Aryna Sabalenka vs Qinwen Zheng: Prediction for the Match on June 03, 2025

Belarus
Belarus
Start
Day
Hours
Minutes
Seconds
Finished
Live
03 Jun 2025 12:00
China
China
Tennis, Grand Slam, French Open, Paris, France, Quarterfinals 
03 Jun 2025, 12:00
Court Philippe Chatrier Paris France 
Red Clay Surface

Raphael George
02 Jun 2025
20:56
All time statistics:
1929
1167
96
60.43%
Statistics
Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
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Odds 3,82
Bet Type Sabalenka wins 2-1
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Aryna Sabalenka vs Qinwen Zheng: Prediction for the Match on June 03, 2025

The stakes for all tennis fans are sky-high. On June 3, 2025, at 12:00, Aryna Sabalenka (No. 1) meets Qinwen Zheng (No. 7) in the quarterfinals of the French Open on Court Philippe Chatrier. This clay-court duel goes way back, with revenge on Sabalenka's mind for the stunning upset from Zheng at the Italian Open. Sabalenka leads 6-1 in their H2H, but Zheng seems to have taken a psychological advantage with her recent win in Rome, 6-4, 6-3. Gut feeling for this one tilts towards Sabalenka at 1.35, while Zheng is a 3.32 underdog (BetMGM). Both have been in superb form lately, and this matchup guarantees scintillating action for a ticket to the semis. Here is the lowdown.

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At Roland Garros Sabalenka is all set to finish as World No. 1. The 27-year-old Belarusian, three-time Slam Champion, boasts a 33-5 win-loss record in 2025 with 11-1 over clay, having won Brisbane, Miami, and Madrid in the process. For the third straight year, she has reached the French Open quarterfinals after beating Amanda Anisimova 7-5, 6-3 on May 31, where she produced 33 winners, saving six match points during the 1-hour-32-minute clash (Sportstar, June 1). Her clay results for 2025 include 79.5% service games won and 43.3% break points converted. "Unstoppable power" is one of the accolades she has received on X, though others say her defeat at Rome was the needed wake-up call. Is she able to quiet Zheng's bid for an upset?

Ruled the Olympics, Qinwen is now making waves on clay. The 22-year-old Chinese star, ranked No. 7, owns a 17-9 record for 2025 and a 9-3 record on clay, which includes a gold medal in Paris 2024. She is currently in her first Roland Garros quarterfinal after a hard fought win of 6-4, 7-5, in which she converted 48.2% of her break points in a grueling two-hour-and-ten-minute fight against Liudmila Samsonova (The Playoffs, June 1). During her clay season, she went to the semifinals in Rome and defeated Sabalenka in the Italian Open, winning 67.6% service games. She is already a social media darling named "Queenwen" as fans eagerly await her revenge. Will she be able to keep the hype going?

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Sabalenka, with a 6-1 lead, also holds a 1-0 edge on clay, after winning a 6-2, 7-5 battle in Miami in March 2025 (TheTennisLetter on X). And Zheng strung along a marvelous streak-breaking win at Rome; May 14, in fairness, 6-4, 6-3. Five of seven ended in two sets with an average of 19.7 games. Some mentions on X talk about their blossoming rivalry, with Europe ago scoring cementing its birthplace for Zheng-jection. A close encounter on clay might have been the defining one: will Sabalenka regain charge, or will Zheng press on with the second?

  • Sabalenka's 11-1 clay record backs Sabalenka to win at 1.35 odds.
  • Zheng's 9-3 clay mark supports over 5.5 games in the first set at 1.85 odds.
  • Their two-set trend leans toward over 21.5 games at 1.974 odds.
  • Sabalenka's 43.3% break rate backs under 2.5 sets for Zheng at 1.80 odds.
  • Zheng’s resilience suggests over 9.5 games in the second set at 1.87 odds.

The Court Philippe Chatrier is all set for a real battle on June 3, 2025, 12:00 noon; Aryna Sabalenka (1.35) vs. Qinwen Zheng (3.32) in an acrimonious French Open quarterfinal. With her 11-1 clay cap and straight-sets commanding win of 7-5, 6-3 over Anisimova assisted by 33 winners, Sabalenka seemed very dominant. Zheng's record was 9-3 on clay, with a 6-4, 7-5 win over Samsonova hard-earned, assisted by a miserable 48.2% of break points. Their one-sided H2H and 6-1 record favor Sabalenka, but Zheng's entrapment in Rome keeps it close. Sabalenka might set it up, with Zheng fighting it all the way into a set.

Below are the betting tips for the match:

Prediction: Sabalenka wins 2-1 @ 3.82 odds on Bet365

Bet Tip: Over 21.5 games @ 1.974 odds on Betway 

Main Bet Tip: Over 2.5 sets @ 2.46 odds on 1xbet

Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
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Odds 3,82
Bet Type Sabalenka wins 2-1
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Odds 1,947
Bet Type Over 21.5 games
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Odds 2,46
Bet Type Over 2.5 sets
Bonus 100 EUR
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