Emma Raducanu vs Iga Swiatek: Prediction and odds on the Match on 28 May 2025
The 2025 French Open progreses on May 28 with that blockbuster Round of 64 clash on Court Philippe-Chatrier, as Britain's Emma Raducanu (WTA 41) goes up against Poland's Iga Swiatek (WTA 5). Swiatek is banging with 7 wins and 3 losses, and she incapacitated Rebecca Sramkova 2-0 at R128, giving her the betting favorite position at 1.095.
Raducanu, the outsider at 7.2, went 6-4 in sets and most recently 2-1 over Xinyu Wang and will want to defy the odds. Their H2H favors Swiatek at 5-0, including a dominant 6-1, 6-0 defeat in Australia. The storm rolls in at 15:50 GMT, with a clay event full of drama—we'll mix statistics and trends for razor-sharp betting picks!
Claim Welcome Bonus🇬🇧 Emma Raducanu: form and statistics
Emma Raducanu bursts onto Roland Garros clay like a British firecracker, her resilience set to light up Paris! Ranked WTA 41, Raducanu stands at 6-4 overall and 6-3 on clay in 2025. Her R128 win over Xinyu Wang went 7-5, 4-6, 6-3, with 0 aces, 5 double faults, a 58% first suffice, 65% first serve points won, 8 of 15 break points saved, and 9 break points converted.
Her 2025 clay stats say 56% first serve, 62.3% first serve points won, 64% second serve, 2.1 aces per match, 2.7 double faults per match, 57% break points saved, 52% break points converted, and 50% tiebreak wins.
Coming out after illness in the R128, Raducanu’s quarterfinal showing in Miami Open and R16 appearance in the Italian Open point to her return. Recent reports put her in the rare category of players getting extra practice time at Court Philippe-Chatrier, but Swiatek stands as a mountain to climb.
🇵🇱 Iga Swiatek: form and statistics
The Polish queen glided onto the Roland Garros clay awaiting her clay-court coronation in Paris! The world No. 4 in WTA, Iga Swiatek, is 7-3 in Form and 7-3 on clay in 2025. In a hard-fought win against Rebecca Sramkova, she served 1 ace and 3 double faults, hit a 67% first serve with 70% of first serve points won, did not save 1 of 1 break points, but converted 4 break points.
Her 2025 clay stats are: 62.1% on first serve; 64.8% of first serve points won; 62.5% on second serve; 3.0 aces per match; 3.1 double faults per match; 50% break points saved; 47% break points converted; and 0% in tiebreak wins.
A four-time winner, she went on to claim another trophy at Monte Carlo this season after a heartfelt tribute from Rafa, but recent defeats by others (like to Danielle Collins) indicate some cracks. She would be gunning to increase her 5-0 H2H lead against Raducanu.
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Emma Raducanu vs Iga Swiatek Head-to-Head Statistics
Emma Raducanu trails behind Iga Swiatek in their head-to-head matches,5-0, with their last encounter at the 2025 Australian Open R32 that Swiatek won 6-1, 6-0. Swiatek boasts a 7-3 clays record to Raducanu's 6-3, and she can also convert 47% of her break points compared to 52% for Raducanu.
However, Raducanu saves 57% of break points faced, standing in contrast to Swiatek's 50%. While Swiatek has not once won a tiebreak on clay so far, Raducanu won 50%, and they could go to a deciding set. Swiatek now leads Raducanu in points won on first serve, though marginally at 64.8% to 62.3%.
This clay rematch strongly favors Swiatek, but good recent form will surely help Raducanu.
Emma Raducanu vs Iga Swiatek Betting Tips and Odds
- Swiatek's 7-3 clay record and 70% first serve points won make her a lock at 1.095 odds.
- Raducanu's 57% break point saves support +6.5 games at 1.727 odds.
- Swiatek’s 2-0 H2H wins and Raducanu’s 2.7 double faults/match suggest under 18.5 games at 1.85 odds.
- Swiatek’s 47% break point conversion backs the -6.5 games handicap at 2.06 odds.
- Raducanu's 50% tiebreak win rate offers value for over 0.5 tiebreaks at 1.80 odds.
Emma Raducanu vs Iga Swiatek Match Prediction
With a 5-0 lead, a 7-3 record on clay, and winning 64.8% of first serve points, Iga Swiatek (1.095) dominates Emma Raducanu (7.2). A6-3 performance on clay for Raducanu and the R128 wins both build character, but her 52 percent conversion of break points falls short versus Swiatek's saving 50 percent of break points. Recent losses aside, Swiatek's R128 win, plus clay titles (Monte Carlo, e.g.) puts her ahead. Expect Swiatek to win straight sets, especially considering her consistency.
Below are the top picks for this match:-
Prediction: Under 19.5 games @ 1.6 Odds on 1xbet
Bet Tip: Swiatek -6.5 games @ 2.06 Odds on Betway.
Main Bet Tip: Under 18.5 games @ 1.85 Odds on Bet365
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