Ann Li vs Jessica Pegula: Prediction for the Match on May 29, 2025
The famed Roland Garros red clay courts set the stage for round-of-64 action at Court Philippe Chatrier, Paris. Ann Li (WTA 55) took on Jessica Pegula (WTA 3). Riding the momentum of a 2-0 victory over Maria Carle, Li would like to repeat an upset against Pegula dating back to 2018. Pegula, gearing up to establish dominance, accepted a 2-0 victory against Anca Todoni.
The odds favor Pegula at 1.24, with Li at 4.145, but their past would suggest otherwise. Now that 22 Americans have made it into Round 2—the most since '94—will Li keep the stars and stripes flying high, or will Pegula dash her hopes? Stats, form, and picks galore await for this torrid battle!
Claim Welcome Bonus🇺🇸 Ann Li: form and statistics
Gracefully describing the strides across the Philippe Chatrier heavyweight court, this happens to be an eagle diving into the battle between an American and a tennis titan for Roland Garros glory! WTA No. 55 in ranking, Li has sustained a 6-4 form on her recent exploits of May 27, that was nothing short of brilliance against Maria Carle-witness 1 ace, not a single double fault, 63% first-serve points won, and 5 break points converted. Her 6-10 clay-court W/L record here belies a 60.1% first-serve rate, 60.6% first-serve points won, and 51% break-point conversion rate, with 33% of tiebreak wins showing room for improvement (usta.com). Li's aggressive play from the baseline suits clay, with her 4.4 aces per match teamed with a respectable 2.5 double faults per match.
The victory over Pegula in Lexington in 2018 on the ITF circuit by 6-2, 3-6, 6-4 has given her great energy-the fact that she knows that this giant can be taken down is a thought she thrives on (sportskeeda.com).
The X posts praises her cleaner play on clay with fewer unforced errors than hard courts (@dmclutch). But with Pegula’s experience looming, Li must channel her underdog spirit—can the 24-year-old from Pennsylvania soar on the Parisian stage?
🇺🇸 Jessica Pegula: form and statistics
Jessica Pegula enters a red clay battlefield worthy of a commanding American general, her eyes set on a Grand Slam breakthrough to crush her compatriot's dreams! As the WTA No. 3 and the third seed, Pegula was 6-4 in matches against clay courts, including a 6-2, 6-4 victory over Anca Todoni on May 27—1 ace, 83% first-serve points won, and conversions on 4 out of 7 break points despite 3 double faults (sportingnews.com). Her clay record in 2025 before Roland Garros stood at 9-13, hitting 60% first serves and winning 66.1% of first-serve points alongside 61% of break points saved, but that lonely 0% tiebreak win rate indicates inabilities under pressure (nytimes.com).
The best of the clay season did not come through her thin clay resume and early-round exits in Madrid or Rome (Round of 32), but her big-match pedigree with eight WTA titles including a glorious 2024 US Open final run shine through (sportskeeda.com). Her counterpunching style and mental fortitude will make her unseen on clay, although some on X seem doubtful about her form and foresee a Li upset (@JooVict88170473).
At 31, Pegula eyes making her first Roland Garros quarterfinal since 2022-can the Buffalo stunner pull through and shut the doubters up?
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Ann Li vs Jessica Pegula Head-to-Head Statistics
Ann Li is one up in the head-to-head record, with a 2018 ITF Lexington semifinal win there, 6-2, 3-6, 6-4, in a giant-killing act on Pegula (sportskeeda.com). That very hard-court contest was one that saw the young Li wearing down the more-experienced Pegula in three sets.
On the red clay at Roland Garros, however, the turn of events could be vastly different. Counterpunching from Pegula fits the surface very well, but aggressive left-handed shots coupled with a cleaner clay performance from Li (with fewer errors) may well spark this rivalry again.
The rematch sees the clash of times, with Li's giant-killing past fighting against Pegula's desperate attempt for redemption.
Ann Li vs Jessica Pegula Betting Tips and Odds
- Li’s 6-10 and Pegula’s 9-13 clay records suggest a straight-sets affair—under 20.5 games at 1.87 odds fits their form.
- Pegula's 66.1% first-serve points won on clay and 83% in her last match back Pegula -4.5 games at 1.77 odds.
- With 56% break points saved on clay, Li to win under 45% first-serve return points at 1.85 odds aligns with Pegula’s 42% return success.
- Pegula’s 0% and Li’s 33% tiebreak win rates on clay support no tiebreaks at 1.80 odds.
- Li’s 2.5 and Pegula’s 2.6 double faults/match on clay (0 and 3 in their last matches) back under 5.5 total double faults at 1.90 odds.
Ann Li vs Jessica Pegula Match Prediction
Ann Li (4.145) against Pegula (1.24): the French Open R64 edition that brings tension in Court Philippe Chatrier. The 6-4, 6-4, 6-0 victory against Carle is Vanja's proof of clay growth: 63% first-serve points won, five break points converted; the cracks belonging to a 6-10 clay record and 56% break points saved. Pegula too is 6-4 but comes in after a 6-2, 6-4 win against Todoni, winning 66.1% of first serve points and saving 61% of break points on clay (9-13 record). The counterpunching experience negates the aggression of Li from their 2018 H2H.
Below are top betting picks for this match:-
Prediction: Pegula to win in straight sets @ 1.7 Odds on 1xbet
Bet Tip: Under 20.5 games @ 1.87 Odds on Betway
Main Bet Tip: Pegula -4.5 games @ 1.77 Odds on Bet365
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