Paula Badosa vs Liudmila Samsonova 2025: WTA 500 Strasbourg Quarterfinals Prediction

Paula Badosa vs Liudmila Samsonova 2025: WTA 500 Strasbourg Quarterfinals Prediction

The Paula Badosa vs Liudmila Samsonova 2025 WTA 500 Strasbourg quarterfinals match on May 22 at Tennis Club de Strasbourg is going to be electric. Badosa, fresh off a walkover against Marie Bouzkova, is riding her Badosa clay form and injury recovery wave, with the crowd treating her like a local hero. But Samsonova’s power game and killer serve are no joke, even if her clay season’s been shaky. With their H2H Badosa Samsonova showing tight battles and over 19.5 games trending, this French Open prep match could steal the show. Can Badosa climb the WTA rankings, or will Samsonova’s backhand blast through? Let’s break it down!

🇪🇸 Paula Badosa - WTA 10th

The world's 10th-ranked Paula Badosa is making a notable return onto the clay courts after a two-month injury-induced layoff due to a recurrent lower back injury. Her form reads LWLWWLW, which speaks of varied performance. When it comes to the WTA 500 Strasbourg tournament, Badosa's clay stats are: 47.4% on the first serve, 0.0 aces per match, 67% break points saved, and 56% break points converted. Her last match, however, saw her advance owing to Marie Bouzkova's retirement, and the stats read 0 aces, 1 double fault, and 2 break points converted for Badosa.

Badosa, on clay for the 2023 season, actually has played one match and won one match at 47.4% first serve rate, winning points on first serve at 66.7% and strikingly high for points won on the second serve at 90%. She only managed to save 33% of break points on the clay and converted 67% of her own. Despite the minimal sets of data, these statistics would be suggestive for a resilient performance on the clay from her end, especially in light of the recent comeback from injuries.

🇷🇺 Liudmila Samsonova - WTA 19th

Liudmila Samsonova, who is No. 19 in the rankings, made her way to the quarters with chemistry WLWLLLWLWW. It was good indoors, clay stats-wise in Strasbourg: 66.9% first serves in, averaging 2.0 aces per match, saving 33% of break points, and converting 67% of break points. Samsonova recently overcame Diane Parry in straight sets, hitting 2 aces, 1 double fault, and converting 4 break points.

On clay, Samsonova has played six matches during the year, winning three; She has had 61.4% of first serves in, winning 68.8% of points on first serve and a staggering 90.4% on second serve; averaging 1.3 aces and 2.5 double faults; saving 61% of break points, while converting 45%-the stats confirming that she serves aggressively and is able to convert break opportunities.

👥 Paula Badosa vs Liudmila Samsonova Head-to-Head

Samsonova leads the 4-1 H2H with one win by retirement after 6-2 in 2024 Citi Open. Usually, their matches last long, with three out of four exceeding 19.5 games, and tiebreaks were a regular feature. Badosa’s only win came in 2024, which means she can, on hard courts, counter Samsonova’s power game, but clay is a completely different ball game. The slower surface of Strasbourg 2025 should aid Badosa’s grinding style, yet clearly, any loose shots from her side will have to be duly punished by Samsonova’s backhand. The prediction for this quarterfinal could really go either way!

📉 Paula Badosa vs Liudmila Samsonova Betting Tips and Odds

• ➤ Given their closely contested matches, expecting a match with more than 21.5 games is reasonable (Over 21.5 games @ 1.68 Odds).
• ➤ With her strong serving stats, Samsonova has a good chance to secure at least one set (Samsonova wins a set @ 1.35 Odds).
• ➤ Despite recent injuries, Badosa's resilience and clay court prowess make her a strong contender (Badosa to win @ 1.86 Odds).
• ➤ Considering Samsonova's average of 2.0 aces per match and Badosa's potential, this seems achievable (over 5 aces @ 1.83 Odds).

🏆 Paula Badosa vs Liudmila Samsonova Match Prediction

The Paula Badosa vs Liudmila Samsonova WTA 500 Strasbourg quarterfinals clash on May 22, 2025, is a must-watch. Badosa’s clay form and home crowd support make her a threat, but Samsonova’s power game and serve strength could tip the scales. With over 21.5 games a safe bet and a possible 2-1 Badosa win, this French Open prep match at Tennis Club de Strasbourg will have fans glued.

Below are top betting tips for the clash:

🏅 Over 21.5 Games @ 1.67 Odds on 1xbet 

🏅 Paula Badosa to Win 2-1 @ 4.33 Odds on Bet365

🏅 Over 2.5 Sets @ 2.30 Odds on Betway