Elina Svitolina vs Iga Swiatek: Prediction for the Match on June 03, 2025

Ukraine
Ukraine
Start
Day
Hours
Minutes
Seconds
Finished
Live
03 Jun 2025 13:10
Poland
Poland
Tennis, Grand Slam, French Open, Paris, France, Quarterfinals
03 Jun 2025, 13:10
Court Philippe Chatrier, Paris, France
Red Clay Surface 
Raphael George
02 Jun 2025
21:48
All time statistics:
1929
1167
96
60.43%
Statistics
Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
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Odds 3,76
Bet Type Swiatek wins 2-1
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Elina Svitolina vs Iga Swiatek: Prediction for the Match on June 03, 2025

It is a very high-stake contest for the tennis enthusiasts, as Court Philippe Chatrier will witness the sensational quarterfinal on the 3rd of June, 2025, at 1:10 p.m. when Elina Svitolina (13) takes on Iga Swiatek (5) in the French Open. The red clay duel will pit resilience vs. dominance, with Svitolina having put up some match-point saves until date opposing Swiatek in her defense of a three-peat title. Swiatek leads this head-to-head 3-1, but having faced each other just once on clay where the victory came in 2021 adds an interesting angle. The odds stand in favor of Swiatek at 1.302 versus 3.655 for Svitolina (BetMGM). Both are coming to this clash after huge victories, promising a classic for a semifinal berth. Let's analyze this.

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Elina Svitolina is a Ukrainian warrior who shows her mettle at Roland Garros. The 30-year-old ends 2025 at No. 13, with a record of 25-8, 12-2 on clay, and a Rouen title. After defeating Jasmine Paolini 4-6, 7-6(6), 6-1 on May 31, saving three match points in an epic 2-hour and 15-minute thriller, she has now reached the 12th Grand Slam quarterfinal in her career (BBC Sport, June 1). The clay numbers: 76.3% service games won and 46.4% return games, along with 53.8% on break points. The "clutch factor" memes flooded X as fans celebrated Svitolina's upset of Paolini. Is Svitolina capable of changing the tide against Swiatek?

The queen of clay courts Iga has her eyes on history. The No. 5-ranked 24-year-old Pole brings in a 29-5 record in 2025, a 6-3 on clay, and few can keep up with her triple crown of French Open titles; the fifth might mark eastern lands. Her sixth straight quarterfinal appearance was guaranteed on June 1 when she defeated Elena Rybakina 1-6, 6-3, 7-5, battling back from set down in 2:32 (The Guardian, June 1). The clay stats highlight that she has won 70.8% of her own service games and converted 40% of the break points. Social media has even mentioned her 24-match winning streak in Paris, with some taking note of her somewhat uneven form. Will the reign continue against Svitolina?

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Swiatek abides by a 3-1 record, winning about 1 on clay, as in the 2021 Italian Open event: 6-1, 7-6(5) (Sportskeeda, June 1). Their last encounter was a 7-6(5), 6-3 win from Swiatek in Miami 2025, where she hit 34 winners (TennisONEApp on X). The only Major meeting came in 2023 Wimbledon, a win for Svitolina, and they averaged 20.5 games each. X posts call it a “tricky matchup” for Swiatek with the Wimbledon win thrown in for pressure. So this rematch on clay could prove a test: Could Svitolina turn the tables?

  • Swiatek's 6-3 clay record backs Swiatek to win at 1.302 odds.
  • Svitolina's 12-2 clay mark supports over 5.5 games in the first set at 1.85 odds.
  • Their 20.5-game average leans toward over 20.5 games at 1.9 odds.
  • Swiatek's 40% break rate backs under 2.5 sets for Svitolina at 1.80 odds.
  • Svitolina’s resilience suggests over 9.5 games in the second set at 1.87 odds.

On June 3, 2025, Court Philippe Chatrier will witness a grand French Open quarterfinal soaked with drama, with Elina Svitolina (3.655) facing Iga Swiatek (1.302). Svitolina has a 12-2 clincher run on clay with wins like 4-6, 7-6(6), 6-1 over Paolini, showcasing resilience by fending off three match points. With a 6-3 record on clay, Swiatek displayed her stirring comeback powers in a 1-6, 6-3, 7-5 win over Rybakina with 34 winners on the clock in their last meeting. H2H 3-1 favors Swiatek, but a win at Wimbledon by Svitolina keeps the book very close. Swiatek is likely to hold the lead, with Svitolina pushing for a third set. 

Below are the top picks for the match:

Prediction: Swiatek wins 2-1 @ 3.76 odds on Bet365

Bet Tip: Over 20.5 games @ 1.9 odds on Betway 

Main Bet Tip: Over 2.5 sets @ 2.58 odds on 1xbet 

Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
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Odds 3,76
Bet Type Swiatek wins 2-1
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Odds 1,9
Bet Type Over 20.5 games
Bonus 250 USD
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Odds 2,58
Bet Type Over 2.5 sets
Bonus 100 EUR
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