Roberto Bautista Agut vs Holger Rune: Prediction and odds on the Match on 26 May 2025
Opening the French Open 2025 on May 26, a must-see Round of 128 at Roland Garros will have Spain’s Roberto Bautista Agut (ATP 57) serving against Denmark’s Holger Rune (ATP 10). Bautista Agut, with a 5-5 form, gets entered at 5.50 odds after a Hamburg Quarters' exit, whereas Rune goes at 6-4 and 1.14 odds in search of redemption at Rome.
The H2H stands 2-0 for Rune, also winning in Montreal 2024, but clay is different. Bautista Agut’s clay mettle meets Rune’s youthful zest—will experience overshadow talent? Blend of stats, trends, and insights come from us for laser-focused betting picks for this R128 bout—come aboard!
Claim Welcome Bonus🇪🇸 Roberto Bautista Agut: form and statistics
Bautista Agut while striding on clay courts of Roland Garros is perfectly depicted, as if an old Spanish bullfighter with every movement calculated for a strike.
An ATP 57 thespian with the status of a veteran, Bautista Agut, is holding form at 5-5 and has an even win-loss record in clay of 6-6 in 2025. His one-sided defeat to Flavio Cobolli 7-6, 6-0 in Hamburg QF, registered zero aces with three double faults, 63% first serves, 65% points after the first serve, three out of seven break points saved, and one out of one break points converted. 4.5 improved clay stats for 2025 are: 60.5% first serve, 63.0% first serve points won, 94.1% second serve points won, 0.5 aces/match, 1.4 double faults/match, 63% break points saved, and 63% break points converted, with 0% wins in tiebreaks.
A Hamburg QF streak and a career-best fourth round here (2016-17) means that Bautista-Agut with his defensive grit could be testing Rune but his lack of aces might be his undoing in facing the Dane's power.
🇩🇰 Holger Rune: form and statistics
Holger Rune dances onto the Roland Garros clay like a Danish maestro: the rackets orchestrate a symphony of power and flair. The young star, ATP ranked No. 10, enters here with a 6-4 2025 overall and 6-4 clay record.
He lost to Corentin Moutet in the R32 in Rome, 7-5, 5-7, 7-6, serving 4 aces, 8 double faults, 47% first serves, 69% first serve points won, 1/4 break points saved, and 3 break points converted. For 2025 on clay, his main stats: 60.8% first serve, 67.8% points won on the first serve, 92.0% points won on the second serve, 0.9 aces per match, 2.1 double faults per match, 74% break points saved, 39% break points converted, and 50% tiebreaks won.
After his Barcelona title and Rome QF, Rune's comeback on clay has placed him in the spotlight; however, eight double faults show where he is susceptible.
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Roberto Bautista Agut vs Holger Rune Head-to-Head Statistics
Rune leads Bautista Agut 2-0 in this H2H, with the latest being another 6-2, 3-6, 6-2 victory for Rune in Montreal 2024, ATP 1000 hard courts. Bautista Agut's 6-6 format and 63% break point conversion rate on clay are being governed by a much lesser 6-4 record and 39% break point conversion rate of Rune, while the 50% tiebreak rate of Rune is seen to contrast against 0% of Bautista Agut.
The 2024 Montreal showdown between these players stretched for 18 games, hinting at an exciting clash. With a higher ranking (ATP 10 vs. 57) and recent clay title (Barcelona 2025), he is favored, but Bautista Agut's 63% break point saves on clay may keep the clash closer than the rankings imply.
Roberto Bautista Agut vs Holger Rune Betting Tips and Odds
- Rune’s 6-4 clay record and 67.8% first serve points won make him a strong pick at 1.14 odds
- Bautista's 63% break point saves on clay support +6.5 games at 1.909 odds.
- Their 18-game Montreal match and Rune’s form suggest under 34.5 games (1.83 odds).
- Rune’s 74% break point saves and H2H lead back the -6.5 games handicap at 1.85 odds.
- Bautista's 94.1% second serve points won offers value for over 10.5 games won at 1.80 odds.
Roberto Bautista Agut vs Holger Rune Match Predictions
Holger Rune, at 14 in the world, still has the icing on the cake with his clay count of 6-4, H2H of 2-0, and a 2025 Barcelona title versus Roberto Bautista Agut at 55 in the world. Bautista Agut, however, can't be discounted with his 6-6 clay record and 63% on break points; he does, however, struggle with zero aces per match and zero percent tiebreak wins, whereas Rune holds 50% in tiebreak success. This points to Rune cracking under pressure in Rome as he served 8 double faults, but with 67.8% of points won on his first serve, he should be the bulk of the show. Third-set win to Rune, taking advantage of his youth and ranking.
Below are the top betting picks for this exciting match:-
Match Prediction: Rune in 3 sets @ 2.25 Odds on Bet365
Bet Tip: Rune -6.5 games @ 1.85 Odds on Betway
Main Bet Tip: Under 34.5 games @ 1.83 Odds on 1xbet
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