Alexander Zverev vs Jesper De Jong Prediction: Can De Jong Topple Zverev’s Clay Empire?

Alexander Zverev
Alexander Zverev
Start
Day
Hours
Minutes
Seconds
Finished
Live
29 May 2025 13:10
Netherlands
Netherlands
Tennis, Grand Slam, French Open, Paris, France, R64
29 May 2025, 13:10
Court Simonne Mathieu Paris France 
Red Clay Surface 
Raphael George
28 May 2025
20:47
All time statistics:
1929
1167
96
60.43%
Statistics
Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
Claim Bonus!
Odds 1,6
Bet Type Under 32.5 games
Bonus 100 EUR
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Alexander Zverev vs Jesper De Jong: Prediction for the Match on May 29, 2025

On May 29, the maroon surface of Roland Garros stirred with anticipation as Alexander Zverev (ATP 3) took on Jesper De Jong (ATP 88) for the Round of 64 of the 2025 French Open at Court Simonne Mathieu. Standing tall as the favorite at 1.026 after gliding past Learner Tien 3-0, Zverev is trying to live up to his billing; however, the Dutchman, riding a strenuous 3-2 win over Francesco Passaro, is aiming to upset those 12.7 odds. 

Zverev had dominated in Hamburg in 2024, but De Jong's gritty resistance points toward an upset scenario. With Zverev chasing his maiden Grand Slam title and De Jong dreaming of glory, this rematch is a contest of might versus heart. Let's look at stats, form, and picks for this epic showdown!

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Alexander Zverev swaggered onto the Parisian clay with the air of German colossus, with his tall frame almost like a storm ready to carry away anybody daring to block his path to his first Grand Slam. 

The third-best player in the world ATP rankings, Zverev's 7-3 form this year includes a 6-3, 6-3, 6-4 demolition of Learner Tien on May 27, during which he served three aces, never lost a first-serve point (90%), and converted all four of his break points (outlookindia.com). His records this year on clay, 15-6 (26-10 overall), are with 69.4% first serves in, 69.5% first-serve points won, and 80% wins in tiebreaks, whereas 37% for conversion of break points show some weaknesses (tennistonic.com). 

In the very rich clay pedigree Zverev holds, he has the most wins with four straight Roland Garros semifinals (france24.com); still, the 2025 season has been a roller coaster: a title in Munich, an upset in Madrid against Francisco Cerundolo, and a catastrophic flight to Paris (reuters.com). Posts on X over the past few months would mention his mental toughness despite a trying preparation (@josejuangelmx). At 28, is Zverev poised to finally capture the elusive crown after last year's final hazed in his face by Carlos Alcaraz? 

Jesper De Jong charges onto Court Simonne Mathieu like a Dutch dragon, his fiery spirit ready to breathe upset flames on the titan standing in his path to Roland Garros immortality! Ranked ATP No. 88, De Jong’s 5-5 form includes a marathon 3-6, 6-7, 6-4, 7-6, 6-1 comeback over Francesco Passaro on May 27- 9 aces, 80% first-serve points won, and 6 break points converted despite 4 double faults(tennistonic.com). 

On clay this year, his 14-10 record (18-15 overall) boasts a 62.2% first serve, 73.3% first-serve points won, and a 44% break point conversion, though he has a 25% tiebreak win rate which might indicate pressure scenarios (tennistonic.com). 

De Jong’s 2024 Roland Garros R2 run and comeback heroics in 2025, coming back down two sets against Passaro, profile him as a giant-killer, himself having seen top seeds like Sinner and Alcaraz in former Slams (@damiankust on X). Dutch fans are rallying behind him (DutchNewsNL on X). Can De Jong rewrite history at 24 and bring down Zverev’s empire?

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Gabriel Zverev now holds the lead in this confrontation against Jesper De Jong in their 2024 ATP 500 Hamburg R32 clash 6-2, 6-2 on clay (tennistonic.com). Zverev's relentless baseline game overwhelmed De Jong, who simply could not counterbalance the German's power. With it now being a major event at Roland Garros, the stakes get higher-May Zverev clay mastery (15-6 in 2025) against De Jong's upset potential (14-10 on clay). 

This rematch is a showdown that marks the passage of past dominance and the onset of present ambition, with Zverev fighting for his dream title and De Jong out for redress; with each point, the rivalry grows stronger.

  • Zverev’s 15-6 clay record and 3-0 last match suggest a straight-sets win—under 30.5 games at 1.88 odds fits their H2H.
  • Zverev's 69.5% first-serve points won on clay and 90% in his last match back Zverev -8.5 games at 2.15 odds.
  • With 61% break points saved on clay, De Jong to win under 35% first-serve return points at 1.85 odds aligns with Zverev’s 35% return success.
  • Zverev’s 80% and De Jong’s 25% tiebreak win rates on clay support no tiebreaks at 1.80 odds.
  • Zverev’s 4.6 and De Jong’s 4.0 aces/match on clay (3 and 9 in their last matches) back over 7.5 total aces at 1.90 odds.

The Simonne Mathieu court prepares for a seismic clash as Zverev (1.026) faces De Jong (12.7) in this R64 French Open 2025 clash. Zverev's 7-3 form, including a win over Tien 6-3, 6-3, 6-4 (winning 90% of his first-serve points and converting four break points), stands over that of De Jong, who has a 5-5 form and a gritty 3-2 win over Passaro (with 80% first-serve points won). 

Zverev holds an edge with a clay record of 15-6, 69.5% of first-serve points won, and a dominant 2024 Hamburg win over De Jong (6-2, 6-2), but De Jong's 14-10 clay record and a 44% conversion rate on break points indicate resistance. However, Zverev's experience will rise.

Below are top picks for this clash:-

Prediction: Under 32.5 games @ 1.6 Odds on 1xbet 

Bet Tip: Under 30.5 games @ 1.88 Odds on Betway

Main Bet Tip: Zverev -8.5 games @ 2.15 Odds on Bet365

Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
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Odds 1,6
Bet Type Under 32.5 games
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Odds 1,88
Bet Type Under 30.5 games
Bonus 250 USD
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Odds 2,15
Bet Type Zverev -8.5 games
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