Emilio Nava vs Holger Rune: Prediction and odds on the Match on 28 May 2025
The 2025 French Open will give its special opening to Philippe-Chatrier court on the 28th of May with a Round of 64 Night Session wherein USA's Emilio Nava (ATP 137), takes on Holger Rune of Denmark (ATP 10). Rune, 7-3 in form and having beaten Roberto Bautista Agut 3-1 in the R128, stands at 1.092 to 7.3 against Nava, who is 6-4 after sweeping Botic van de Zandschulp 3-0 and looking for an upset.
The H2H goes 1-0 in favor of Rune, representing a 2021 ITF clash. It is coming on at 21:15 GMT, so expect nice drama from this clay battle-this analysis blends stats and trends to offer some sharp betting tips!
Claim Welcome Bonus🇺🇸 Emilio Nava: form and statistics
Nava fits the unique description of an American wildfire running amok on clay courts of the Parisian tournament! The American, ranked 137th by ATP, boasts of a 6-4 record and a 30-9 record in 2025 on clay. His 6-2, 7-5, 7-5 R128 win over Botic van de Zandschulp was shadowed by 6 aces, 3 double faults, 69% first serve, 71% first serve points won, 8/10 break points saved, and 6 break points converted.
Beyond these, his 2025 clay stats show a first serve percentage of 61.6%, winning 73.0% of points on his first serve, and winning 86.2% of points on his second serve; while averaging 6.3 aces per match and 3.7 double faults per match, saving 60% of break points against him, converting 46% of break points on his own, and winning 63% of tiebreaks.
After a stunning three-title spree on the Challenger circuit, Nava's wildcard entry shines, though his inexperience at this level could face Rune's savvy.
🇩🇰 Holger Rune: form and statistics
Like a Danish maestro, Holger Rune glides onto Vincennes clay, ready to conduct his Parisian victory! ATP-ranked 10th, Rune features a 7-3 form and in 2025, a 7-4 record on clay. Taking Roberto Bautista Agut down in a thrilling four-setter, 7-6, 4-6, 6-3, 6-2, he served 9 aces, 0 double faults, 68% on his first serve, 71% on points won in that first serve, saved 10 of 11 break points, and converted 5 of them.
For the year 2025, Rune's clay stats state 62.1% first serve, 68.3% first serve points won, 93.2% second serve, 1.6 aces per match, 1.9 double faults per match, 76% break points saved, 39% break points converted, and 33% in tiebreaks.
After winning the Barcelona title and a comeback R128, his clay resume stacks up, while Nava's serve stands as a potential obstacle.
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Emilio Nava vs Holger Rune Head-to-Head Statistics
Emilio Nava is down 0-1 in the H2H, with Rune having won the 7-6, 6-1, 6-4 in the semifinals of the 2021 ITF Villena. Rune's 7-4 clay record and 39% break point conversion over Nava's 30-9 and 46% while Rune's 76% break point saves are far better than Nava's 60%. Nava's 63% tiebreak win rate on clay tops Rune's 33%, so the set could have been fairly close. Rune's 93.2 second-serve points won dominates Nava's 86.2, giving him the advantage on serve.
This clay rematch leans in favor of Rune, but Nava's resurgent form adds the element of intrigue.
Emilio Nava vs Holger Rune Betting Tips and Odds
- Rune's 7-4 clay record and 76% break point saves make him a lock at 1.092 odds.
- Nava's 60% breakpoint saves support +6.5 games at 2.1 odds.
- Rune’s R128 win and Nava’s 3.7 double faults/match suggest under 33.5 games at 1.88 odds.
- Rune’s 39% break point conversion backs the -6.5 games handicap at 1.67 odds.
- Nava's 6.3 aces/match on clay offer value for over 3.5 aces at 1.80 odds.
Emilio Nava vs Holger Rune Match Prediction
Because of his 1-0 H2H lead, 7-4 clay record, and 93.2% winning percentage on the second serve (over Nava's 7.3), Holger Rune has a slight advantage. Although Nava's 30-9 clay record and R128 win promise, his 46% break point conversions will likely be undermined by Rune's 76% break point saves. Rune is in good form during the R128 comeback and Barcelona title. Expect to see Rune pulling through in four sets, using his experience.
Below are the top betting tips for this exciting match:
Prediction: Rune in 4 sets @ 3.4 Odds on 1xbet
Bet Tip: Rune -6.5 games @ 1.67 Odds on Bet365
Main Bet Tip: Under 33.5 games @ 1.88 on Betway
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