Novak Djokovic vs Lorenzo Musetti Prediction: Can Musetti pull off a miracle with Turin on the line?

Novak Djokovic
Novak Djokovic
Start
Day
Hours
Minutes
Seconds
Finished
Live
08 Nov 2025 18:00
Lorenzo Musetti
Lorenzo Musetti
Tennis ATP 250 Athens Greece Final
08 Nov 2025 | 18:00 MSK 
Center Court Athens Greece 
Indoor Hard 
Raphael George
08 Nov 2025
15:06
All time statistics:
1929
1167
96
60.43%
Statistics
Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
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Odds 1,68
Bet Type Djokovic -2.5 games
Bonus 100 EUR
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Novak Djokovic vs Lorenzo Musetti: Prediction for the Match on November 08, 2025

Novak Djokovic is on the hunt for his 101st title after just securing his 200th indoor match win in Athens! At 38 years old, he’s still defying age with a stellar record, boasting an impressive 100th title already this year in Geneva. Facing him is the rising star Lorenzo Musetti, just 23 and ranked No. 8 in the world. Musetti is eager for victory—not just to enhance his own ranking but to mark his debut in Turin.

The odds are in Djokovic’s favor, with models giving him a 75% chance of winning. He has dominated their head-to-head matchups, leading 8-1, and he’s an astonishing 30-0 after taking the first set. For Musetti, overcoming Djokovic’s formidable presence would be a sweet redemption, especially after his loss in Monte Carlo earlier this year. As the excitement builds, who will come out on top?

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Djokovic is 30-0 after set one in 2025 (ATP). 

Novak Djokovic is showcasing remarkable form in 2025, remaining undefeated after the first set with a stunning 30-0 record. This year, he has tallied 38 wins against 11 losses, with a competitive top-10 record of 3-4. When playing indoors, he’s been unbeatable, standing strong at 4-0—thanks in part to his razor-sharp backhand.

After a surprising exit in Shanghai against Vacherot, Djokovic opted out of the Paris Masters. However, he made a powerful comeback in Athens, winning two solid matches. He first faced Borges, edging out a tight contest 7-6(1), 6-4 while saving all break points. Following that, he dominated Hanfmann with a score of 6-3, 6-4, again without dropping his serve.

Djokovic's recent indoor performance is impressive, with five consecutive wins, showcasing a strong 65% success rate on break points and a solid 72% hold under pressure. In his match against Musetti in Miami, he tactically targeted the backhand, leading to 18 forced errors and a dominant 6-2, 6-2 scoreline.

As the season progresses, Djokovic has his eyes set on Turin, driven by legacy and the quest for the top rank in men’s tennis. With odds favoring his indoor prowess, fans are eager to see what he will achieve next.

Musetti is 7-3 indoors in 2025 (ATP).

Musetti with a solid indoor record of 7 wins and 3 losses in 2025, he’s showing that he thrives under pressure and isn’t afraid to take risks on the court. This year, his overall stats shine; he boasts an impressive 44 wins against just 19 losses, including a notable 12 victories over top-20 opponents.

However, the road hasn't been without its bumps. Recently, Musetti faced a tough loss in the second round of the Paris Masters against Sonego, where he let slip three match points in a match that ended 3-6, 6-3, 6-1. But Musetti bounced back with resilience, defeating Wawrinka in Athens and showcasing his ability to save break points and pressure situations.

With a hard-court record of 23 wins to 14 losses this season, Musetti is building momentum. He even pulled off an impressive win against Korda, delivering an astounding 12 aces. His recent performances show a mixture of success and struggle, with his last five indoor matches resulting in three wins and two losses.

Looking ahead, Musetti expressed his mindset after the Paris loss, acknowledging regret yet emphasizing his ability to flip the situation into motivation. As he sets his sights on the Turin ATP Finals, every match counts. Watch for his signature drop shots and low slices—he's not just playing; he’s pushing for greatness in the thrilling world of tennis.

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H2H: Djokovic 8–1 (ATP). Their latest encounter in 2025 saw Djokovic dominate with a score of 6-2, 6-2, breaking Musetti five times over 18 games. This match adds to Djokovic’s impressive record, dating back to their first clash at the 2021 French Open, where he stormed back from two sets down to win. Musetti recently captured the spotlight with his victory on clay at the 2023 Monte-Carlo tournament, but on hard courts, Djokovic remains undefeated. With a staggering 75% first-serve success indoors, the stakes are high for this thrilling match. 

  • Djokovic ML @ 1.408 (1xbet) – 30-0 streak and H2H lock.
  • Djokovic -3.5 games @ 2.144 – Wins by 5+ indoors.
  • Under 22.5 games @ 2.037 – Strong serve ends quick.

Who Wins? Djokovic wins 75%. 

In an exciting match, Novak Djokovic will continue to showcase his dominance on the court. He will secure the first set 6-4, winning 84% of his first-serve points and breaking Musetti twice. The second set will be a nail-biter, with Musetti fighting hard to earn a break and pushing the game to a tiebreak, where Djokovic will prevail 7-6(4). Musetti, showing signs of fatigue from his previous match against Korda, can't keep up. Despite the challenge, Djokovic remains the king of tennis, while Musetti’s hopes will have to wait.

Final Score: Score: 6–4, 7–6.

Top 3 Recommended Bets:

Djokovic -2.5 games @ 1.68 odds on 1xbet (Rating ⭐ ⭐ ⭐ ⭐)

Djokovic -3.5 games @ 2.144 odds on Betway (Rating ⭐ ⭐ ⭐)

Under 22.5 games @ 2.037 odds on Bet365 (Rating ⭐ ⭐ ⭐)

Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
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Odds 1,68
Bet Type Djokovic -2.5 games
Bonus 100 EUR
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Odds 2,143
Bet Type Djokovic -3.5 games
Bonus 250 USD
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Odds 2,037
Bet Type Under 22.5 games
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