Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction: Matador Aims to Reign on Parisian Clay

Ben Shelton
Ben Shelton
Start
Day
Hours
Minutes
Seconds
Finished
Live
01 Jun 2025 12:00
Carlos Alcaraz
Carlos Alcaraz
Tennis, Grand Slam, French Open, Paris, France, R16
June 1st 2025, 12:00
Paris France 
Red Clay Terrain
Raphael George
31 May 2025
15:33
All time statistics:
1929
1167
96
60.43%
Statistics
Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
Claim Bonus!
Odds 3,35
Bet Type Alcaraz to win 3-1
Bonus 100 EUR
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Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz: Prediction for the Match on June 1, 2025

On June 1st, an unparalleled atmosphere will be created at the French Open with Ben Shelton taking on Carlos Alcaraz in the Round of 16. 22-year-old Shelton has fought his way into the second week of clay for the first time, while Alcaraz, the defending champion, and World No. 2 have been thoroughly dominant in this clay-cour-17-1 of the series of clashes of the courts of red clay in Paris with the backdrop of Rafael Nadal having won 14 of such titles. With Alcaraz leading 2-0 in H2H, this will surely be heated up by Shelton's serves. 

Alcaraz comes into this match as a strong favorite, offered at 1.038, whilst Shelton is clearly the underdog at 11.2, according to 1xbet. So, will the underdog take center stage, or will the Spaniard put yet another brownie on his name? Let's dive deep into stats, form, and best options for this mega-battle!

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Ben Shelton storms onto the red clay of Court Philippe-Chatrier like an intrepid gladiator, ready to challenge the clay court king with his power game down the line! The No. 13 American 22-year-old, for the first time, finds himself in the Round of 16 at Roland Garros, a milestone achievement after never having been beyond the third round here. What's his 2025 clay season been like? A roller coaster, really—finalist in Munich but fell to Alexander Zverev, sporting a 1-3 record at Masters 1000 events, according to sportskeeda.com. Shelton has had an interesting run since: a five-set thriller with Lorenzo Sonego in the first round, 6-4, 4-6, 3-6, 6-2, 6-3, and a straight-set win against Matteo Gigante in the third round. Statistics from the recent match: 62% of points on first serve won, 12 aces, and 5 double faults, reports tennistonic.com. 

Clay stats in 2025: 8 wins to 5 losses, with 58% of points on first serve won. Shelton, a 2025 Australian Open semifinalist, told Yardbarker that he's ready for Alcaraz. Fans on X foretell some fireworks but question his consistency on clay. Can this gladiator with a fearless legacy in battle upset the defending champ?

On Parisian clay, Carlos Alcaraz glides like a matador with his topspin-heavy forehand, ready to take on Shelton's aggression! In 2025, the 22-year-old Spaniard, ranked No. 2 and the defending French Open champion, has a 17-1 record on clay, having won titles in Monte Carlo, Barcelona, and Rome, according to sportskeeda.com. He was in magnificent form: First-round opponent Giulio Zeppieri stood little chance. After that, he got past Fabian Marozsan in four sets and held on for a thriller in round three, defeating Damir Dzumhur 6-1, 6-3, 4-6, 6-4, according to ESPN. Last match statistics: 70% points won on first serve, 8 aces, and 3 double faults, per nytimes.com. 

Clay stats in 2025: 17-1 record, 82% points won on first serve. Alcaraz, the 2024 French Open winner over Alexander Zverev, said to TNT Sports, "This is my favorite clay court." He is dubbed "unstoppable" by fans on X, although a few point to his fourth-set woes against Dzumhur. Can this matador with 10 clay titles keep winning in Paris?

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Carlos Alcaraz vs. Ben Shelton H2H is 2-0 by Alcaraz-the Spaniard winning both in straights, including at the 2024 Laver Cup, states Sportskeeda. This is the first meeting on clay between these two, so Alcaraz will be a bit better on his favourite surface. Shelton has never won a set against Alcaraz, and the last time these two raced, the Spaniard won 6-4, 6-4. 

While the fans are split on X, many see Alcaraz cruising the win while some say Shelton's serve might just snatch the upset. On June 1, will the gladiator break free, or will the matador remain the master?

  • Alcaraz's 17-1 clay record in 2025 backs a straight-sets win at 1.68 odds.
  • Shelton averages 10 aces per match on clay and supports over 9.5 aces for him at 1.80 odds.
  • Alcaraz’s recent four-setters and Shelton’s five-set opener back over 3.5 sets at 2.14 odds.
  • Shelton’s strong starts on clay back over 9.5 games in the first set at 1.85 odds.
  • Both players’ aggressive styles on clay support over 30.5 total games at 1.90 odds.

Court Philippe-Chatrier is set to witness yet more fireworks on June 1, 2025, when Ben Shelton (4.50) meets Carlos Alcaraz (1.20) in the R16 stage of the French Open! With his 8-5 clay record and a gritty five-set win over Sonego, Shelton has demonstrated mental fortitude: 12 aces against Gigante also speak to using serve as a weapon. But that 1-3 Masters 1000 clay record exposes inconsistency, and there are even displays of doubt on X regarding his stamina to withstand the ruthless pace of Alcaraz. 

With a 17-1 clay record and 10 clay titles, Alcaraz exudes dominance: 70% first-serve points won against Dzumhur and 82% serve points won on clay work lethally for him. Yet, his lapse in the fourth set against Dzumhur presents a chink in the armor. Those 2-0 H2H numbers against Shelton can overshadow, but Shelton's firepower can spark rallies on Parisian red clay, a place where Nadal is echoing with 14 titles. 

It should be a scorching battle: Shelton trying to push Alcaraz off his ground with his serve while the matador will try to defeat him with his topspin magic. Still, Alcaraz's expertise on clay should take the day, with Shelton refusing to go down quietly.

Below are the top picks:-

Prediction: Alcaraz to win 3-1 @ 3.35 Odds on Bet365

Bet Tip: Over 3.5 sets @ 2.14 Odds on 1xbet 

Main Bet Tip: Over 31.5 games @ 1.85 odds on Betway

Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
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Odds 3,35
Bet Type Alcaraz to win 3-1
Bonus 100 EUR
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Odds 2,14
Bet Type Over 3.5 sets
Bonus 250 USD
Bet Now!
Odds 1,85
Bet Type Over 31.5 games
Bet Now!

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