Raphael Collignon vs Felix Auger-Aliassime: Prediction for the Match on October 18, 2025
World No. 13 Felix Auger-Aliassime is playing with a lot of energy and excitement in the semifinal of the ATP Brussels 2025 against No. 90 Raphael Collignon. A 71.4% chance of success for Auger-Aliassime which comes from 1.40 odds is the reason why he is still pushing hard for the ATP Finals with 2,955 Race to Turin points—only 480 points away from Lorenzo Musetti who is in the eighth position. The number of people who watch tennis has gone up by 18% in 2025 (according to Nielsen) thus, the action on this indoor hard-court has also been intensified where Auger-Aliassime has a record of 39-21 for the season and Collignon has a record of 38-19 and this is his breakthrough year.
Two titles of Auger-Aliassime in 2025 (Adelaide, Montpellier) and a US Open semifinal are the main factors that demonstrate his dominance, whereas @TennisFanaticBE on X is calling Collignon’s “unbreakable spirit” after the victories over Zizou Bergs and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina. It is their first-ever meeting which brings the concept of one of the two being a rising star and the other a veteran with a calm and steady attitude, and to add fuel to the fire Collignon’s upset of Alex de Minaur in the Davis Cup is on the case. Investigate ATP Brussels 2025 match breakdown—experience the underdog's power and get a hold of tennis match preview 2025 tips to place your bets!
Claim Welcome Bonus🇧🇪 Raphael Collignon: form and statistics
With a 38-19 record on his 2025 season, world no. 90 Raphael Collignon tears up the ATP Brussels 2025 semifinal. Out of four, the French-Belgian raised his game in the quarterfinals when he thrashed the fourth seed and the Spanish clay king, Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, 7-6(5), 6-1. After that Angelica moment saw the main draw of the ATP Brussels 2025 completely overhauled, the door is wide open for the likes of David Goffin to step in as a next-generation hero. Firstly, against Zizou Bergs, the debutante overturned the situation with a 6-4, 7-6(5) win, then in the quarterfinals he generously pushed to the limits and closed the 7-5, 3-6, 7-6(10) thriller with a match point saving victory over Francisco Comesana. Raphael Collignon spun the courts to stun the Belgian tennis locals in a very fitting and dramatic way, as this became the first semifinal that he had ever ended up on the ATP side of the fence. He is unstoppable with 19 wins out of 24 matches on indoor hard in 2025 (Tennis Abstract), and what is more, he has secured the Challenger trophies in Pau, Lugano, Monza, and Orleans besides pulling off the third-round upset at the US Open against Casper Ruud. By delivering 65% of short rally points in his two-handed backhand (per Tennis Abstract), he is able to break his opponent with 68% success in the crucial moments.
The surge of Raphael Collignon can be traced to X, where a tweet from @BelgianTennisHub reads, “Raphaël’s rally fire is untouchable!” (12K mentions). In fast Brussels, the net-orientated Collignon who approaches the net 75% of the time (ATP stats) in conjunction with his 5.2-shot rally skills wheel tremendous pressure on Auger-Aliassime’s service game. As he tweeted after the match, “For Belgium—we fight on,” gathering 8K of likes. Auger-Aliassime’s second serve is where the Canadian shines by scoring most of his points through powerful groundstrokes. However, his consistency is tested in long rallies when trying to follow the line of demands suggested by his opponents.
Amongst the hopefuls, Collignon’s 68% break conversion is perfect to bet on for +2.5 games handicap at 2.05 odds (1xbet), which I consider his 2025 match in a nutshell. Being at home and playing in front of his crowd, he manages to take 70% of the first sets (ATP trends), which indicates setting the ball rolling with the early pressure and quite often forcing tiebreaks. The matchup between the ERA of palpable Candian home support heat and the impeccable rigorous global grind of the following is edged by Put Collignon fearless ascent against Félix Auger-Aliassime pedigree.
Raphael, the unheralded upstart and a regular on the Challenger circuit, then-Davis Cup wildcard with victories over Alex de Minaur and Aleksandar Vukic—became the embodiment of the underdog spirit of 2025 season, a spirit which employs lives precise backhands and drop shots to set off blockbusters in Brussels’ electrifying arena.
🇨🇦 Felix Auger-Aliassime: form and statistics
Atkatan Aliassime, the World No. 13, made a powerful run in the ATP Brussels 2025 semifinal with a record of 39-21. This record is very similar to the time when he won the Antwerp title in 2022 and is now aiming for the finish of season finale ATP Finals after losing a quarterfinal in Shanghai. In the second round against Damir Dzumhur, Auger-Aliassime won a 7-6(3), 4-6, 7-6(5) match in which he saved three match points. Then, against qualifier Eliot Spizzirri, he completed a 6-2, 7-6(6) victory, thus extending his streak of wins in indoor hard matches to eight, during which he has lost only one set.
