Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz: Prediction and odds on the Match on 26 May 2025
The Round of 128 match on May 25th will witness the clash between Germany's Daniel Altmaier (ATP 66) and USA's Taylor Fritz (ATP 4) at Roland Garros. Altmaier (5-5 in form, 10-7 on clay) holds a 1-0 H2H advantage over Fritz while Fritz is followed by a 3-6 clay record against him with a reassuring 6-4 overall record. Fritz comes in favorite at odds of 1.24, but Altmaier has very profitable odds of 4.145 for an upset on favored clay.
Fritz endures a tough draw with Alcaraz and Tsitsipas ahead, and with Altmaier riding a three-win streak from five, the match will be full of intrigue. We have analyzed player stats, H2H, and betting trends to help you with your bets—go on!
Claim Welcome Bonus🇩🇪 Daniel Altmaier: form and statistics
Ranked at No. 66, Daniel Altmaier comes with a 5-5 form and 10-7 record on clay for Roland Garros in 2025. His last match occurred in Hamburg R32, where he lost 3-6, 3-6 to Felix Auger-Aliassime. Serving-wise, he had 2 aces, 3 double faults, 59% of first serves in, points won on first serve were 69%, saved 8 out of 12 break points, and did not convert any of his 0 break points.
At this moment, on and off clay, his 2025 clay stats are 58.0% first serve, 64.2% first serve points won, 93.5% second serve, 3.6 aces per match, 1.6 double faults per match, 72% break points saved, and 23% break points converted.
Altmaier has one of the classiest one-handed backhands for a clay player and which had seen him reach the fourth round in 2020. Three wins in the last five matches have him in good shape, although his 0% tiebreak win percentage on clay remains a worrying factor. If he has to replicate past performances at Roland Garros, he will lean on home support and defensive grit.
🇺🇸 Taylor Fritz: form and statistics
Taylor Fritz, World No. 4, arrives in these championships with a 6-4 form and a 3-6 record on clay. His most recent loss came in Geneva QF against Hubert Hurkacz (0-2), serving 10 aces with one double fault, 64% on his first serve with 89% points won, three out of four break points saved, but zero break points converted. Fritz' clay-court stats in 2025 meanwhile: first serve percentage at 64.0%, first serve points won 76.5%, second serve points won 96.5%, aces per match at 6.5, double faults per match at 0.8, 56% conversion on break points and 34% saving on break points.
Fritz did well to reach R16 in Madrid, but in Rome, he fell early to Giron. With big serving (6.5 aces per match) and a still bad 25% tiebreak win rate, Fritz is better equipped in that area than the opposition. However, a 3-6 clay record with a tough draw (Alcaraz, Tsitsipas) shows his weaknesses, and if he wants to go onward, he'll be forced to get on top of the affairs very soon.
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Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz Head-to-Head Statistics
With 1-0 counting, their one meeting ended in a walkover win for Altmaier during 2023 Paris R32. No competitive sets have been played thus not adding anything to streaks. The walkover happened due to Fritz getting injured, leaving Altmaier the advantage without really testing it.
Against clay, the defensive side of Altmaier with a 72% rate of saving break points stands in contrast to Fritz's aggressive style. Maybe Fritz could tilt things his way with his serve prowess (6.5 aces/match), but his 3-6 record on clay is not something his counterpart cannot exploit compared to Altmaier’s 10-7 win-loss.
The opening clay duel should be tilted towards Altmaier for now since experience counts, although Fritz can rightfully claim the presence of potential dominance.
Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz Betting Tips and Odds
- Altmaier’s 72% break point save rate on clay makes him a value bet to win at least one set (2.50 odds).
- Fritz’s 6.5 aces/match and 89% first serve points won (last match) favor him to win serve games (1.15 odds).
- Their H2H walkover lacks data, but clay rallies suggest over 37.5 games (1.90 odds) is plausible.
- At 1.24 odds, Fritz’s 80.6% implied win probability aligns with his ATP 4 ranking.
- Altmaier’s 10-7 clay record offers value at 1.83 odds for +5.5 games.
Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz Match Prediction
Taylor Fritz (1.24) should overcome Altmaier, armed with his 76.5% conversion of first serve points and 6.5 aces per match, against Altmaier's 23% break point conversion on clay. The 10-7 clay record of Altmaier and more importantly, 72% of break points saved, alongside a 1-0 H2H advantage, put him on a 4.145 live line.
Fritz's 3-6 clay record, including a recent loss in Geneva, signals his vulnerability, while support from the home crowd and a quarterfinal run in Roland Garros in 2020 should suffice for Altmaier.
Expect Fritz to win in three sets; however, Altmaier will try to extend the rallies.
Below are the top bets for this exciting match:
Match Prediction: Fritz in 3 sets @ 2.52 Odds on 1xbet
Bet Tip: Fritz -5.5 games @ 1.83 Odds on Betway
Main Betting Tip: Over 36.5 games @ 1.80 Odds on Bet365
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