Alex de Minaur vs Laslo Djere: Prediction for the Match on May 26, 2025

French Open 2025: de Minaur vs Djere R128 Prediction & Odds

Kicking off on May 25, the French Open 2025 opens with a gripping Round of 128 between No. 9 seed Alex de Minaur of Australia and No. 59 Laslo Djere of Serbia. De Minaur comes in after reaching the R16 in Rome, while Djere, with his clay court skills, took the 2025 Chile Open title but was recently constrained with a forearm issue. Will Djere be able to somehow overcome de Minaur, given the latter has a 3-0 record over him, using his clay court strength? Our experts help you with all aspects of player form, stats, and betting trends to support your wagering decisions. Check out our pick for this gripping opener and the top betting chances!

🇦🇺 Alex de Minaur: form and statistics

Ranked 9th, Alex de Minaur arrives for Roland Garros in great form of 6-4 and a 9-4 record on clay for the season. The match draws in some bright moments of brilliance from his Rome R16 loss against Tommy Paul (7-5, 6-3), such as winning 58% first serve points and 43% of first serve return points, while there were also glaring weaknesses such as 3 double faults and salvaging only three of six break points. The clay stats so far comprise second serve in at 56%, winning first serve points at 66.7%, and converting only 48% of break points (holding second serves at 90.9%). De Minaur's speed and baseline defense are quite thrilling nowadays, with a career-best hold percentage of 83 and 33.2 break percent in 2025. 

The clay game aspect is another area where de Minaur has developed, which was visible in the Monte Carlo and Barcelona semifinals, filling him with confidence; he said: "I can be dangerous on this surface." His head-to-head count over Djere is 3-0, with one of the biggest blowouts happening at the Paris Masters in 2019 (6-1, 6-4), indicating that he is the favorite. However, a tough draw lies ahead, potentially having to face Jakub Mensik, Jack Draper, or Jannik Sinner in the later rounds. The key challenge for de Minaur is to be consistent while dealing with Djere's clay court grit.

🇷🇸 Laslo Djere: form and statistics

Djere Laslo, ranked No. 59, has a 6-4 streak and a 17-6 record on clay in 2025, with the victory in the Chile Open in March being his first ATP title in five years. With all his weaknesses exposed in his Rome R32 loss to Carlos Alcaraz (6-7, 2-6), including a 59% first serve, 58% on first serve points won and about 9/14 break points saved, there was a forearm concern. His clay stats remain brilliant: 62.1% on the first serve, 71.9% on first serve points won, 89.8% in holding the second serve, 68% in break points saved, 3.9 aces per match, and 75% in tiebreaks. Heavy topspin and the clay surface combined with grinding baseline tactics have always been a good recipe for him, including the semifinals of the Argentina Open and the Chile Open wins. That said, a major hurdle for him is the 0-3 record against de Minaur, albeit none of them on clay. Djere has the forearm injury from the Alcaraz match, which might hamper his endurance in the best-of-five format. Exploiting de Minaur's 49% clay win rate and forcing lengthy rallies might just turn out to be the perfect strategy for an upset.

👥 Alex de Minaur vs Laslo Djere Head-to-Head Statistics

De Minaur leads the head-to-head against Djere, 3-0: Paris Masters 2019 (6-1, 6-4), Queen’s Club 2021 (three sets), and Hertogenbosch 2023 (1-6, 7-6, 6-3). No matches on clay exist, which means an advantage for Djere in surface terms. De Minaur’s speed and aggressive returns have always hampered Djere’s rhythm, and Djere’s clay skills could bridge the difference (17-6 in 2025). 

Expect de Minaur to attack Djere’s weaker backhand, with Djere aiming to keep him on the baseline with heavy topspin. De Minaur has the edge on the basis of head-to-head (three straight wins), but slow clay at Roland Garros probably will test his patience.

📉 Alex de Minaur vs Laslo Djere Betting Tips and Odds

• De Minaur’s 3-0 record vs. Djere, including a 2019 straight-sets win, supports his 1.29 odds. Bet on De Minaur to win.
• Djere’s 68% break point save rate and 37% conversion on clay (vs. de Minaur’s 55% and 48%) suggest value in betting on Djere breaking serve at least once (1.53 Odds).
• Their matches average 26 games, and clay’s slow pace favors long rallies. Bet on over 38.5 games for value (2.12 Odds).
• With 56% first serve and 2.5 double faults per match on clay, de Minaur may face break pressure. Consider Djere +5.5 games (2.00 Odds).
• At 3.6 Odds, Djere’s 17-6 clay record and 75% tiebreak win rate make him a live underdog if his forearm holds up

🏆 Alex de Minaur vs Laslo Djere Match Prediction

Alex de Minaur (1.29) is favored with a 3-0 head-to-head lead and improved clay-court skills (9-4 in 2025), but Laslo Djere could cause trouble at 3.6 Odds, supporting a 17-6 clay record and Chile Open title. De Minaur might quite simply thwart Djere's topspin-heavy style, winning first serve points at 66.7% and converting 48% of his break points, with Djere's first serve points at 71.9%. Djere's forearm problem, which has been noted as being a concern in Rome, may prove to be an issue in a best-of-five encounter. The first set is expected to be fiercely competitive, while de Minaur will prevail in three sets using his speed. 

Below are Our top betting tips for the match:

Match Prediction:- De Minaur in 3 sets @ 2.50 Odds on 1xbet 

Bet Tip:- over 36.5 games @ 1.90 Odds on Betway 

Main Tip:- Djere +1.5 sets @ 2.21 Odds on 1xbet