Casper Ruud vs Nuno Borges: Prediction and odds on the Match on 28 May 2025
On May 28, 2025, the French Open stages a Round of 64 at the esteemed site of Roland Garros, as Casper Ruud (ATP 8) of Norway faces off against Nuno Borges (ATP 41) of Portugal. Ruud has had a strong 9-1 record and came through the R128 also at 2015 Roland Garros with a 3-0 win over Albert Ramos-Vinolas and is 1.115 favorite to win the Round of 64, while Borges has a 5-5 record after confronting Kyrian Jacquet in a 5 sets thriller and wants to defy 6.4 odds in this challenge.
Their H2H favours Ruud with a scoreline of 1-0 after a clash in Los Cabos in 2024. With Ruud and Borges clashing on red clay, a good fight awaits, Ruud being obviously the clay expert and Bourges being the gritty one.
To get an insight into sharp betting picks, our analysis mixes stats and trends as the time to the first serve approaches around 13:10 GMT—enjoy!
Claim Welcome Bonus🇳🇴 Casper Ruud: form and statistics
The elite No. 8 in the ATP, Ruud carries an extraordinary win-loss count of 9-1 in his hand, while his company record attests to a 13-3 figure on clay in 2025. In the Round of 128 match against Albert Ramos-Vinolas, he served 7 aces, did 3 double faults, landed 73% on his first serves, and won 76% points on those serves, saving half the break points against him, while converting 5 out of 8 for himself in the scoreline of 6-3, 6-4, 6-2.
The 2025 clay records tell us about that: a first serve percentage of 63.3%, 67.1% on points won with the first serve, 89.5% on points won with the second serve, 3.5 aces per match, 2.6 double faults per match, 70% break points saved, with 38% break points converted, and 0% in tiebreak victories. The high confidence guided Ruud after winning Madrid and reaching the Italian Open's quarterfinals.
Ruud already is a titan of clay through his final of 2022 and 2023 French Opens and away from the bright lights of the stage with his new Yonex Paris Collection, but Borges' thunderous serving may be his biggest test.
🇵🇹 Nuno Borges: form and statistics
Nuno Borges speeds on the slippery clay of Roland Garros, igniting the red dirt with fighting spirit! ATP 41, Borges is 5-5 in 2025 and 6-5 on clay. His 6-3, 7-6, 4-6, 3-6, 6-3 R128 win against Kyrian Jacquet was marked by 8 aces, 4 double faults, 68% first serve, 72% first serve points won, 7/11 break points saved, and 7 break points converted.
2025 clay stats read as follows: 62.5% first serve, 65.8% first serve points won, 87.2% second serve, 4.2 aces per match, 3.7 double faults per match, 59% break points saved, 25% break points converted, and 0% tiebreak wins.
Borges looks promising with a first Roland Garros main draw appearance and a 2024 Los Cabos quarterfinal run, but inconsistency stands in his path against Ruud.
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Casper Ruud vs Nuno Borges Head-to-Head Statistics
Casper Ruud leads Nuno Borges 1-0 in their H2H, where Ruud grabbed the 6-3, 6-2 win at the 2024 Los Cabos ATP 250 quarterfinals. Ruud, with his 13-3 clay courthistory and 38% break point conversion, has an advantage over Borges, who stands at 6-5 and 25%, while Ruud's advantage in break point saves at 70% blows Borges out at 59%. Both have had 0% tiebreak win rates on clay this year, hinting at a set-heavy matchup. Ruud dominates his second serve points, winning 89.5%, against Borges' 87.2% which gives Ruud the serving edge. Ruud, with his kind of clay record, gives a hard time to Borges for this rematch on Paris clay.
Casper Ruud vs Nuno Borges Betting Tips and Odds
- Rudd's 13-3 clay record and 70% break point saves make him a lock at 1.115 odds
- Borges 59% break point saves support +7.5 games at 1.84 odds.
- Ruud’s 3-0 R128 win and Borges’ 3.7 double faults/match suggest under 32.5 games at 1.88 odds.
- Ruud’s 38% break point conversion backs the -7.5 games handicap at 1.92 odds.
- Borge's 4.2 aces/match on clay offer value for over 2.5 aces in the first set at 1.80 odds.
Casper Ruud vs Nuno Borges Match Prediction
Casper Ruud (1.115) dominates with his slim H2H lead (1-0), 13-3 clay-court record, and 89.5% of second-serve points won, against the lesser Nuno Borges (6.4). Borges is throwing in some punches with a 6-5 record on clay and 4.2 aces per match, but the Portuguese falters with a break point conversion of 25% and a worrying 3.7 double faults per match compared to Ruud's 70% break point saves. Ruud's form is all about the Madrid Open title and a Round of 128 win. Expect Ruud to take the match down in straight sets, with his clay experience.
Below are the top picks for this exciting clash:
Prediction: Ruud in 3 sets @ 1.85 Odds on 1xbet
Bet Tip: Ruud -7.5 games @ 1.92 Odds on Betway
Main Bet Tip: Under 32.5 games @ 1.88 Odds on Bet365
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