both players boast 80%+ first‑serve win rates in their last two matches—Tauson (31/40 vs Keys), Osaka (82% vs Svitolina).
  • Their only H2H was won by Tauson after Osaka retired (6‑4), but Osaka led in first‑serve points (71%) before retiring.

I expect a tight, emotionally charged match. Osaka brings Grand Slam experience and recent dominance, but Tauson’s unwavering form and confidence are no joke.

My top 3 betting tips: 

Clara Tauson to win by (+3.5) Handicap @ 1.6 odds on 1xbet.com – She’s beaten two top‑10 players this week and leads the H2H. (Rating: ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐)

Over 22.5 total games @ 2.042 odds on Betway.com – With both players serving big and holding consistently, a long battle is expected. (Rating: ⭐⭐⭐)

Tiebreak played in the match @ 2.84 odds on Bet365.com – Tauson and Swiatek went to a breaker, and Osaka’s serving suggests another could unfold here. (Rating: ⭐⭐⭐)

Odds
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Bet Type Clara Tauson to win by (+3.5) Handicap
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Odds 2,042
Bet Type Over 22.5 total games
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Bet Type Tiebreak played in the match
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