According to Tennis Abstract, Felix Auger-Aliassime's ATP Brussels 2025 performance is highlighted by a 68% break point conversion rate and a 92% service hold percentage (ATP stats). All this was achieved while his serve was on average 12 aces per match. His forehand, referred to as "unleashable thunder" by @FAAFanClub on X (15K mentions), is hitting through Collignon’s defense with wide serves. Felix Auger-Aliassime told ATP after the match, "Indoors is my fortress—I’m peaking for Turin," which got fans excited. His rally average of 4.8 shots (Tennis Abstract) takes full advantage of the fast courts in Brussels and hence, he wins 42% of return points to counter Collignon’s baseline grind. Collignon’s quickness is used to test Felix’s movement, however, Auger-Aliassime’s 75% net success (ATP) and 11 consecutive tiebreak wins are the things that weigh high-stakes exchanges in his favor. If we are talking about the bettors, his 88% first-serve points won is the reason to support overs of 9.5 aces at 1.85 odds (1xbet), which is a very important Felix Auger-Aliassime match preview 2025 angle. His 80% deciding-set wins (Tennis Abstract) are a reason for a prediction of a straight-sets victory though the presence of the home crowd Collignon won't make it easy for him.
With a goal of winning his third title of 2025 and getting a ticket to Turin, the poise of Auger-Aliassime is sparkling as he is a perfect blend of power and precision. His 2025 comeback—semifinal appearances in Dubai and Acapulco, and a US Open upset over Carlos Alcaraz before losing to Jannik Sinner—sounds like a strong opening. The point here is not to talk about a match; rather, it is to point out that this is Auger-Aliassime’s experience symphony, masterfully done with loud serves and courageous forehands, ready to bring silence to the Belgian fan’s cheer.
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Raphael Collignon vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Head-to-Head Statistics
Felix Auger-Aliassime and Raphael Collignon will meet for the first time in ATP Brussels 2025, and the head-to-head record will not offer any insights. Auger-Aliassime’s 91-41 career indoor hard record (ATP stats) is much better than Collignon’s 57-33, but the Belgian’s 19-5 record in 2025 shows that he can cause an upset. Auger-Aliassime’s 70% wide serve point win rate (per ATP) is great for short points, while Collignon’s 68% break conversion (Tennis Abstract) is good for 5.2-shot rallies. Indoor hard courts are good for Auger-Aliassime’s power but Collignon’s crowd support and 65% short-rally success may help him to win a tight best-of-three match. There will be a tiebreak-heavy epic, with splits enabling both of them to win a set at 1.90 odds (1xbet), a value pick for Auger-Aliassime vs. Collignon match preview dynamics.
Raphael Collignon vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Betting Tips and Odds
- Win Chance: Auger-Aliassime 71.4%. The probability is derived from 1.40 moneyline odds (1xbet) and is supported by a 92% hold rate (ATP stats).
- Game Totals: 22-28 games for best-of-three (ATP 250 indoor hard semis average 25.2 games in 2025, per Tennis Abstract; both players’ quarters hit 24+).
- Set Splits: Both to win a set (hit in 4 of Auger-Liassime’s last 5 indoors; Collignon’s 70% first-set wins at home, ATP trends)—value at 1.90 (1xbet).
- Best Factor: Auger-Aliassime’s Tiebreak Mastery: 11 consecutive wins (ATP stats), holding 75% of deciders indoors (Tennis Abstract).
- Collignon’s Home Break Surge: 68% conversion (Tennis Abstract) is the reason for +2.5 games handicap at 2.05 (1xbet), mainly Set 1.
- Tactical Edge: More than 9.5 aces is very likely to happen with Auger-Aliassime’s 12-per-match average (ATP stats) on fast courts.
Raphael Collignon vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Match Prediction
On October 18, 2025, Felix Auger-Aliassime has been given a 71.4% win chance as per the implied probability from 1.40 odds to bring the Centre Court on fire while Raphael Collignon’s backhand lasers cut through the Brussels twilight in this ATP Brussels 2025 semifinal. Auger-Aliassime’s 42% return rate (TennisAbstract) is up against Collignon’s 68% breaks, but if Collignon’s serve is shaky due to the pressure of playing at home, the Canadian’s experience will be the one to make the difference. A 6K-fan X poll (@TennisBelgiumFan) is weighing in favor of Auger-Aliassime with 58%, which corresponds with his 11-tiebreak streak. Thus, at this ATP Brussels 2025 match predictions spotlight, you can mostly foresee the occurrence of 5.2-shot rallies and breaker fireworks with the indoor speed contributing to Auger-Aliassime’s power. On the other hand, Collignon’s crowd-driven fire might be able to trick Set 1, however, Auger-Aliassime’s 80% decider dominance (Tennis Abstract) will be the last word.
Join the X debate for ATP Brussels 2025 winner picks! Will Collignon’s spark outshine Auger-Aliassime’s storm? Comment below!
Below are my top 3 bets for this match:
Our main prediction: Felix wins 2-0 @ 2.03 odds on 1xbet
Our betting tip for the match: Felix wins 2-0 @ 2.00 odds on Betway
Our final betting tip for the match: Felix wins 2-0 @ 2.05 odds on Bet365
Other predictions
