Damir Dzumhur vs Carlos Alcaraz: Prediction for the Match on May 30, 2025
There is tension in the air that seemed to crackle in waves over the red clay of Roland Garros, as Damir Dzumhur (ATP 69) and Carlos Alcaraz (ATP 2) went head-to-head on May 30 in the French Open of 2025 Round of 32. The sooner the more deleterious potential for upset: The resilient underdog from Bosnia was coming seriously deep in confidence following a 3-1 upset of Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard, while the defending champion from Spain had swept past Fabian Marozsan, 3-1.
Alcaraz 1.002, 18.0 for Dzumhur: and along with odds, the 2020 head-to-head paints another streak to be watched. It is now Dzumhur's tenacity against Alcaraz's defense of his title under the expanding Parisian Sun─will Dzumhur pull the off-odds feat, or will Alcaraz make his way on? Get some insight into all the stats, forms, and picks for this coming blockbusterM!
Claim Welcome Bonus🇧🇦 Damir Dzumhur: form and statistics
Charging into the Parisian clay courts like a true Bosnian warrior, this untamed spirit sharpens its blade in an effort to abase with the mightiest of giants and carve out everlasting fame at Roland Garros!ATP ranking 69, having a 5-5 record, Dzumhur had a hard-fought victory over Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard on 28 May, winning 7-6 (4), 6-3, 4-6, 6-4—winning 75% of his first-serve points, converting three break points, and if that wasn't enough, four double faults with a frightful knee scare early in the fourth set.
On clay courts this season, 15-11 (18-13 overall) is the win-loss record of Dzumhur-averaging 68.1% first serves, 60.9% first serve points won, and a poor 41% break point conversion, while simultaneously maintaining a fantastic 63% break points saved that shows his resolve.
A good start was the R1 victory over Thiago Agustin Tirante (6-4, 6-3, 7-5), although his history of collapsing against the big players casts a large shadow (www.statsinsider.com.au). His presence on X is an example of his "unbelievable focus," even punctuated by the humorous moment when he didn't realize his match was over (@A3Noticias). Can a 33-year-old make a miracle for the Bosnian veteran against the defending champion?
🇪🇸 Carlos Alcaraz: form and statistics
Carlos Alcaraz has entered the city of light with all the stardom of a Spanish matador, his blistering speed and ferocious power ready to prey upon clay and defend the Roland Garros title! Ranked No. 2 in the ATP, Alcaraz boasts a 9-1 record, having beaten Fabian Marozsan on May 28th with a score of 6-1, 4-6, 6-1, 6-2. The 22-year-old is hammering down on 5 aces, winning 70% of his first-serve points, and converting 8 out of 15 break points. Considering that rough second set, it would make a very convincing story (www.sportingnews.com).
Throughout this clay season, the 22-year-old has an incredible record of 17-1 (32-5 overall), serving 67.2% first serves, winning 69.5% first-serve points and 83% of the tiebreaks, and converting 43% of break points, thus showing the sheer dominance he builds around him when playing (www.statsinsider.com.au).
The victories at Monte Carlo and the Italian Open will only cement his supremacy on clay, but this time around a new haircut may have concerned the fans (www.si.com). Crowds gave a big round of applause for his post-match performance with the famous Mats Wilander (ca.sports.yahoo.com). At age 22 is Alcaraz capable of defending his streak of nine matches at Roland Garros?
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Damir Dzumhur vs Carlos Alcaraz Head-to-Head Statistics
Carlos Alcaraz knocked out Damir Dzumhur in their only match of 1-0, winning 4-6, 6-2, 6-1 at the Barcelona Challenger final in 2020. It was a good show of Alcaraz's power: after a loss of concentration by Dzumhur during the second set, the young Spaniard gave a crushing blow to set the tone for their rivalry.
On the other side of the net, Dzumhur boasts a 15-11 clay record compared to Alcaraz’s 17-1. The recent Dzumhur upset over Mpetshi Perricard suggests resistance will be there, but the defending champion brims with youth and vigor. An encounter between two distinct eras-this showdown under the Parisian sun awaits to be captured by experience or excellence.
Damir Dzumhur vs Carlos Alcaraz Betting Tips and Odds
- Alcaraz’s 17-1 clay record and 2020 H2H win suggest a swift victory—under 26.5 games at 1.80 odds fits their form.
- Alcaraz's 69.5% first-serve points won on clay and 70% in his last match back Alcaraz -10.5 games at 1.82 odds.
- With 63% break points saved on clay, Dzumhur to win under 30% first-serve return points at 1.85 odds aligns with Alcaraz’s 45% return success.
- Alcaraz’s 83% and Dzumhur’s 50% tiebreak win rates on clay support no tiebreaks at 1.80 odds.
- Dzumhur’s 0.7 and Alcaraz’s 1.8 aces/match on clay (0 and 5 in their last matches) back under 7.5 total aces at 1.90 odds.
Damir Dzumhur vs Carlos Alcaraz Match Prediction
Paris is bracing for a seismic collision when Damir Dzumhur (18.0) faces Carlos Alcaraz (1.002) in the French Open 2025 R32 clash. Dzumhur: 5-5 in form; 7-6, 6-3, 4-6, 6-4 upset over Mpetshi Perricard-Won 75% of first-serve points; 15-11 in clay-court record and 41% in break-point conversion rate-that all sound faint when compared to Alcaraz's 17-1 clay record and a 6-1, 4-6, 6-1, 6-2 win over Marozsan with 70% of first-serve points won. Despite the Bosnian's grit, Alcaraz should have his way with Dzumhur, going on the grounds of a 2020 H2H win and general dominance on clay.
Below are the top betting tips for the match:
Prediction: Under 27.5 games @ 1.60 Odds on 1xbet
Bet Tip: Under 26.5 games A 1.80 Odds on Betway
Main Bet Tip: Alcaraz -10.5 games @ 1.82 Odds on Bet365
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