Novak Djokovic vs Alejandro Tabilo Prediction: Djokovic 80% Chance to Shatter Tabilo in Athens Open 2025

Novak Djokovic
Novak Djokovic
Start
Day
Hours
Minutes
Seconds
Finished
Live
04 Nov 2025 19:00
Alejandro Tabilo
Alejandro Tabilo
Tennis ATP 250 Athens Greece Round of 16
04 Nov 2025 | 19:00 MSK
Center Court Athens Greece 
Indoor Hard
Raphael George
03 Nov 2025
22:00
All time statistics:
1929
1167
96
60.43%
Statistics
Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
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Odds 1,6
Bet Type Djokovic -3 games
Bonus 100 EUR
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Novak Djokovic vs Alejandro Tabilo: Prediction for the Match on November 04, 2025

As the tennis world buzzes with excitement, Novak Djokovic, the 38-year-old champion boasting 24 Grand Slam titles and a recently earned 100th title, takes to the Center Court in Athens. This ATP revival event isn't just a warm-up for his Turin campaign—it represents a chance for Djokovic to bounce back after his recent semi-final loss in Shanghai. Standing across from him is Alejandro Tabilo, the Chilean qualifier turned champion, fresh off a Chengdu victory that marked a significant comeback from a rocky start.

Fans are on the edge of their seats as Djokovic's powerful backhand meets Tabilo's aggressive flat shots. Sports analysts give Djokovic an 80% chance of winning, spotlighting his dominance on hard courts. For Djokovic, a victory solidifies his position for the ATP Finals, while Tabilo aims for a top-50 return and hopes to prove he can pull off an upset against one of the game’s greats.

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Novak Djokovic is once again making waves in the ATP world with his impressive 35–11 record this year. Dominating hard courts, he boasts an incredible 21–4 performance, showcasing an impressive 84% win rate against top-10 opponents—turning potential upsets into decisive victories.

His journey through the Shanghai tournament demonstrated not just skill but tenacity. In the fourth round, he faced off against Jaume Munar, fighting through ankle pain and the sweltering heat to clinch a 6-3, 5-7, 6-2 victory, saving 5 of 6 break points along the way. Following that, he outlasted Zizou Bergs in the quarterfinals, winning 6-3, 7-5 as he patiently capitalized on Bergs’ exhaustion.

Reflecting on his recent indoor matches, Djokovic has performed impressively with a record of 4 wins and 1 loss. His post-match remarks reveal his relentless drive: "The fire's still roaring—Turin calls, and I'm answering with everything I've got." This competitive spirit is palpable, especially when he also hit a staggering 10 aces in a straight-set win.

What makes Djokovic particularly formidable indoors is his 78% win rate on first serves. He knows how to leverage his strengths, especially against players like Tabilo by breaking down their flat forehand with low slices and forcing errors from their single-handed backhand.

Looking ahead, Djokovic’s momentum is crucial for securing his spot in Turin. Having proven time and again that age is just a number, he’s not just competing; he’s thriving. At 38, he seems sharper than ever, ready to add even more accolades to his already stellar legacy.

Cristian Tabilo has had an impressive year on the court, with a record of 27 wins and 22 losses, showcasing his hard-court prowess. His recent performance includes a strong 15 wins against 10 losses, marking a notable 60% rise in his game thanks to his victory at the Chengdu tournament. Tabilo demonstrated his remarkable baseline power against a range of competitors.

In Chengdu, he lit up the court, defeating Luciano Darderi 6-4, 6-3 in the quarterfinals, where he fired off an impressive 32 winners while saving every break point. He went on to capture the title against Lorenzo Musetti, wrapping up the final with scores of 6-3, 2-6, 7-6(5)—a nail-biter in which he saved two match points with powerful forehands. That kind of clutch play really showcases his skill under pressure.

In his last five indoor matches, Tabilo's record stands at 3-2, including a thrilling win against Musetti and two tough losses to Bublik and Nakashima. His ability to turn difficult moments into victories is something to admire, and his post-match quote after defeating Musetti perfectly sums it up: "From the brink to the breakthrough—this one's for every doubter turned believer."

Currently ranked just outside the top 50, Tabilo, often referred to as the “upset king,” is looking to cement his place among the greats in tennis. With his return skills and impressive second-serve wins, he’s poised for more success. As he chases his goals this season, fans are excited to see if he can rise even higher in the ATP rankings.

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When it comes to their head-to-head matches, Tabilo's proven to be a thorn in Novak Djokovic's side, leading 2–0 overall on the ATP tour. The last showdown took place in 2025 at the Monte-Carlo Masters, where Tabilo pulled off a stunning 6-3, 6-4 victory. With three breaks against Djokovic and only 22% success on second serves for the Serb, Tabilo made quite an impression.

Their encounter in Rome in 2024 was similarly one-sided, ending 6-2, 6-3. Interestingly, while Djokovic dominates on hard courts, boasting a first-serve success rate of 78%, Tabilo’s speed could take him by surprise. As we look ahead, Tabilo is a tempting bet at +3.5 games. Can he pull off another upset, or will Djokovic reclaim his throne?

  • Djokovic ML @ 1.25 (1xbet, 03-Nov 18:00) — His 7-1 indoor run and hard-court 84% wins beat Tabilo's 38.8% ATP hard rate.
  • Djokovic -3.5 games @ 1.7 — H2H turn needs payback, tied to 78% indoor first-serve hold for simple cover.
  • Under 22.5 games @ 1.76 — Novak's 92% indoor service games cut rallies short, like 4 of his last 5 fast wins.

Who wins? Novak Djokovic 80%.

In a thrilling matchup, Novak Djokovic will showcase his undeniable serving prowess against Alejandro Tabilo, racking up eight aces and holding 85% of his service games. 

The first is expected to go decisively to Djokovic, 6-2, as his pinpoint 15-slice backhand forces Tabilo into 12 errors, allowing Novak to break four out of five chances.

Tabilo, not one to back down easily, will make a bold move in the second set. He will switch to topspin loops, save three break points, and even manage to tie the set at 3-3 with a stunning forehand blast before ultimately losing it 6-4. Djokovic's second serve will prove dominant, with a remarkable 45% win rate indoors.

By the third set, Djokovic will be in full control, winning it 6-3 with three break points, dismantling Tabilo's backhand effortlessly. 

Final score of 6–2, 4–6, 6–3. 

Djokovic's impressive indoor service games confirm his elite skill, redirecting any fear he might have from clay to hard courts as he sets his sights on Turin.

Top 3 Recommended Bets:

Djokovic -3 games @ 1.6 odds on 1xbet

Djokovic -3.5 games @ 1.7 odds on Betway

Under 22.5 games @ 1.76 odds on Bet365

Odds
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Odds 1,6
Bet Type Djokovic -3 games
Bonus 100 EUR
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Odds 1,7
Bet Type Djokovic -3.5 games
Bonus 250 USD
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Odds 1,76
Bet Type Under 22.5 games
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