Olga Danilovic vs Qinwen Zheng – WTA 1000 Rome Prediction

Serbia
Serbia
Start
Day
Hours
Minutes
Seconds
Finished
Live
09 May 2025 12:00
China
China
Tennis, WTA 1000, Rome, Italy 
09-May-2025, 12:00
Rome, Italy 
Red Clay Surface 
Raphael George
08 May 2025
09:59
All time statistics:
1929
1167
96
60.43%
Statistics
Odds
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Odds 1,61
Bet Type Olga Danilovic to win (+4) Handicap
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Olga Danilovic vs Qinwen Zheng: Prediction for the Match on May 09, 2025

Olga Danilovic and Qinwen Zheng face off in the WTA 1000 Rome tournament on May 9, 2025. Danilovic enters with strong recent form, while Zheng aims to recover from injury setbacks.


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Olga Danilovic enters the Internazionali BNL d’Italia in Rome riding a wave of confidence. The Serbian left-hander, currently WTA No. 33, has been gaining momentum on the tour in 2025, recently bagging the Antalya Challenger 2 crown and finishing runner-up in Rouen. Her win-loss pattern in the past five matches reads WLWLW, but what lies beyond the smiles is a player gradually going big as far as being a real clay-court threat is concerned. 

Her season stats indicate that she is evolving: she is now holding a strong 67% first serve percentage and winning 72.5% of her service games. Danilovic’s performance on returns has been equally sharp, with 49.5% break points converted and 40.9% of return points taken. In the first round in Rome, she saw off Katerina Siniakova in three sets, battling her way to a 6–3, 4–6, 6–4 victory by converting seven break points and saving 62% of break points she faced. 

Among many other accomplishments, she has hit 45 aces and 43 double faults in 2025 and hence still lacks consistency. However, her aggressive baseline game with a markedly improved return game, especially on second serves (53.5%) makes her a real dark horse this week. The slow clay in Rome may suit her grinding style with heavy topspin and high endurance. Confidence and match sharpness are sitting squarely on her side.

Representing China, Qinwen Zheng returns to Rome to start afresh with the 2025 season after struggling through dips in form and a niggling elbow injury. Currently perched at WTA No. 8, the fight for consistency remains on; recent results were not uplifting with an LWWLL form line. She lost to Potapova in the early rounds in Madrid and was forced to withdraw from Stuttgart in April due to injury. But with Pere Riba back on her side, Zheng is looking to regain that explosive tennis to make her way to the top 10 again.

Zheng is still very much a contender. Her 2025 service stats show; 85 aces, 70.3% first serve points won, and 59.8% service points won. Her first serve percentage is merely 55.2%, but when she lands it, it is deadly. On the return, she is aggressive, winning 54.1% of second serve points and converting almost 48% of their break points.

Underwhelming in her last appearance against Potapova, a straight-sets loss, Zheng managed with 42% first serves and three break points converted. Clay has never been her favorite surface, but her power allows her to dictate pace. If she holds onto that elbow, she can challenge-considering her rust and inconsistency at the front of her biggest hurdles in Rome.

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On the court, Qinwen Zheng and Olga Danilovic have clashed thrice, with the Chinese rampant at three wins to none. At the most recent engagement of 2023 United Cup, Zheng completely outclassed Danilovic in straight sets, 6–4, 6–2. All their previous matches ended with an unambiguous victory for Zheng with no show of Argentinian grit in a deciding set, which also gave that clear psychological edge to the Chinese star. Danilovic, on the other hand, has grown so much since her last meeting and now comes into this contest on strong momentum. The record certainly favors Zheng, but Danilovic will undoubtedly put up a big fight given her current form.

  • Danilovic has won 4 of her last 5 matches, indicating strong current form.
  • Danilovic boasts a higher first serve percentage (67%) compared to Zheng (57.2%), suggesting a more reliable service game.
  • Danilovic has a higher break points converted rate (49.5%) than Zheng (47.7%), indicating better efficiency in capitalizing on return opportunities.
  • Zheng leads their head-to-head 3–0, which could influence Danilovic's confidence levels.

It is a contest between momentum and pedigree. Danilovic may be said to be enjoying the finest stretch of her career, displaying crisp form and confidence on clay. Meanwhile, Zheng is attempting a comeback from injuries and inconsistency but is a top-tier talent capable of explosive actions. Although Zheng boasts a commanding head-to-head record, recent results on Danilovic's side seem to suggest otherwise. Considering the surface and recent form, Danilovic may have a slight edge, especially if Zheng is not 100%. It should be a close contest with every bit of marginal ground likely to be the deciding factor.

Below are my betting tips for the match:- 

🏅 My prediction for the match is Olga Danilovic to win (+4) Handicap with a coefficient of 1.61 odds on 1xbet 

🏅 My betting tip for the match is Over 21.5 total games with a coefficient of 1.81 odds on Betway 

🏅 My main betting tip for the match is Danilovic to win 2–1 with a coefficient of 5.00 odds on Bet365 

Odds
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Odds 1,61
Bet Type Olga Danilovic to win (+4) Handicap
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Odds 1,81
Bet Type Over 21.5 total games
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Odds 5,00
Bet Type Danilovic to win 2–1
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